1 / 29

Greenhouse Effect from Carbon Neutral: carbonneutral.au/climatechangediagram.htm

Greenhouse Effect from Carbon Neutral: http://www.carbonneutral.com.au/climatechangediagram.htm. Human Causes of Climate Change UNEP: http://maps.grida.no/go/graphic/climate-change-global-processes-and-effects1.

earl
Download Presentation

Greenhouse Effect from Carbon Neutral: carbonneutral.au/climatechangediagram.htm

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Greenhouse Effectfrom Carbon Neutral: http://www.carbonneutral.com.au/climatechangediagram.htm

  2. Human Causes of Climate ChangeUNEP: http://maps.grida.no/go/graphic/climate-change-global-processes-and-effects1

  3. 2009 State of the Climate Report US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/cmb/bams-sotc/2009/bams-sotc-2009-brochure-hi-rez.pdf

  4. 2009 State of the Climate Report

  5. 2009 State of the Climate Report

  6. 2009 State of the Climate Report

  7. In Summary: • A comprehensive review of key climate indicators confirms the world is warming and the past decade was the warmest on record. More than 300 scientists from 48 countries analyzed data on 37 climate indicators, including sea ice, glaciers and air temperatures. A more detailed review of 10 of these indicators, selected because they are clearly and directly related to surface temperatures, all tell the same story: global warming is undeniable. 2009 State of the Climate Report

  8. What does it mean? Long Term Changes Thompson Reuters Humanitarian Alert Net http://www.alertnet.org/db/an_art/60167/2010/02/3-161204-1.htm

  9. http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/8629379.stm

  10. http://www.scidev.net/en/news/climate-change-threatens-important-mangroves.htmlhttp://www.scidev.net/en/news/climate-change-threatens-important-mangroves.html

  11. What does it mean? Extreme Events http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/aug/09/weather-hampers-pakistan-flood-relief

  12. What we can say is that global warming has an effect on the probability and intensity of extreme events. This is true for precipitation as well as temperature, because the amount of water vapour that the air carries is a strong function of temperature. So the frequency of extremely heavy rain and floods increases as global warming increases. But at times and places of drought, global warming can increase the extremity of temperature and associated events such as forest fires. Climate Change and Extreme Weather Events Dr James Hansen: What Climate Change Looks Like ... So Far http://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailings/2010/20100813_WhatGlobalWarmingLooksLike.pdf

  13. http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/interactive/2009/dec/02/world-climate-anomalies-maphttp://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/interactive/2009/dec/02/world-climate-anomalies-map http://www.unep.org/pdf/ccScienceCompendium2009/cc_ScienceCompendium2009_full_en.pdf

  14. In Summary: • The consequences of climate change are already unfolding. • We are “locked in” to further increases in temperature and related impacts. • These two factors influence next steps.

  15. Climate Change and Conflict Climate change impacts water, agriculture, health; leads to urbanization, migration. These impacts will create conflict. Resolution of conflict depends on governance/local resilience/adaptive capacity. Poor governance – greater chance of instability and violence. Summarized from A Climate of Conflict: The Links Between Climate Change, Peace and War International Alert, November 2007 http://www.international-alert.org/climate_change/index.php

  16. Some examples: Mali vs. Chad: different response to long term drought Haiti versus Dominican Republic: response to extreme storms British Columbia – Pine Beetle – Fires – Institutional Response/Regional Cooperation Many factors involved – how do governments react? See Climate of Conflict

  17. Key country factors in climate –conflict resolution: • Political stability • Economic strength • Food security • Existing pressures from migration/urbanization Consequences of failure to adapt: • Malnutrition, starvation, violence, migration From Climate of Conflict

  18. Responding to climate change and avoiding conflict: key points Adaptation as primary focus in LDC’s, NOT mitigation (climate change will happen) Build strong communities and institutions to increase local resilience and security Pursue adaptations based on local strengths AND climate science (know local impacts of long term trends) Regional interdependence, international cooperation and support will also be important From Climate of Conflict

  19. Where do you fit in?

  20. B: States facing a high risk of political instability as a knock-on consequence of climate change: 4. Belarus 5. Brazil 21. Jamaica 23. Kenya 32. Mexico 52. Ukraine A: States facing a high risk of armed conflict as a knock-on consequence of climate change: 11. Colombia 23. Indonesia 34. Philippines 36. Senegal 41. Sri Lanka From Climate of Conflict (International Alert) Conflict: current or recent war, poverty and inequality, bad governance, corruption, arbitrary authority, poor systems of justice, weak institutions Instability: arbitrary rule, transition from dictatorship or war, under development, lack of technical capacity

  21. Source: World Bank Environment Department June 2009 http://siteresources.worldbank.org/ENVIRONMENT/Resources/ESW_EcosystemBasedApp.pdf

  22. Summary • The countries least responsible for the problem will bear the greatest impact. • Issue of global justice, calls for international cooperation and support for adaptation – not just aid in time of crisis. • World wide benefits: peace, security, stability, sustainable development.

  23. Other Resources • UNEP Climate Change Science Compendium 2009 http://www.unep.org/compendium2009/ (latest science background) • Climate Action Network http://www.climatenetwork.org/ (networking-NGO’s) • Small Island Developing States Network (networking -- Jamaica) http://www.sidsnet.org/1f.html • Facebook: Christina Ora, Solomon Islands (networking -- activist) • Oxfam http://www.oxfam.org/en/climatechange (adaptation -- what works; DRR example, Kenya) • UNFCC National Adaptation Programme of Action (national strategies: Senegal, Tanzania) http://unfccc.int/cooperation_support/least_developed_countries_portal/submitted_napas/items/4585.php • UNFCC Impacts, Vulnerabilities and Adaptations in Developing Countries http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/publications/impacts.pdf (regional details, adaptation strategies) • World Bank http://beta.worldbank.org/climatechange/regions (Market based solutions for G-77) • International Strategy for Disaster Reduction (IPCC WG II) (international framework, tools) http://www.unisdr.org/eng/risk-reduction/climate-change/climate-change.html • International Alert: Climate Change, Conflict and Fragility (2009)http://www.international-alert.org/pdf/Climate_change_conflict_and_fragility_Nov09.pdf (adaptation issues and approaches, Philippines example)

  24. Background data and sources

More Related