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An analysis of the 2012 Annual Growth Survey and Joint Employment Report highlighting the economic challenges, priorities, and strategies for addressing unemployment and social consequences in Europe.
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2nd European Semester: overall context (I) • Economic recovery has come to a standstill • GDP likely to stagnate (0.6% for 2012). • Unemployment levels likely to remain high (10% in 2012) • Difficulties with the sovereign debt and financial sector
2nd European Semester: overall context (II) • To be implemented as part of strengthened economic governance • Member States’ progress in implementing recommendations is below expectations • Priority on implementation of agreed reforms and growth-enhancing measures • Focus on both reforms with short-term growth effect and longer-term perspective
Progress on Europe 2020 headline targets (I) EMPLOYMENT 75% of the population aged 20-64 should be employed INNOVATION 3% of the EU's GDP should be invested in R&D CLIMATE / ENERGY A reduction of CO2 emissions by 20% Share of renewable energies up to 20% An increase in energy efficiency by 20% EDUCATION The share of early school leavers should be under 10% At least 40% of the younger generation should have a tertiary degree or diploma POVERTY 20 million fewer people at risk of poverty
2nd AGS: five priorities • Pursuing fiscal consolidation • Restoring normal lending to the economy • Promoting growth for today and tomorrow • Tackling unemployment and the social consequences of the crisis • Modernising public administration
2nd AGS: fiscal consolidation • Maintaining effective growth-friendly expenditure (including education, reinforcement of employment services and active labour market and social inclusion policies) • Building more effective, efficient and fairer tax systems (including shifting taxation away from labour towards taxation less detrimental to growth and attention to vulnerable groups) • Encourage moves from undeclared to regular work • Pursuing the modernisation of pension systems to ensure financial sustainability and adequacy and equalizing pensionable page • Aligning the retirement age with increasing life expectancy with a view to raising the effective exit age from the labour market • Restricting access to early retirement schemes and supporting longer working lives
2nd AGS: tackling unemployment and the social consequences of the crisis (I) 3 priorities: • Mobilising labour for growth • Supporting employment especially of young people • Protecting the vulnerable
2nd AGS: tackling unemployment and the social consequences of the crisis (II) Mobilising labour for growth • Review wage-setting mechanism • Adaptation of UB combined with activation • Enhance labour mobility • Restrict early retirement access and supporting longer working lives • Promote self-employment and entrepreneurship • Facilitate high employment growth sectors
2nd AGS: tackling unemployment and the social consequences of the crisis (III) Supporting employment especially of young people • Most urgent needs and actions to support NEET • Targeting young people: apprenticeships, traineeships • Reform employment protection legislation, generate easier access for youth • Education and training to better reflect skills demand • Review quality and funding of universities
2nd AGS: tackling unemployment and the social consequences of the crisis (IV) Protecting the vulnerable • Further improving the effectiveness of social protection systems • Implementing active inclusion policies • Ensuring access to services to support integration to the labour market
Joint Employment Report: context • JER underpins and expands on the key messages contained in the AGS • Key-messages based on • Quarterly reviews –Employment and social situation in the EU • Country examination of the National Reform Programmes • Implementation of the country-specific recommendations • Thematic surveillance report • Key issues paper
Joint Employment Report: labour market and social trends • Slow employment recovery: gains do not offset losses • Employment increase mainly temporary and part-time jobs. • Emerging mismatches: jobseekers unable to match with growing vacancies • Tax wedge and non-wage labour costs high on low skilled • Situation of young people has worsened • Long-term and low-skilled unemployment on the rise • Social safety nets under stress
Joint Employment Report: priorities for the future • Stepping up job-creating capacity • Implementing comprehensive frameworks to tackle youth unemployment in line with the Youth Guarantee • Putting in place effective active labour market policies to maintain employability and put people back to work • Protecting the most vulnerable groups and those most hardly hit by the crisis including through more effective social protection systems, active inclusion strategies and smart consolidation • Investing in education and training
The European Semester: who does what and when? E U R O P E 2 0 2 0