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Update on EPA Utility MACT Development. February 5, 2002 Washington, D.C. Sally Shaver US EPA. Where are we on the schedule?. Must work backwards from end-date Proposal on/before December 15, 2003 Package to Administrator by November 30 Package to OMB by August 1
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Update on EPA Utility MACT Development February 5, 2002 Washington, D.C. Sally Shaver US EPA
Where are we on the schedule? • Must work backwards from end-date • Proposal on/before December 15, 2003 • Package to Administrator by November 30 • Package to OMB by August 1 • Package to EPA/D.C. by June 1 • Prepare package December 2002 - May 2003
Where does this leave the Working Group? • Subcategorization options by April 2002 • Floor options by April 2002 • IPM runs of options May - June 2002 • REMSAD runs of options July - August 2002 • Working Group review of analyses September - November 2002 • Working Group feedback December 2002
How does this mesh with existing schedule? • In draft “Charge and Process” document • Have slipped some from that schedule • Preliminary subcategory/floor options - 12/01 • Preliminary regulatory alternatives - 01/02 • Further discussions - to 04/02 • Final MACT subcategory/floor recommendations still can be on-schedule
When does EPA need closure from Working Group? • Subcategories -- April 2002 • Floors -- April 2002 • Regulatory alternatives/MACT standard -- December 2002
Subcategorization Examples February 5, 2002 Washington, D.C. Sally Shaver US EPA
EPA’s take on “subcategorization” • Believe that section 112 clearly gives EPA the authority to subcategorize…or not • 112(d)(1): “…Administrator may distinguish among classes, types, and sizes of sources within a category or subcategory in establishing such standards…”
How has EPA subcategorized previous MACT standards? • By process • BMA/Andrussow vs. Sohio vs. neutralization HCN processes • Loop slitter vs. flame lamination flexible polyurethane foam fabrication processes • Batch vs. continuous polymers and resins processes • Kraft vs. sulfite vs. soda vs. semi-chemical pulp and paper production processes
By equipment • Short vs. tall by-product coke oven batteries • Open vs. semi-submerged ferroalloy furnaces • Blast vs. reverberatory 2d lead furnaces
By product • Ferro- vs silico-manganese ferroalloys • Various polymers and resins products • Publication vs. product and packaging vs. wide-web rotogravure printing • By source of influent • Industrial vs. non-industrial POTW • By power input • Ferroalloy
Basis for subcategorization • Subcategories established based on • Differences in processes/equipment • Differences in emission reduction techniques • Differences in raw materials • All lead to differences in emission characteristics
What we’d like from Working Group • Seeking input on various potential options for subcategorization that can be used in future analyses • No subcategorization is clearly an option • Can not handle multitudes of options • Maximum of five options for analyses would be ideal
Why we need your input soon • As part of the analyses, we plan to run IPM and REMSAD models • Take time to run so need input sooner rather than later • Want analyses back in time for Working Group assessment of results
Integrated Planning Model • IPM • Developed by ICF Consultants • Utilized by EPA in Acid Rain and NOx SIP call programs and as a component in the Administration’s Multi-pollutant Strategy • Dynamic economic forecast model • Allows for different emissions scenarios • Allows technologies to be brought on/taken off line • Outputs directly applicable to air quality benefits assessment modeling
Regulatory Modeling System for Aerosols and Deposition • REMSAD • 3D, gridded Eulerian atmospheric transport model • Nested grids - allows both regional and fine-scale evaluations • Used by EPA in TMDL program and in developing PM/Regional Haze guidance • Takes IPM outputs and translates emission changes into actual mercury deposition values • Deposition results can be used to assess relative economic benefits of various approaches