Introduction to the UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC)

1. Introduction to the UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium(ITRC) Mr David Alderson Newcastle University 3rd August 2012

2. Overview • What is the Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC)? • Aims and objectives • Who is involved in the consortium? • Research institutions • Partners and stakeholders • How is the research organised? • Work streams • Work stream integration at Newcastle • How can I find out more information? www.itrc.org.uk

3. ITRC Aim andAmbition Aim: To develop and demonstrate a new generation of simulation models and tools to inform the analysis, planning and design of national infrastructure Challenges: • Analysing the long term state of NI systems • Uncertainties e.g. in demand, economic conditions, costs, performance • The complexity of multiple governance arrangements and projects • The capacity of UK industry to compete in globalised markets for infrastructure services www.itrc.org.uk

4. Support Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council Programme Grant £4.7 million University contributions £1 million Industry contributions £1.6 million Research institutions Lead Universities • University of Oxford • Newcastle University • Cardiff University • University of Leeds • University of Southampton • University of Sussex • University of Cambridge www.itrc.org.uk

5. Partners and stakeholders Over 40 partners in industry and government: • Government departments, agencies and local authorities • Utility companies • Engineering and multi-disciplinary consultants • Contractors • Insurers • Research organisations and data providers • Engineering institutions • NGOs www.itrc.org.uk

6. ITRC Work Stream Overview www.itrc.org.uk

7. Work stream 1 • Balancing infrastructure capacity and demand under uncertainty • Capacity and demand modules (CDAM) being developed across key national infrastructure sectors: • Energy demand (Oxford) • Energy capacity (Cardiff) • Transport (Southampton) • Water/Wastewater (Newcastle) • Solid waste (Southampton) • ICT handled separately (Newcastle) • Integration framework being developed (Newcastle) • Projections for demographics and economics (Leeds and Cambridge) www.itrc.org.uk

8. Work Stream 1 and 4 Integration Newcastle www.itrc.org.uk

9. Work Stream 1 and 4 Integration - Tools Population (Leeds) NetCDF Economics (Cambridge) www.itrc.org.uk

10. Work stream 2 • Understanding future risks of infrastructure failure • Consideration of impacts of natural hazards e.g. • Flooding • Subsidence • Climate • Interdependencies between different networks e.g. links between water and electricity • Construction of key national infrastructure networks • Custom, open-source, interdependency database schema www.itrc.org.uk

11. WS2 risk analysis framework Direct effects Indirect effects Interdependent networks Economic loss NI 2 NI Extreme climate hazard 1 Cost Output loss Interdependent loss Event 3 4 Net Benefit Frequency Failure propagation 2 Cost 1 Event Economic loss Spatial extent 3 4 Uncertain & temporal Resource management Performance level Load Probability Failure

12. Work stream 3 • Managing infrastructure as a complex adaptive system • Explore long term interactions between infrastructure, society and the economy • Understanding the evolutionary process of infrastructure • Network dynamics to understand how networks will evolve through time www.itrc.org.uk

13. Work stream 4 • Enabling Tools • Development of National Infrastructure Asset Database at Newcastle • For researchers, for dissemination, for industry • Reporting infrastructure performance indicators related to outcomes of WS1 • Visualisation of networks from WS2 • Interrogation of underlying data • Tools to generate dissemination outputs www.itrc.org.uk

14. National Infrastructure Database - Newcastle ITRC Hazards ITRC Water ITRC Transport ITRC Waste ITRC Economics ITRC Population ITRC Energy ITRC spatial database comprises of 100’s layers organised into separate databases by sector.

15. National Infrastructure Asset Database Network Examples Gas Transmission Electricity Transmission Regional Electricity Distribution NetworkX Network Interdependency Database (PostGIS) OS Strategi Roads OS Strategi Rail

16. Work stream 5 • Developing integrated strategies for transitions in National Infrastructure systems • Facilitating delivery of results to industry and policy makers • 3 phase co-production cycle • Phase 1: “A fast track analysis of strategies for infrastructure provision in Great Britain” • Phase 2: Quantified analysis report (end of yr 3) • Phase 3: Extension of phase 2 further using methods and tools developed within yr 4/5 www.itrc.org.uk

17. Work Stream 5: Year 1 Fast Track Analysis Report contents Sectoral reviews Demand impacts of growth scenarios Performance assessment of transition strategies www.itrc.org.uk

18. Links ITRC Newsletter: http://www.itrc.org.uk/news/newsletters/subscribe-to itrc-newsletter/ Fast Track Analysis Executive Summary Report: http://www.itrc.org.uk/outputs/fta/ EPSRC ITRC Programme Grant: http://gow.epsrc.ac.uk/NGBOViewGrant.aspx?GrantRe =EP/I01344X/2 www.itrc.org.uk

19. Contact Twitter: http://twitter.com/#!/ukitrc/ Email: enquiries@itrc.org.uk Project Manager (Benjamin Kidd): benjamin.kidd@ouce.ox.ac.uk Principal Investigator (Jim Hall): Jim.hall@eci.ox.ac.uk Stakeholder Champion (Roger Street): Roger.Street@ukcip.org.uk www.itrc.org.uk

20. Thank you. David.Alderson@ncl.ac.uk www.itrc.org.uk