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John Husing, Ph.D. Economics & Politics, Inc. Chief Economist, IEEP

California CTE Needs. John Husing, Ph.D. Economics & Politics, Inc. Chief Economist, IEEP. After Losing 8.71 Million Jobs … Now At A Record Level of Jobs U.S. Jobs Long Slow Growth - Not Over-Heating. California Job Gains/Losses. Up 1,074,272 6.8% Up. 2007

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John Husing, Ph.D. Economics & Politics, Inc. Chief Economist, IEEP

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  1. California CTE Needs . . . John Husing, Ph.D. Economics & Politics, Inc. Chief Economist, IEEP

  2. After Losing 8.71 Million Jobs … Now At A Record Level of JobsU.S. Jobs Long Slow Growth - Not Over-Heating

  3. California Job Gains/Losses Up 1,074,272 6.8% Up 2007 15,844,325 2016 16,918,587 Recovery 2,253,330 Great Recession -1,179,058

  4. U.S. & CA Unemployment History Prime Rate: 21% Cold War Ends Great Recession

  5. CA’s East-West Split in Prosperity

  6. Absolute Job GainCalifornia Large Metropolitan Areas in 2015!

  7. The Issue: Poverty

  8. Diversity Challenge

  9. Gold Mine Theory Secondary Tier Primary Tier

  10. Educational Challenge For Adults & Their Children

  11. What is Needed To Attack Poverty? • Short Course Adult Training in Specific Skills • Sectors With Education Barriers That Can Be Overcome • Median Incomes Approaching Middle Class Earnings • Skill Ladders Up Which Workers Can Move To Median Incomes • Sectors That Are Adding Jobs

  12. Interviewed Interviewed One-on-One 50 CEOs, Entrepreneurs, HR Directors 18 Sectors

  13. General Hiring Themes Demonstrated Teamwork Hands-on Experience Academic Knowledge Career Technical Education

  14. Aptitudes/Attitudes • Life Goals (Some Idea What Want To Be) • Personality (Friendliness, Ambition, Interest, Innovation) • STEM (Willingness to Learn Required Knowledge) • Received Certifications (To Industry Standards)

  15. What’s Needed From Educators Go To Companies … Don’t Ask Them To Come To You! Evenings Weekends Weekdays $20 per hour Jobs Rapid Course Creation Training Times Technically Up to Date Industry Standards Hands-On

  16. What Skills? Software Design, Installation, Adaption, Usage Engineering Nursing, MRI, CT Scans, Sonography, Lab Tech, Coders Diesel Mechanics Auto Mechanics Truck Drivers Production Machining, Welding, Electrical, Repair Construction Trades Accounting & Accounts Payable, Receivable, Payroll Microsoft Word, EXCEL, Powerpoint, Social Media Water Supply, Recycling, Clean-Up Middle Managers

  17. Who Can Meet Training Requirements? • Community Colleges • K-12 • Private Sector • Non-Profits • ROP • Adult Schools

  18. Professional, Scientific, Technical

  19. AA or Higher

  20. Professional, Scientific, Technical, Management Co. Job Growth 2011-2015 12.5% of Growth Median Pay $114,210

  21. Health Care

  22. Health Care Jobs: Continuous Growth • 2011-2016 • 9.5% of Job Growth • Median Pay $60,621

  23. Primary Care Physicians Per 100,000

  24. Sophisticated Warehousing Operations

  25. Value of the Dollar:Helps Imports & Hurts Exports 100.0 2012-2016 22.1%

  26. Port Container VolumesOn Pace For Import Record

  27. E-Commerce Growth RatesYear Over Year by Quarter 1.1% 8.1%

  28. Logistics Powerful Job Growth • 2011-2016 • 8.8% of New Jobs • Median Pay $65,830

  29. Manufacturing: Should Be A Major Growth Source

  30. California Manufacturing Job GrowthJust 5.4% of U.S. Growth

  31. CA Manufacturing Job Growth • Median Pay $86,571 • 2011-2016 • 1.8% of Job Growth

  32. Construction: Coming Back

  33. High Priced Bay Area & Central Coast

  34. Mix Priced So. CaliforniaLow Priced Central Valley

  35. Change In Sales Demand vs. Supply of Active Listings August 2015-2016 Sales: Demand Active Listings: Supply 8% 7% 6% -2% -4% -9% Bay Area Southern California Central Valley

  36. Families Forced Inland

  37. CA Construction Job Growth • 2011-2016 • 9.2% of Job Growth • Median Pay $60,164

  38. Lower Paying Sectors

  39. Low Paying Job GrowthRetail, Consumer & Bus. Services, Hotel, Eat & DrinkAmusement, Agriculture, Employment Agency 2011-2016 46.8% of Job Growth Median Pay $30,941

  40. Government

  41. Federal, State, Local Government 2011-2016 -0.1% of Job Growth Median Pay $65,227

  42. www.johnhusing.com

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