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Biofuels and Sustainable Development: a Brazilian Perspective. Intergroup on Sustainable Development European Parliament Brussels, 27 March 2007 Marco Tulio S. Cabral. 1 – Introduction 2 – Ethanol 3 – Biodiesel 4 – Final remarks. 1 – Introduction Brazilian territory: 851 Mha
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Biofuels and Sustainable Development: a Brazilian Perspective Intergroup on Sustainable Development European Parliament Brussels, 27 March 2007 Marco Tulio S. Cabral
1 – Introduction 2 – Ethanol 3 – Biodiesel 4 – Final remarks
1 – Introduction • Brazilian territory: 851 Mha • Pasture areas: 220 Mha • Cultivated agricultural land: 69 Mha • Potential for agricultural expansion 100 Mha (excluding the Amazon, Atlantic Forest, Pantanal and other preservation areas) • Growth in grains production 1990-2006: 109% • Growth in cultivated agricultural land 1990-2006: 24% “AmazoniaLegal” Source: INPE
Amazonforest Pantanal (wetlands) Sugar-cane plantations • 2 – Ethanol • Sugar-cane plantations: 5.7Mha - 0,67% of the Brazilian territory (50% ethanol, 50% sugar) • Growth in sugar-cane productivity 1977-2001: 47% • Water: virtually no irrigation • Carbon balance: 80-90% • Avoided emissions: 33 Mt CO2/y • Fuel substitution: 40% of all gasoline • Power generation: 3GW in near future • Formal direct jobs: 500.000 Atlantic Forest ApudCOELHO, S. 2005
Ethanol production 2006/07: 17.8 Mm3 • Ethanol exports 2005: 2.6 Mm3 • Investments for 2010: US$ 10 billion • Additional ethanol production : 8 Mm3 • Additional planted area: 2 Mha • Expansion: mainly pasture and other agricultural areas • No evidence of spill-over of pasture areas to other regions High Medium Low Improper Potential for sugar cane production without irrigation – soil, climate and topography (protection areas excluded)
3 – Biodiesel • Targets: 2008 – 2% (0,8 million m³); 2013 – 5% (2,5 million m3) • Sources: soy (60%); castor (30%); palm;jatropha; sunflower; cotton; tallow • Main producers: Rio Grande do Sul, Bahia • Jobs: 29.000 small producers (NE) • Speculative scenario 2035: • 50 million m³, 20Mha (2,3% of territory) Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy 2006
4 – Final remarks • There are no simple solutions to the challenges posed by climate change and energy security • In Brazil, biofuels deliver significant emission reductions and contribute to energy security with limited (sometimes positive) local impacts • With increased productivity, significant growth in biofuels production can be achieved with limited expansion in cultivated area
Thank you Marco Tulio S. Cabral Mission of Brazil to the European Communities E-mail: mcabral@braseuropa.be URL: www.braseuropa.be