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Technological Evolution

Technological Evolution. Reverse Engineering the Human Brain. Pete, Steve, Malaya, Craig, Binu‏. Six Epochs of Evolution. Epoch-1 Physics and Chemistry – Atomic molecules Epoch-2 Biology/Information in DNA Epoch-3 Brains/Information in neural patterns

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Technological Evolution

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  1. Technological Evolution Reverse Engineering the Human Brain Pete, Steve, Malaya, Craig, Binu‏

  2. Six Epochs of Evolution • Epoch-1 Physics and Chemistry – Atomic molecules • Epoch-2 Biology/Information in DNA • Epoch-3 Brains/Information in neural patterns • Epoch-4 Technology/Information in hardware and software • Epoch-5 Merger of Technology and Human Intelligence • Epoch-6 The Universe Awakens • mater and energy in the universe become saturated with intelligent process and knowledge

  3. The Singularity is Near • “I set the date for the singularity repressing a profound and disruptive transformation in human capability – as 2045. The non biological intelligence created in that year will be one billion more powerful than all human intelligence today” Kurzweil • What is the Singularity?

  4. Law of Accelerating Returns

  5. Law of Accelerating Returns

  6. Historical Context • 20th century progress is equivalent to last 20 years of 2000, the next 20 in 14years, and the next in 7years • Stone tools, fire, wheel took 10,000 years • Printing press took a 100 years to be adopted • First computer designed with pencil on paper ~50 • Human genome took 13 yrs vast % towards the latter years

  7. Evolution • Advanced mammals add 1cubic inch of brain matter every 100K years • Doubling computational capacity every year

  8. Kurzweils Timeline Timeline: The Future According to Ray Kurzweil (JANUARY 09, 2006 Computer World article) • 2010: Computers become invisible • 2013: Human brain functional simulation • 2020: $1k buys a computer working at 10 quadrillion, or 1016, calculations per second. (Human brain functional simulation) • 2025: Computer are able to simulate the entire human brain. (Neural Upload) • 2030: Non-biological intelligence matches human intelligence in range and subtlety; $1k buys a computer 1,000 times more powerful than the human brain. • 2045: The point of "singularity" is reached, when technical progress is so fast that unenhanced human intelligence can't follow it. One can no longer distinguish between our biology and our technology. • 2050: Computing will exceed the processing power of all humans on Earth for $1k • 22nd century: Our intelligence, biological and non-biological combined, saturates the matter and energy around us and begins to spread throughout the universe.

  9. The Human Brain • Hardware • 1014 - 1016cps • 1013 – 1018 bits of memory • Software • Human Genome consists of 800 million bytes : remove the redundancy 109 • Hardware Advancement • 3 x 1015cps (Blue Gene/p) • 1012( accessible in 14 nano-seconds) Quantum dots 1 sq inch. • Software • MS Word >109 • Human Brain achieves 3 dimensional processing via folding

  10. Software Developments • Audio sensory software • Neural networks, Genetic algorithms • Retina Implant software • Mouse brain mapped • Identified brain cancer (giloma) gene

  11. Computational Developments • IBM Blue Gene /P 3 petaflops (3 x 1015cps) • Original design and estimate for 1 petaflop • Speed of light may not be a constant • Quantum Computing – Dr. Frank

  12. Innovations • Nanotechnology • “We are helping the military shorten its supply lines by increasing the thermal performance of its tents by reducing diesel needs by 30%” • DNA Computing 6.6 x 1014cps • Self Assembly • Computing with Spin

  13. Technical Barriers to Breach • Deep brain Scanning - Mapping neural activity • 4 yr $55 million effort to build 3 dimensional • Mapping the Visual cortex functional • 3 Dimensional processing • AI Turing test • “Turing test will be limited to controlling avatars in a virtual world--probably Second Life” Fall 2008 IBM Blue Gene

  14. Bibliography/Reading List • http://www.kurzweilai.net/meme/frame.html?main=/articles/art0534.html • http://www.kurzweilai.net/articles/art0465.html?printable=1 • http://www.computerworld.com/action/article.do?command=printArticleBasic&articleId=107494 • http://www-03.ibm.com/press/us/en/pressrelease/21791.wss

  15. Further Research • Network traffic efficiency maximized by emulating the neural networks • Shrinking Technology lifecycle • Intelligence awakening of the universe and historical research vs. ancient Hindu texts on Nirvana ‘Universe Intelligent’

  16. Companies • http://www.apinanotronics.com/ • IBM [IBM], Hewlett-Packard [HPQ], ChevronTexaco, [CVX] and DuPont [DD] • http://www.aerogel.com/ • http://www.nanoterra.com • http://www.nanosolar.com

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