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Southeast Florida Roadway & Transit User Cost Calculators

Southeast Florida Roadway & Transit User Cost Calculators. Transportation leadership you can trust. presented to SE Florida FSUTMS Users Group by FDOT D4 PL&EM Cambridge Systematics, Inc . May 8, 2009. Agenda. Introduction Travel Time Values Vehicle Operating Costs

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Southeast Florida Roadway & Transit User Cost Calculators

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  1. Southeast Florida Roadway & Transit User Cost Calculators Transportation leadership you can trust. presented toSE Florida FSUTMS Users Group by FDOT D4 PL&EMCambridge Systematics, Inc. May 8, 2009

  2. Agenda Introduction Travel Time Values Vehicle Operating Costs Transit Operating Costs Calculator Application Examples Discussion 2

  3. Purpose Better assessment of transportation improvement benefits Systemwide LRTP Corridor alternative comparison Benefit/Cost Analysis Operational improvements Cost of lane closures Value of early completion 3

  4. The Calculator • Provides unit costs for various segmentations • Provides price escalation trends for future costs • Output FL and SE FL values • Allows for overwriting default inputs • Up to users to decide how to use it

  5. Components • Travel Time Value (TTV) • Auto; Truck • Transit User TTV • Bus; Tri-Rail; Metrorail • Vehicle Operating Cost (VOC) • Auto; Truck • Transit Operating Cost • Bus; Commuter Rail; Light Rail; Demand Response 5

  6. Highway Components RUC = TTV + VOC Road User Cost = Travel Time Value + Vehicle Operating Cost 6

  7. MethodologyTTV Market Segmentations 7

  8. 1: Travel Time Values Based on hourly wage Personal trips 50% Commute trips 60% On-the-clock trips 100% Base Figures in 2004$ 8

  9. Travel Time Value Validation Survey Telephone survey, stated preference 5,000 random households Miami-Dade to Indian River Dec ’04 - Jan ’05 1,070 successful responses Work trips: $10 - $13/hr Non-work: 40% of wage 9

  10. Transit User Travel Time Value Trip purpose segmentation Personal travel/Visitor Commute On-the-clock Time-of-Day segmentation Peak; off-peak Based on transit on-board surveys 1999 SEFL Travel Characteristics Survey 2007 Tri-Rail On-Board Survey 2004 Metro-Rail On-Board Survey 2004 Metrobus On-Board Survey 10

  11. Wage Projection Wage Data is available from 1951 to 2006. Regression Analysis indicates strong fit (R-square = 0.998). According to Social Security Online (www.ssa.org), national median wage is about 70% of national average wage. Future year TTVs are calculated based on projected median wages. 11

  12. Travel Time Values (2004) Annual median wages from 2000 census: SEFL = $21,975; FL = $20,721 Median income is about 70% of average income. 12

  13. Commercial Vehicle Travel Time Values (2004) Annual median wages from 2000 census: SEFL = $21,975; FL = $20,721 Median income is about 70% of average income. 13

  14. Transit User Travel Time Values (2004) 14

  15. 2: Vehicle Operating Costs (VOC) Cost Parameters Adjustment Factors Depreciation Financial Charges Insurance Stop and Go Conditions Pavement Roughness Vehicle Age Geography VOC Fuel Tax Sales Tax Licensing and Registration Fuel Cost Tires Maintenance and Repairs 15

  16. Vehicle Operating Cost Assumptions Vehicle class types – compact, mid-size, large, SUV, Minivan, and trucks Driving range – 12,000-15,000 miles per year Vehicle lifespan – 150,000 mi Southeast Florida Urban setting Flat surface 16

  17. Factors Affecting Vehicle Operating Costs 17

  18. Default Assumptions Urban settings assumed in South Florida City conditions generate 35% more fuel consumption than highway conditions About 3% annual price increase applied to maintenance and repairs based on historical (20-year period) CPI trends 18

  19. Fuel Trends Regression

  20. Fuel Trends Regression

  21. Fuel Trends Regression

  22. CPI Regression

  23. Vehicle Operating Costs – Depreciation Cost 2004 $ 23

  24. Vehicle Operating Costs – Insurance Cost 2004 $ 24

  25. Vehicle Operating Costs – Fuel Cost $/gallon = $1.53-$1.65 (2004) 25

  26. Vehicle Operating Costs – Financial Charges Average interest rate = 4.45% (2004) Financial Charges = Interest on vehicle loan 26

