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Projects under development. Assimilation of precipitation, soil moisture & GPS radio-occultations ( Funding from GRIP Canadian Space Agency) Assimilation of ground-based GPS Zenith Tropospheric Delay AIRS radiances/clear sky SSM/I radiances/clear sky
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Projects under development • Assimilation of • precipitation, soil moisture & GPS radio-occultations ( Funding from GRIP Canadian Space Agency) • Assimilation of • ground-based GPS Zenith Tropospheric Delay • AIRS radiances/clear sky • SSM/I radiances/clear sky • Assimilation system for GEM-strato (top of model moved from 10 to 0.1 hPa)
Meteorological Service of Canada Environment Canada Assimilation of Precipitation • Assimilate rain information over the oceans • Emphasis on tropical and extra-tropical cyclones • Brightness Temperature 1D-Var (SSM/I, TRMM-TMI) • Surface Rain Rate1D-Var (SSM/I, TRMM-TMI/PR) • Develop a strategy to assimilate rain information: Either a 1D-Var (analyzed IWV) + 4D-Var or Direct 3D-Var assimilation • Kain-Fritsch, CLOUST (TJ 2003), RTTOVSCATT • Background from GEM-mesoglobal (58 levels, top at 10 hPa, 0.45ox 0.3o grid, 12h forecast) GRIP (Government Related Initiatives Program) Canadian Space Agency (CSA)
TROPICAL CYCLONE ZOE (2002 12 27 0000 UTC):T and Q Inc.Assimilation of F15 SSM/I Tb SRR SRR SRR SRR Temperature increments (K) Specific Humidity increments (gkg-1)
Assimilation of Atmospheric Refractivity from GPS Radio-Occultations • 2 Satellites operating: CHAMP, SAC-C • Average 200 occultations/day (50 refractivity measures/profile) • Occultations assimilated with CMC operational 3D-Var • Experiment to be performed for Jan 2004 • Data is refractivity vs. geometric height. • Bending angle vs. impact parameter is under development • Measurements below 5 km black-listed (retrieval algorithms not sufficiently reliable yet). • First Results from CHAMP/SAC-C tests expected by September 2004. • Then prepare for COSMIC data (3000 occu.’s/day). Simulated data. Launch late 2005. GRIP (Government Related Initiatives Program) Canadian Space Agency
CHAMP+SAC-C Refractivity 3D-Var Assimilation 2004 01 06 0000 UTC (±3h) OBS-Forecast & OBS-Analysis: mean & ±1σ
Assimilation of soil moisture • Develop CALDAS: provide initial state for NWP model -off-line land surface process model ISBA (Noilhan et al.) -assimilate Tb (1.4-19 GHz) + IR Tskin -2D-Var and/or Kalman filter • Preparation for ESSP HYDROS (L-band active and passive) (2010 launch) -soil moisture & freeze/thaw state GRIP (Government Related Initiatives Program) Canadian Space Agency
Assimilation of Ground-based GPS ZTD & GPS met Surface Pressure • 1) Collocation study on Integrated Water Vapor: radiosondes, ground-based GPS and analyses/6h trials from GEM global (28 levels, 0.9o). • 2) Impact of Assimilating ZTD & Ps Obs. on Q: 1D-Var with synthetic background and obs • 3) Future work: Assimilation in regional model. Work in progress.
Ground-Based GPS IWV collocation study 7 months: April, June, July, August, October 2001 & January 2002 112 sites: Final GPS zenith tropospheric delay estimation (7 AC) (final orbit product) 16 sites: GPS met Ps 66 sites: Have collocated radiosondes
IGS data set (3-way comparison) TRIAL (6h) RS GPS RELATIVE ERROR (%) ABSOLUTE ERROR (mm) TRIAL RS GPS
Assimilation of ZTD & Ps Observations: 1D-Var with synthetic background and obs ZTD obs error = 12 mm • Impact of assimilating Ps & ZTD on analyzed Q: • -Slightly higher error reduction due to correlation of model Ps and Q errors. • -Assimilation of Ps observations results in more accurate analyzed Ps
HYPERSPECTRAL INFRARED (AIRS) • 281 channel set received via internet • RTTOV-7 radiative transfer model • Current work on cloud mask, cloud top determination, pixel • selection, monitoring, bias correction, visualization tools • Choice of channels still open, but to begin with: • - channels insensitive above model top at 10hPa • - channels insensitive to surface over land • - expected initial number of the order of 80-100 • Current personal: 1 PhD, 1 MSc (GRIP CSA), +1 Post-doc in fall • Assimilation cycles to begin fall 2004 • First operational implementation by mid 2005, in 4D-var system
GEM-Strato (model top extended from 10 to 0.1 hPa) • Improve forecast in the stratosphere • Assimilate channels with non-zero weighting function above 10 hPa (AMSU-A 11-14 + more weight on AMSU-A 9-10 + AIRS/IASI) • Future data assimilation of stratospheric ozone • Hybrid vertical coordinate Laprise and Girard (1990), 80 vertical levels, top at 0.1 hPa • 3D-Var Analysis levels same as GEM-strato • Moisture analysis up to 70 hPa (was 300 hPa) • Analyses/fcsts improved in the lower stratosphere - above 100 hPa much better than GEM-operational
Jan/Feb 2002: Operational & GEM-Strato —Verification vs raobs NH GZ T UV T-Td
ASSIMILATION OF SSM/I TB/CLEAR SKY F13,F14,F15 July 2003 INTEGRATED WATER VAPOR
ASSIMILATION OF SSM/I TB/CLEAR SKY F13,F14,F15 • SSM/I Tb ready for parallel runs Oct 2004