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THE SECURITISATION MARKET IN SPAIN: PAST, PRESENT AND FUTURE

THE SECURITISATION MARKET IN SPAIN: PAST, PRESENT AND FUTURE. Roberto Blanco. Head of the Financial Studies Division (DG Economics, Statistics and Research). WPFS WORKSHOP ON SECURITISATION. Madrid 27-28 MAY 2010. OUTLINE OF THE PRESENTATION. The pre-crisis period (2000-August 2007)

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THE SECURITISATION MARKET IN SPAIN: PAST, PRESENT AND FUTURE

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  1. THE SECURITISATION MARKET IN SPAIN: PAST, PRESENT AND FUTURE Roberto Blanco Head of the Financial Studies Division (DG Economics, Statistics and Research) WPFS WORKSHOP ON SECURITISATION Madrid 27-28 MAY 2010

  2. OUTLINE OF THE PRESENTATION • The pre-crisis period (2000-August 2007) • Substantial expansion of ABS and covered bonds • Main charateristics of the products • Driving factors of the expansion • The crisis period (since August 2007) • Quantities • Prices • Main factors • The perspectives • Concluding remarks

  3. ABS AND COVERED BONDS EXPANDED SUBSTANTIALLY IN SPAIN BETWEEN 2000 AND 2007 Q2

  4. SPAIN BECAME ONE OF THE MAIN EUROPEAN MARKETS FOR ABS AND COVERED BONDS

  5. ABS VS COVERED BONDS

  6. DISTINCTIVE FEATURES OF SPANISH SECURITISATION • Simple products • No CDO, CDO squared • No synthetic securitisation • Less conflicts of interest between originators and investors • Originators retained the equity tranches • Comparatively higher transparency and investor protection • Prospectus • Registry at the CNMV • Legal framework for mortgages

  7. CREDIT RISKS WERE NOT TRANSFERRED WITH ABS

  8. COLLATERAL. ABS VS COVERED BONDS

  9. FUNDING WAS THE MAIN FACTOR FOR THE EXPANSION OF ABS

  10. AFTER THE SUMMER OF 2007 PUBLIC ISSUANCE OF ABSs FELL EVERYWHERE

  11. WHEREAS COVERED BOND ISSUANCE WAS MORE RESILIENT

  12. IN TERMS OF PRICES THE IMPACT OF THE CRISIS WAS ALSO LESS STRONG FOR COVERED BONDS

  13. FACTORS FOR THE WORST PERFORMANCE OF ABSs AT THE INTERNATIONAL LEVEL • Lack of investor confidence for ABSs • Lack of transparency regarding underlying assets • Conflict of interests between originators and investors • Exit of SIVs and ABCP conduits • They played a crucial role in transforming maturities in ABSs • Market liquidity • Uncertainty regarding credit quality

  14. THE PERSPECTIVES: DEMAND KEY FACTORS: Uncertainty regarding credit quality Investor confidence in the products Liquidity in the secondary markets For (1), the macroeconomic and financial developments will play a role For (2) and (3) current private and public iniciatives to re-establish securitisation on a sounder basis will help

  15. THE PERSPECTIVES: SUPPLY

  16. CONCLUDING REMARKS • The pre-crisis levels will not (and should not) be reached in the medium term • Lower demand: SIVs and conduits will not (and should not) return • Lower suppy: deleveraging of the financial and non-financial sectors • But some recovery from the current low levels seems desirable since securitisation can play some important economic roles (not played by covered bonds) • Credit risks can be transferred (diversification) • No maturity mismatch • Wider collateral (SMEs) • Tranching • Main challenges: • Restore investor confidence • Improve market liquidity • Current private and public iniciatives to re-establish securitisation on a sounder basis are welcome

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