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63 rd Session of UNECE Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation – the Work of the ECE Geneva, 31 March 2009. Panel One: Energy Efficiency, Air Pollution and GHG Emissions Moderator: Prof David Simon Royal Holloway, University of London. Distinguishing GEC from ‘natural’ disasters.
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63rd Session of UNECEClimate Change Mitigation and Adaptation – the Work of the ECEGeneva, 31 March 2009 Panel One: Energy Efficiency, Air Pollution and GHG Emissions Moderator: Prof David Simon Royal Holloway, University of London
Distinguishing GEC from ‘natural’ disasters • Disasters usually short, one-off extreme events • ‘Natural’ vs anthropogenic disasters • GEC • Increased frequency and severity of extreme events • Slow-onset, (semi-)permanent changes
Policy responses to GEC: • Mitigation: • short- to medium term • reducing vulnerability and impact • Adaptation: • longer term • changes to how & where we live
Recent Global Sea Level Rise Estimates Data: Church and White (2006) Scenarios 2100: 50 – 140 cm (Rahmstorf 2007) 55 – 110 cm (“high end”, Delta Committee 2008) Scenarios 2200: 150 – 350 cm (“high end”, Delta Committee 2008) Scenarios 2300: 250 – 510 cm (German Advisory Council on Global Change, WBGU, 2006) WBGU Delta Comm. Rahmstorf Data
Table 1 Greenhouse gas production Source: The Guardian (London) 31 October 2006
World Carbon Dioxide Emissions by Region,2003-2030 (Billion Tonnes of Carbon Dioxide) http://www.eia.doe.gov/bookshelf/brochures/greenhouse/Chapter1.htm