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HOW TO WIN AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS?

HOW TO WIN AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS?. Alberto Alfonzo Tugberk ‘TT’ Tanrisevdir. OUR PROJECT IN ONE SENTENCE:. This study examines what determines success in the Africa Cup of Nations from a macroeconomic perspective. POPULATION. GDP PER CAPITA. FACTORS. URBAN POPULATION. HOME ADVANTAGE.

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HOW TO WIN AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS?

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  1. HOW TO WIN AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS? Alberto Alfonzo Tugberk ‘TT’ Tanrisevdir

  2. OUR PROJECT IN ONE SENTENCE: This study examines what determines success in the Africa Cup of Nations from a macroeconomic perspective.

  3. POPULATION GDP PER CAPITA FACTORS URBAN POPULATION HOME ADVANTAGE

  4. YEARS OBSERVED: 1962-2010 TEAMS OBSERVED: TOP 4 TEAMS

  5. WHAT IS AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS? • Continental soccer tournament in Africa • First tournament in 1957 • Organized in every 2 years • Winner goes to FIFA Confederations Cup

  6. METHODOLOGY • Sources: WDI, Penn World Table, and CAF’s webpage • We created different new variables to control for the results of the tournaments: Champion, Second Place, Third Place, and Fourth Place • We test our hypothesis trough a series of different methods: Regressions Mean Comparison tests, and Fixed-Effect tests. • For another approach to the study of our hypotheses, we excluded Egypt in a fixed-effect test as it seems the Egypt is an outlier to our theory.

  7. CASE STUDY v.s. CHINA v.s. INDIA

  8. WHY? • Both in Asia • Close Number of Populations: • China: 1,351 billion* • India: 1,237 billion* *Data are taken from The World Bank’s 2012 information.

  9. WHAT MAKES THE DIFFERENCE IN THE SUMMER OLYMPICS?

  10. GDP PER CAPITA COMMUNISM CHINA: $6,188* INDIA: $1,489* Better Education Children Malnutrition Health Care Sports Investment and Facilities *Data are taken from The World Bank’s 2012 information.

  11. QUESTIONS: • If China has the highest population on Earth, why doesn’t China take 1st place in every Olympics? • If GDP Per Capita has a positive effect on winning a medal, why aren’t Luxembourg, Norway, and Switzerland –the top three countries by GDP Per Capita* dominant forces in the Olympics? *Data are taken from The World Bank’s 2012 information.

  12. HOME ADVANTAGE

  13. FACTORS POPULATION POPULATION CHANCE OF HAVING SPORTSMEN

  14. HOWEVER: Inadequate resources means that a country cannot use its human power

  15. GDP PER CAPITA GDP Per Capita is an indicator of sports investment

  16. GDP PER CAPITA

  17. HOME ADVANTAGE

  18. TRAVEL EXPENSES FATIGUE EFFECTS FAMILIARITY HOME CROWD

  19. TRAVEL EXPENSES Average Travel Expense: $5,266,516* *Data are taken from ESPN’s 2008 information.

  20. Alabama University Crimson Tide Football Team played 14 games in 2008 and these 14 games costed them $3,580,868* *Information is taken from ESPN: http://espn.go.com/ncaa/revenue/_/type/expenses

  21. FATIGUE

  22. FAMILIARITY

  23. HOME CROWD These data are taken from Tucker’s video on Euronews webpage and interpreted into a different graph format

  24. REGRESSION ANALYSIS - 1

  25. REGRESSION ANALYSIS - 2

  26. REGRESSION ANALYSIS - 3

  27. REGRESSION ANALYSIS - 4

  28. Conclusions • Home Advantage helps an African country win the Africa Cup of Nations • Total Population does not improve the odds of winning the tournament, or reaching the semifinals • Ambigious results with GDP Per Capita and Urban Population.

  29. Thank You!

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