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Cohesion Fund (including former ISPA) 2000 -2006 ex post evaluation

This evaluation examines the contribution of the Cohesion Fund to EU transport and environment policies and analyzes the cost-benefit of selected projects. It provides insights on the utilization rates, economic benefits, and wider socio-economic impacts of these projects. Lessons learned and recommendations for improving future evaluations are also discussed.

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Cohesion Fund (including former ISPA) 2000 -2006 ex post evaluation

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  1. Cohesion Fund (including former ISPA) 2000 -2006 ex post evaluation Jurate Vaznelyte, Adam Abdulwahab Evaluation Network Meeting Brussels, April 14th 2011

  2. WP A: Contribution to EU transport and environment policies. Contract awarded to RGL Forensics /AECOM (UK). Work started in January 2010, to be completed in July 2011. WP B: Cost benefit analysis of selected transport projects.Contract awarded to Frontier Economics (UK). Work started in January 2010. Final report expected in May 2011. WP C: Cost benefit analysis of selected environment projects. Contract awarded to COWI (DK). Work started in January 2010. Final report expected in May 2011. WP D: Management and Implemenation Contract to be awarded within 2011. Study should be completed within 5 months. WP E: Drawing conclusions and recommendations. Internal work of the Evaluation unit Evaluation structure and timing 2

  3. WP A: Contribution to EU transport and environment policies (1) Cohesion Fund(CF)co-financed 1,139 projects and allocated 34 million euro during the 2000-2006 period. On average, CF contributed 11% of the total investment needs of each of the beneficiary countries. For EU4 countries, on average, CF funding equals to 0.21% of their GDP (ranges from 0.07% in Ireland to 0.3% in Portugal) For EU10 countries, CF as a proportion to GDP ranges from 0.12% in Cyprus to 0.66% in Bulgaria (on average 0.36 % of GDP) 3

  4. WP A: Contribution to EU transport and environment policies (2) • Transport sector: • CF co-financed 1,281 km of new roads and 3,176 km of reconstructed roads (4,457 km roads (new and reconstructed)in total) • CF co-financed 2,010 km of new rail and 3,840 km of reconstructed rail (5,350 km rail (new and reconstructed) in total) • Environment sector: • 17.2 million additional people were served by water supply projects • 18.9 million additional population were served by waste water projects

  5. WP B: Cost benefit analysis of selected 10 transport projects (1) • 1. M1 motorway – Ireland • 2. Agiou Konstantinou bypass – Greece • 3. Railway line Thriassio-Pedio- Eleusina-Korinthos – Greece • 4. Levante – Francia motorway - Spain • 5. High-speed rail line Madrid- Barcelona-French border – Spain • 6. Modernisation of the Algarve rail line - Portugal • 7. IXB Transport Corridor – Lithuania • 8. Construction of A2 Motorway – Poland • 9. Eastern Section of the M0 Budapest Ring Road between National Road 4 and M3 – Hungary • 10. Modernisation of the railway line Senkevice-Cifer and stations Raca-Trnava – Slovak Republic

  6. WP B: Cost benefit analysis of selected 10 transport projects (2) • All projects delivered value for money. • Some questions about the utilisation rates (e.g. A23 motorway in Spain exhibits a utilisation rate of 5%, while M1 motorway in Ireland around 100%) • The Cohesion Fund contribution was needed to unlock the economic benefits of these projects. • Benefits from these projects come from 8 categories (travel time saving, vehicle operating cost, safety improvements, carbon emission, air and noise reduction ad other). • It was difficult to establish a direct causal link between the transport infrastructure investments and the wider socio-economic impacts (especially relevant for GDP).

  7. WP B – some qualitative findings (3) • Wider impacts are an important source of costs and benefits, but infrastructure impacts on (local) economy are difficult to measure. • Ex ante CBA is one among many factors considered in the decision making process. • Ex ante vs. ex post comparisons require historical memory and common model. • Ex post evaluation helps to improve the ex ante analysis (demand modeling, risk analysis) and adds transparency to the ex ante analysis

  8. WP C: Cost benefit analysis of selected 10 environment projects (1) • 4 solid waste and 6 water/wastewater projects • Delay of implementation: more of an up-date of ex ante CBA than actual ex post • Limited information on operation • Non-technical results are not yet observable • Monitoring and data on before/after situation is problematic • Technical solutions are generally OK

  9. WP C: revision of ex ante CBAs (2) • Legal compliance is the main driver of investments • CBA is focused on the “administrative” project • “Ticking the box” approach, not integrated into decision-making processes • Quality to be improved • Individual project components are not valued individually • Missing the “big picture” (total river basin, synergies among projects)

  10. WP C: lessons learnt (3) • CBA helps decisions if: • Carried out early in the process • Process seems to be more important than the values attached to costs & benefits • Roles of financial and economic analysis are clear and distinguished • Carrying out ex post CBAs: • More useful if ex ante CBA is of good quality • Benefits can be best identified by examining individual components • Wider benefits are important but difficult to quantify

  11. Thank you for your attentionhttp://ec.europa.eu/regional_policy/sources/docgener/evaluation/rado_en.htm

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