Sector Councils – Partnerships That Work

1. Sector Councils – Partnerships That Work The Alliance of Sector Councils L’Alliance des conseils sectoriels

2. Imports from China • The recent Globe and Mail expose on China showed that among the top 10 imports from China are products from these sectors: • computers and mechanical appliances • electrical and electronic equipment • furniture, • apparel and clothing • iron and steel • plastics

3. Exports to China • The top10 list of exports to China include products of these sectors: • computer and mechanical appliances • fish and seafood products • electrical and electronic equipment • nickel

4. Canada / China • Overall, the imports side of the ledger was much higher than the export side. • Clear that Canada needs to do a lot more work to become more competitive. • Part of the solution lies in a highly skilled workforce • The good news is that these sectors of the economy, relate to several of the human resources sectors that exist in Canada.

5. TASC – Common Agenda Core Purpose To engender a cohesive sectoral approach to providing labour market solutions. Mission To assist sector councils in providing labour market solutions. Vision To be the forum for human resource sector council partnerships that work. Mandate • To collectively carry out decisions of common interest. • To provide a forum to exchange information and identify priorities. • To promote sector councils & link to governments, learning-, skills- and HR-focused organizations.

6. Sector Councils • Neutral forum for employers and employees • Focus on human resource development • Some existing 10 – 15 years • Reaching 40 % of Labour Market • Public & private funding support • Expectations

7. Sectors • Apparel • Appliance repair & service • Automotive manufacturing • Automotive repair & service • Aviation maintenance • Biotechnology • Bus transportation • Child care • Construction • Culture • Customer contact centres • Environment • Fish harvesters • International trade • Food retail • Logistics • Mining • Petroleum • Plastics • Police • Public policing • Seafood processing • Software • Steel • Textiles • Tourism • Trucking • Wood manufacturing

8. Working Group on Labour Market Information • To determine possible common approaches to LMI across sector councils. • To develop stronger links with partners working with LMI.

9. Labour Market Challenges • Demographics, youth entrants, skilled trades • Unemployed and underemployed • Immigration and new Canadians: recognition • National & international LM, local implementation • Changing technology and skill requirements • Learning systems: education, training & skills preparation for LM • “Learning/training culture”

10. Electricity Sector Human Resources Catherine Cottingham Electricity Sector Council November, 2005

11. Current Employment 1. Primary line of business is electricity generation, transmission or distribution (e) = estimated

12. Diversity Profile Electricity Source: 2004 Canadian Electricity Sector Study Employee Survey (n=3,514) Other Sector/National Source: Statistics Canada. Census 2001 12

13. Working Conditions Source: 2004 Canadian Electricity Sector Study Employee Survey (n=3,514)

14. Age of Employees Source: 2004 Canadian Electricity Sector Study Employee Survey (n=3,330)

15. Age by Major Occupational Group

16. Age of Employees by Sector Source: 2004 Canadian Electricity Sector Study Employee Survey

17. Retirement Projections One-third of employees are expected to retire in the next nine years Source: Primary Producer and Associate Producer Survey (n=63). Not all producers provided data concerning retirement. Current number of employees represent the industry-wide estimate for non-support staff in both producer/associate producer establishments. Employees in each sector reflect Primary Producer counts extrapolated for the industry total. * Too few employees were reported for the “other” business line to report this figure. As a result, the columns will not sum to the total row. Source: Primary Producer Survey (n=29). .

18. Estimated Supply/Demand Gap Estimated at annual positions per year

19. Hot Jobs! • Power Systems Engineers • Protection & Control Technologists • Power Line Technicians • Nuclear Engineers • Nuclear Operators • Generation Technicians • Wind Energy Technicians

20. Rising Demand Change in Canadian Population and Electricity Demand From 1993 to 2003 (Index- 1993 = 100) Source: Statistics Canada. “Energy Statistics Handbook, Quarter 1, 2004”. Catalogue no. 57-601-XIE. Data for 2003 from Statistics Canada, CANSIM Table 128-0003, Catalogue no.57-003-XPB.

21. Case Study: Manitoba Hydro • Vertically integrated: generation, transmission, distribution • 2 major hydro projects approved, another close to final approval • Significant aboriginal hiring focus • Sector Councils supporting: Electricity, Construction, Software, Environment, Aboriginal, Contact Centre • Sector Partner organizations: CCPE, CCTT, CTHRB

22. Background Slides

23. Electricity Sector Council • Canadian Electricity Association, Electrofederation, Canadian Wind Energy Association, Canadian Nuclear Association • IBEW, PWU, CUPE, Society of Energy Prof • CCDA, ACCC, University • CCTT, CCPE

24. Low Growth Scenario electricity demand continues to grow at 1.8%/year, worker productivity matches demand growth no additional workforce issues associated with the replacement of existing infrastructure estimates of retirement patterns based on employer estimates of actual retirements (13.4% - next 5 years; 28.4% - next 10 years) need to recruit to fill voluntary separations would be minimal (1%/year) electricity sector attracts 5% of engineering graduates and 8% of electricity-related trades/technical graduates High Growth Scenario electricity demand continues to growth at 1.8%/year, worker productivity does not match demand growth (0.8% difference) replacement infrastructure demands represents approximately 9% increase in the required workforce by 2010 estimates of retirement patterns based on employer estimates of eligible retirements (18.8% - next 5 years; 39.2% - next 10 years) electricity sector attracts 5% of engineering graduates and 8% of electricity-related trades/technical graduates Rationale to Low/High Scenarios

25. Labour Market Information Program FLMM November 9, 2005 Halifax, Nova Scotia

26. LMI – the cornerstone of CSC activity… • LMI Program • Supply and Demand Forecasting Tool • Regional Network • Owners Committee • Web based Data Input & Delivery • Research

27. What we did . . . Built a tool • Built Labour Demand Forecasting Model • Economic outlook to 2013 • Construction investment to 2013 • Construction employment requirements to 2013 by trade by province • Built Labour Supply Side Model • Census data • Industry input (surveys, Regional LMI Committees) • Apprenticeship data • Produced Labour Requirement Assessments • For 38 Construction Trades • By Province

28. CSC presents 1st forecast … • 1st round of an industry, ground up forecast • State-of-the-art for construction industry but not perfect yet • Had to work with existing data in some instances so it needs refinements • Wanted to show industry and government the potential of the forecasting tool to provide information needed to manage the construction workforce

29. Model Changes / Improvements • Improved and expanded industry consultation process • Expanded market assessment criteria including: • replacement demand • mobility (non-construction / regional) • regional apprenticeship • New to Round 2 - scenario analysis • ‘base’ scenario using common set of assumptions across all regions • optional alternative growth scenarios that are unique to each region • likely focus on shifts in the timing of major projects or include major projects that had reported a lower probability of proceeding under the ‘base’ or most likely scenario. • committees could also consider changes to the key economic assumptions.

30. Requests for LMI in 1st round... • Example of requests for LMI data: • VANOC (Whistler Olympics) • Manitoba Hydro • Canadian Natural Resources Limited • Ontario Government • Citizenship and Immigration • Construction Owners Association of Alberta • “Looking for workers in our backyard is not good enough anymore” • “Workforce availability becoming the biggest risk factor in undertaking major projects”

31. Thank You QUESTIONS ?

32. Thank You Andrew Cardozo The Alliance of Sector Councils acardozo@councils.org Catherine Cottingham Electricity Sector Council cottingham@canelect.ca Rosemary Sparks Construction Sector Council sparks@csc-ca.org