  27. Vehicle Operating Costs – Fuel Tax Federal = 18.4 cents/gallon State = 14.3 cents/gallon Local = 6-12 cents/gallon 27

  28. Vehicle Operating Cost ComponentsMid-size Auto 2004 $ 28

  29. Auto and Commercial VOC (2004) 29

  30. Transit Operating Costs Service and cost data obtained from National Transit Database (NTD) - Federal Transit Administration Modes: Bus; Demand Response; Commuter Rail; Light Rail Data: Services: passenger trips; revenue hours; revenue miles Costs: operators’ wage; material and supplies; utilities; insurance; tax; purchased transportation; ADA related expense; other expenses. Unit cost = (total costs)/(total services provided)

  31. Transit Vehicle Operating Costs (2004) 31

  32. 3. Calculators • Auto and Commercial Vehicle User TTV Calculator • Transit User TTV Calculator • Auto and Commercial VOC Calculator • Transit VOC Calculator

  33. Purpose of Calculators • Provide LOCAL data values • Analysis for different years / horizons • Ability to change defaults • Fuel prices • Fleet composition – increase in small vehicles? • Others…

  34. Calculator Main Panel

  35. Auto and Commercial Vehicle User TTV Calculator • Input • Current year/target year • Wages (optional) • Inflation factors (optional) • TTV segmentations (optional) • Output - Auto and Commercial Vehicle User TTV by • Geographic level • Trip type • Trip purpose • Vehicle type • Time of day

  36. Auto and Commercial Vehicle User TTV Calculator Input page …

  37. Auto and Commercial Vehicle User TTV Calculator … Output page

  38. Transit User TTV Calculator • Input • Current Year/Target Year • Wages (optional) • Inflation factors (optional) • TTV markets • Output - transit user TTV by • Geographic level • Transit mode • Trip type • Trip purpose • Waiting and transferring

  39. Transit User TTV Calculator Input page …

  40. Transit User TTV Calculator Output page

  41. Auto and Commercial VOC Calculator • Key Input • Current fuel price • Current year / target year • Average travel speed • Output - annual cost and per mile cost by • Cost component • Total costs

  42. Auto and Commercial VOC Calculator … … Input Page

  43. Auto and Commercial VOC Calculator Output Page

  44. Transit VOC Calculator • Input Service Data • Mode • Route Length • Weekday Service Schedule • Weekend Service Schedule • Update Cost Item (Optional) • Output – Transit Vehicle Operating Cost by: • Mode • Total Annual Service (Revenue Miles) • Total Annual Operating Cost • Annual Operation Cost per Revenue Mile

  45. Transit VOC Calculator • By Region • By County • By State • By Nation …

  46. Transit VOC Calculator Input Page

  47. Transit VOC Calculator Output Page

  48. Reference Data • MetroRail Rider Income • Vehicle Depreciation • Vehicle Speed vs. Fuel Consumption • Median/Average Wage • CPI • Crude Oil Price • Gasoline Price • Auto Price • Vehicle Fleet Composition • Transit User Income • Bus Rider Income • Tri-Rail Rider Income

  49. 4. Sample Applications • 1. Lane closure cost calculation • Hypothesis scenario • Additional cost for roadway users (TTV + VOC) resulted from lane closure • 2. Trip cost comparison for Auto and Transit • Cost for roadway user (TTV + VOC) and transit user (TTV + fare) • Downtown Coral Springs to Fort Lauderdale

  50. Sample Application 1 Left Lane Closure on I-595 from University Dr. to FTPK Conditions 2009, 2 days, 2.2 miles AADT 227,000 Average occupancy: 1.2 people per vehicle Average travel speed reduced from 55mph to 35mph TTV in 2009: $8.16 per hour VOC at 35mph: $0.471/mile; VOC at 55mph: $0.461/mile Costs TTV increased : (2.2/35 – 2.2/55)*8.16*227,000*1.2*2 = $101,613 VOC increased: ($0.471 – $0.461)*2.2*227,000*2 = $9,988 Total cost = TTV + VOC = $111,601 50

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