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2. The readiness is all. Shakespeare. Members of the A (Adaptability) Team: . Abby BjornsenBenjamin RuttBrian ColeCarrissa HuffmanChris EbberweinCraig BeesonDan CoxEric LycheJeff RettewJohn JacobsonKate SirridgeKirsten Wells Kristin RasmussenMaggie SymeMary KrogmannMatt Robinson
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1. Beyond Rational Decision-Making: Wisdom and Courage in School and Work Transitions
Thomas S. Krieshok
University of Kansas
tkrieshok@ku.edu
2. 2 The readiness is all. Shakespeare
3. Members of the A (Adaptability) Team: Abby Bjornsen Benjamin Rutt Brian Cole Carrissa Huffman
Chris Ebberwein Craig Beeson Dan Cox Eric Lyche
Jeff Rettew John Jacobson Kate Sirridge Kirsten Wells
Kristin Rasmussen Maggie Syme Mary Krogmann Matt Robinson
Melanie Noble Mike Black Rhea Owens Rich Scott
Robyn McKay Sarah Brown Selby Conrad Shawn Bubany
Thomas Motl Thai Le Andrea Herrick Wendy Shoemaker
Heath Schechinger Ali Nashati Candi Ackerman
4. The Old Biggest Problem:Getting Decided
Holy grail of career outcomes
The Undecided Problem
5. A Proposed New Biggest Problem:
Developing an Adaptive relationship to the marketplace
6. Adaptive relationship to the marketplace Ability to move about in
Transition into and out of
Accurately appraise ones strengths and weaknesses as a player in the marketplace
Not ones abilities as a worker per se
7. An Extremist Position Three frightening things about the way we have traditionally thought about decision making.
8. An Extremist Position:
a. It doesnt matter, because you dont get to keep your decision anyway.
b. We cant help you choose rationally, because thats not how people make choices
c. Opportunity Costs: The matching model implies more control than you really have, and keeps you from doing that which you should really be doing (engaging).
9. Radical Argument 1: You dont get to keep your decision anyway.
Even if there was a time when matching did work, todays world of work is so turbulent that we can no longer count on keeping our match.
10. Radical Argument 2: We cant help you choose rationally, because thats not how people make choices
11. Deciding is not an issue -- when it's easy
But, for our clients it's not easy
12. Consensus: Human decision making is juicy
13. What is it that controls human behavior?
14. We are of two minds Intuitive, non-conscious mind -related to older functions of the brain
Rational, often conscious mind -related to newer functions of the brain -especially language
15. The Rational/Intuitive Dialectic The Nobel Prize winning work of Tversky and Kahneman (1973; 1974; 1982).
A two-system view, in which System 1 refers to intuition and System 2 refers to reason.
16. The Rational/Intuitive Dialectic System 1 operations are typically habitual, implicit, heuristic, and often emotionally charged.
System 2 operations are typically deliberate, explicit, systematic, and not generally subject to emotion.
17. CONSCIOUSNESS Consciousness is limited
20 bps processor
Information processed is vast
11,000,000 bits per second
18. Conscious thought is very expensive Norretranders (1998)
One millionth of sensory input processed consciously
Pinker (1997)
98% processed unconsciously
Spotlight on a stage
19. Conscious processing uses valuable mental energy Drivers given mental puzzle
Cell phone use
20. Is Intuition in Charge? Our capacity for rationality is constrained.
Simon (Nobel Prize 1955)
Which leads to satisficing
a crude application of reason
we settle for an adequate selection
as opposed to the optimal one.
21. Unconscious Decisions Automatic
But still usually satisfying
24. The Kid in the Back Seat. Always guessing the intentionality of the driver
Presume an adult in the drivers seat
Maybe another grownup in the passengers seat
25. Consciousness is the kid in the back seat Unconscious is driving
Making mostly good decisions
Consciousness thinks it is driving
BUT...the literature suggests otherwise
26. The Elephant and the Rider (Haidt) The elephant
(Barghs Wise Unconscious)
Makes most day to day decisions
The rider
Has some input, but not as much as we think
27. Intuition runs the show
But depends on good experience
Klein vs. Kahneman
28. Kahneman & Klein American Psychologist article What can we agree on?
Good intuitive decisions are possible
when there are consistent learnable patterns underlying outcomes
ButPeople do not have a strong ability to distinguish correct intuitions from faulty ones
29. We experience the world as conscious choosers Either not that way at all
Or at least much less conscious authority than we believe
Anti-Introspectivist view of career decision making (Krieshok, 1998)
30. The heart has its reasons, that reason knows not of PascalTheres someone in my head, but its not me. Pink Floyd
31. Errors in retracing our decisions Telling more than we can know
subliminal perception
order effects
effects of others' presence on helping
32. Thoughts on Self-Knowledge Through the Ages Know thyself (Temple to Apollo at Delphi).
To know thyself is the fundamental requisite (Parsons).
Only the shallow know themselves
(O. Wilde).
33. Interpreter Module (Gazzaniga) Fabricates what must be happening
34. Soelbergs 1967 study with MIT grads We identify a favorite early on
We engage in an exercise in prejudice to ensure our favorite wins
We only commit once we have an adequate rationalization
35. Two things to make better decisions Soelberg, 1967
1) Get feedback from people you trust
2) Intentionally avoid making decisions
36. A limited role for rational thought Work within the limits of consciousness
Use conscious planning to put things in motion
especially how NOT to decide.
Use reason to plan engagement intentionally
Use reason to frame the decision making process
37. Wisdom-driven Decisions We make better decisions when we are coming from our Whole self, our Wisdom self, rather than from our feared notions.
Under normal circumstances, the things that play into our decisions unconsciously may be more our fears than anything else.
So one of the things we need to do rationally, is to tap into our intuition in a healthy positive way, and listen to our fears (our negatively energized non-conscious processes) and bring those into the light so we can make good decisions.
38. Anti-Introspectivist view of career decision making (Krieshok, 1998) Under some circumstances, casual reflection on decisional processes can be detrimental to making good decisions
My favorite study: the cat poster
39. Chinese proverb
To be uncertain is uncomfortable,
But to be certain is ridiculous.
40. Should We Introspect? Rational analysis of judgments often results in
Reliance on inferior selection criteria
Preferences culminating in suboptimal choices
Diminished satisfaction with those choices (cat poster study)
When forced to reflect about reasons, we invoke Gazzanigas Interpreter Module
41. But we are unaware we do this- And convinced that we do not.
We easily generate a list of reasons for attraction to occupations or partners
Not consistent with what we ACTUALLY rely on (Krieshok, et al. 1986)
42. Such lists At the foundation of virtually all the computerized guidance systems
Integral to the way most career counselors practice with their clients
"Let's figure out what's important to you in a career, and then generate a list of alternatives that meet those criteria."
43. Mark Twain: It aint what you dont know that gets you into trouble.
Its what you know for sure that aint so that gets you into trouble.
44. Summary of Argument 2 There is whole lot more going on under the hood than we acknowledge
Most decisions are largely unconscious
Only a problem when we cannot easily decide
When we try to access those processes we cannot (at least not easily)
But we think we can
45. Ridiculous Argument III:Opportunity Costs The matching model implies more control than you really have, and distracts you from doing that which you should really be doing (engaging).
46. Parsons Choosing a Vocation (1909)
a) Self-knowledge
b) World of work knowledge
c) True Reasoning