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CIS ferro-manganese markets: current state & future

Metal Bulletin's 23 rd International Ferro-alloys Conference, Monte Carlo, Monaco, 2007. CIS ferro-manganese markets: current state & future. Andrey Pupchenko , Head of Raw Materials Research, Metal Expert Research Group, Ukraine. Main points of the presentation.

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CIS ferro-manganese markets: current state & future

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  1. Metal Bulletin's 23rd International Ferro-alloys Conference, Monte Carlo, Monaco, 2007 CIS ferro-manganese markets: current state & future Andrey Pupchenko, Head of Raw Materials Research, Metal Expert Research Group, Ukraine

  2. Main points of the presentation • Manganese alloys market structure in the CIS • CIS ferro-manganese markets: key issues • CIS manganese market forecasts

  3. Manganese alloys market structure in the CIS

  4. CIS manganese market structure Major producers in the CIS manganese market ‘000 tonnes Source: Metal Expert

  5. CIS manganese market structure CISmanganese alloysproduction & export ‘000 tonnes Source: Metal Expert

  6. CIS manganese market structure Apparent consumption of manganese alloys in the CIS ‘000 tonnes Source: Metal Expert

  7. Russian manganese market Export keeps staying tiny in Russian output Key players in the domestic SiMn market SiMn output slows down, FeMn – stays stable Key players in the domestic FeMn market

  8. Ukrainian manganese market Key players in the domestic SiMn market Export continues to dominate in Ukrainian output SiMn output grows, FeMn – stays stable Key players in the domestic FeMn market

  9. Kazakhstan manganese market Export continues to dominate in Kazakhstan output Key players in the domestic SiMn market Key players in the domestic FeMn market Mn alloys consumption in Kazakhstan stays stable

  10. CIS ferro-manganese markets: key issues

  11. CIS ferro-manganese market analysis Russian SiMn & FeMn prices: is there any difference? Dominance of SiMn in Russian domestic consumption % of Mn content $ per tonne

  12. CIS ferro-manganese market analysis Major players in Russian FeMn market in 2006 • Local supplies occupy 67% of Russian market… • …but they do not have their own raw materials resources • Share of Ukrainian producers, which are integrated, accounts only 26%... • …but there are duties against Zaporozhye (25%) and Nikopol (7%) in Russia • Another integrated producer – ENRC – does not produce ferro-manganese domestic players import

  13. CIS ferro-manganese market analysis Key players in FeMn production in the CIS Privat group ENRC ‘000 tonnes Sibir-Ural metallurgical company (Chelyabinsk group)

  14. CIS ferro-manganese market analysis Deliveries of manganese ore into Ukraine Import of manganese ore into Russia

  15. CIS manganese market forecasts

  16. CIS manganese market forecasts Steel production in the CIS – major consumption driver Steel output structure Steel production forecasts for Russia, Ukraine and Kazakhstan, million tonnes 2003 2009 Source: Forecasts of SiMn, FeMn and FeSi till 2017

  17. CIS manganese market forecasts Unit consumption of manganese alloys is decreasing in the CIS • increase of continuous casting share in steelmaking • decrease of open-hearth furnace steel output Manganese consumption in the CIS, kg per tonne

  18. CIS manganese market forecasts But real consumption will not change considerably CIS domestic deliveries will stay at current level due todecrease in unit consumption CIS production will stay high due toincreased output in Georgia, (gross weight) Source: Forecasts of SiMn, FeMn and FeSi till 2017 ‘000 tonnes

  19. CIS manganese market forecasts Manganese alloys availability from the CIS will remain high ‘000 tonnes Source: Forecasts of SiMn, FeMn and FeSi till 2017

  20. What Metal Expert are: • a company established in 1994. • a reliable regional source for the CIS steel and raw materials markets.   • supplier of daily news, monthly analytical bulletins, quarterly forecasts, special reports and consulting services both in English and Russian.   • all the products in English are customized for the needs of the companies and specialists working with the CIS.

  21. Special products about CIS ferro-alloys industry from Metal Expert Long-term forecasts Analysis, short-term forecasts and cost model in a single package

  22. Thank you very much for your attention For further information please contact Andrey Pupchenko Head of Raw Materials Research Metal Expert Research Group Naberezhnaya Pobedy Str., 48-b Dnepropetrovsk, 49094, Ukraine Tel./fax +38 0562 39 88 50 e-mail: andrey@metalcourier.com url: www.metalexpert-group.com

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