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MUCM going forward

MUCM going forward. Team Meeting, July 2009. MUCM2. Two year project Starting 1 st October 2010 Finishing 30 th September 2012 People Continuation for most of our RAPS But only at 50% FTE (equivalent to just 12 months each) We have to get other funding to run alongside MUCM2

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MUCM going forward

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  1. MUCM going forward Team Meeting, July 2009

  2. MUCM2 • Two year project • Starting 1st October 2010 • Finishing 30th September 2012 • People • Continuation for most of our RAPS • But only at 50% FTE (equivalent to just 12 months each) • We have to get other funding to run alongside MUCM2 • Flexibility will be essential • Team working even more important • Continuation for Jo (40%), me (20%), co-investigators (10%)

  3. Research • Exploring and scoping new areas • Developing only far enough to break the ground • Publish initial findings and/or case studies • Draw up research proposals • Objective is to set up grants and contracts to tackle these new areas • And so to take MUCM forward beyond MUCM2 • Four workpackages • Random outputs • Informing decisions • Heterogeneity • Building the community

  4. Random outputs • Different types of random simulators • Micro-simulation models in health economics • Agent-based models • Systems biology models • Stochastic finite elements models • Challenges • Emulating a distribution • Design • Model discrepancy • Calibration • Dynamic emulation • Extremes • Superparametrisation

  5. Workpackages 2 and 3 • Informing decisions • Optimisation • Coupling models • Decisions that expand models • Fitness for purpose • Risk metrics • Heterogeneity • Discontinuities • Heterogeneous variance

  6. Building the community • Toolkit • More introductory material and examples • New stuff, too • Short courses • At conferences in targeted application areas • Video podcasts/seminars • Linked to/from toolkit • Website • Community resource • .ac.uk address • Sustainability

  7. Where does this leave MUCM? • We must complete the research programme • MUCM2 is not there to finish things we didn’t complete in MUCM • Workpackages based on doing new research will deliver • Themes 1 and 2, plus 3.1 • But concentrate now on completing research, publications • We have to make special efforts to deliver on - • Toolkit • Case studies • MUCM will be judged on these • Management becomes important again!

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