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Prospects of creating a CDM project pipeline in the Philippines

Prospects of creating a CDM project pipeline in the Philippines. 3 rd Asian Regional Workshop on CD4CDM 23 rd March 2004 Siem Reap, Cambodia. Contents. Emissions inventory Carbon mitigation potential Renewable energy plans LULUCF potential

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Prospects of creating a CDM project pipeline in the Philippines

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  1. Prospects of creating a CDM project pipeline in the Philippines 3rd Asian Regional Workshop on CD4CDM 23rd March 2004 Siem Reap, Cambodia

  2. Contents • Emissions inventory • Carbon mitigation potential • Renewable energy plans • LULUCF potential • Potential projects starting to enter the pipeline

  3. 1. Emissions inventory 1994 Greenhouse Gas Inventory

  4. GHG Emissions from the Energy Sector

  5. GHG Emissions from the Industrial Sector

  6. GHG Emissions from the Agriculture Sector

  7. GHG Emissions from the Waste Sector

  8. GHG Emissions and Sinks in the LUCF Sector

  9. 2. Carbon mitigation potentials

  10. CO2 Emissions from Energy Sector (PEP 2001 – 2011)

  11. Potential CO2 Avoidance from Energy Efficiency Programs (PEP 2001 – 2011)

  12. CDM POTENTIAL PROJECTS • Asia Least-Cost Greenhouse Gas Abatement Strategy (ALGAS) • analyzed mitigation of 12 Asian countries, including the Philippines • Philippine project priority areas: • energy • transport • agriculture • wastes

  13. Philippine GHG Abatement Cost and Potential Source: ALGAS

  14. SPECIFIC WIND POTENTIAL POWER SITES BATANES 1,100 KW CASIGURAN 500 kW NORTHERN LUZON 120 MW POLILLO ISLAND 500 kW MARINDUQUE ISLAND 3,000 kW CATANDUANES 2,250 kW LUBANG ISLAND 330 kW TABLAS ISLAND 1,500 kW MINDORO ISLAND-ORIENTAL 13,500 kW ROMBLON ISLAND 1,000 kW BUSUANGA ISLAND 330 kW MASBATE ISLAND 3,000 kW CUYO ISLAND 330 kW DINAGAT ISLAND 3,000 kW PALAWAN ISLAND 9,000 kW POTENTIALCAPACITY: 160,340 kW SIQUIJOR ISLAND 1,000 kW

  15. Solar Energy Resource Potential Average insolation of 5- 6 kWh/sq. m/day all throughout the country

  16. 3. Renewable energy plans Philippine Energy Plan Department of Energy

  17. OVERVIEW OF THE ENERGY SECTOR 1st Nine Months Y-O-Y NPC Power Generation 2002 2003 NPC Generation : 27,917.41 GWh Renewable Power Mix: 45% NPC Generation : 29,447.58 GWh Renewable Power Mix: 47%

  18. RE POLICY FRAMEWORK Long – Term Objectives • Increase RE-based capacity by 100% by 2012 • Be the No.1 geothermal energy producer in the world • Be the No. 1 wind energy producer in SE Asia • Double hydro capacity by 2012 • New contribution of biomass, solar and ocean by 131 MW • Become a regional solar manufacturing export hub • Increase non-power contribution of RE to the energy mix by 10 MMBFOE within the next ten years

  19. RE POLICY FRAMEWORK 10 – Year Targets, MW 2002 Target Add’l. 2013 Capacity Geothermal 1,931 1,200 3,131 Hydro 2,518 2,950 5,468 Wind 0 417 417 Solar, Biomass, Ocean 0 131 131 TOTAL 4,449 4,698 9,147

  20. 4. LULUCF potential

  21. Potential CDM forestry projects 1. Reforestation and tree plantations • could easily meet requirements for additionality 2. Agroforestry and community forestry • greatest socio-economic benefits • risks may be greater 3. Dendrothermal power plants • Ipil-ipil fed power plants

  22. “CDM”able Forest Lands CDM CDM CDM

  23. Potential forest lands for CDM • those the need to be permanently forested: critical watersheds, forest reserves, IPAS sites (4.6 M ha) • degraded land areas: 3.5 M ha

  24. Example of Degraded Watershed Lasco and Pulhin, 2003

  25. Imperata grasslands cover > 2 M ha

  26. 5. Potential projects starting to enter the pipeline

  27. Potential projects • Being considered by World Bank Prototype Carbon Fund • Endorsed by the Philippine Inter-Agency Committee on Climate Change • Received “Letter of No Objection” from the Secretary of the Department of Environment & Natural Resources

  28. POTENTIAL CDM PROJECTS Northwind Wind Power • Northwind Wind Power Project • Project site located in Bangui, Ilocos Norte • Total installed capacity of 25.5 MW • Estimated emission reduction potential of 76,218 tCO2e annually

  29. POTENTIAL CDM PROJECTS Talisay Cogeneration Plant • Proposed cogeneration plant to utilize waste product of sugar cane • Host facility is First Farmers Holding Corporation (FFHC) • Consists of 2 x 85 t/h boilers delivering steam at 65 barg and 480°C and a single condensing steam turbine generator unit with a rating of 30 MW • Estimated emission reduction potential 54,457 to 133,466 tCO2e annually

  30. POTENTIAL CDM PROJECTS Victorias Bagasse Cogeneration • Proposed cogeneration plant to utilize waste product of sugar cane • To be located at the Victorias Milling facility • Consists of 2 x 160 t/h boilers delivering steam at 65 barg & 480°C & a single back pressure steam turbine generator unit with a rating of 50 MW • Emission reduction potential 71,329 to 182,896 tCO2e annually

  31. Maraming salamat!! • Roberto C. Yap, Ph.D. Environmental Economist klima – Climate Change Center Manila Observatory Philippines Tel +63 2 426-6144 Fax +63 2 426-6070 rcyap@ateneo.edu

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