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Origins of WTO. General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) Established in 1947 as a forum to reduce trade barriers WTO replaced GATT in 1995 as legal and institutional foundation of multilateral trade relations
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Origins of WTO • General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) • Established in 1947 as a forum to reduce trade barriers • WTO replaced GATT in 1995 as legal and institutional foundation of multilateral trade relations • Designed to strengthen the trade rules by providing a stronger set of institutions for resolving disputes and enforcing agreements • Negotiations take place in “rounds” • There have been 9 to date • Begins with an agreement among members on agenda • Most recent completed round was Uruguay Round • Currently on Doha Round Chapter 5 Knutson, Penn and Flinchbaugh 21
Three Basic Principles • Once a tariff concession is agreed to, it cannot be raised • MFN, any advantage given to one country must be given to all • Imported goods treated the same as domestic goods in terms of regulation and taxes
Three Pillars of URAA • Market access: Convert import quotas to tariff or TRQ and reduce over time • Domestic support: Reduce domestic support by 20% from 1986-89 level • AMS = Aggregate measure of support = total of red and amber box (trade distorting subsidies) • Limits on value and volume of export subsidies from 1986-89 level
Loop Holes in URAA • Precautionary principle: WTO requires that S&PS decisions be based on science. This principle allows restrictions when scientific evidence is deemed to be insufficient. Requires seeking evidence over reasonable time period. • TRQ evading on individual products so that no imports occurred • Safeguards permit imposition of higher tariffs if there is a surge in imports above specified levels • Multi functionality: Green box justification for subsidies based on contributions to the environment
4 Pillars of Doha Round(Reflects broader US goals in trade policy) • Market access: Substantially reduce tariffs and increase quantities in TRQs • Export competition: Eliminate export subsidies, variable export taxes, and exclusive import rights by state trading importers • Domestic support: Substantially reduce amber box subsidies and simplify into exempt and nonexempt • Developing countries: Enhance input into WTO and their benefits from international trading
Boxes of WTO • Green box: Not trade distorting • Blue box: Minimally distorting because production is controlled • Amber box: Trade distorting, subsidies tied to either price and production • Red Box: Subsidies that must be stopped (empty box)
WTO Classification • These classifications are based on recent US notifications to the WTO • The fixed payments and conservation programs have been classified as green box • Direct payments on a fixed payment base are considered as income support • Conservation program payments are considered exempt as long as the payments do not exceed the actual cost of implying conservation efforts or the opportunity cost from idling land or producing under conservation production practices
WTO Classification • The marketing loan benefits, dairy programs, and sugar price support have been classified as commodity-specific amber box. • All of these programs require production of the commodity to receive a payment and the size of the payment is contingent on the amount of production. • Price support programs (such as dairy) are also placed here. Even though no payments flow out because of the program, the amount of price protection is charged against the WTO limit (calculated as the product of production eligible for price support and the price gap between the price support level and a reference price).
WTO Classification • The countercyclical and crop insurance programs have been classified as non-commodity-specific amber box. • The countercyclical program falls into the amber box because payments depend on current prices and into the non-commodity-specific box because production is not required to receive payments. • Crop insurance has been placed here and reported in aggregate (net indemnities across all crops). Given the nature of crop insurance, it probably should be classified as commodity-specific. Insurance at or under 70% coverage could be reported as green box, while higher coverage could be reported as commodity-specific amber.
De Minimis Rule • The de minimis rule exempts “small” domestic support payments • Whether payments are “small” or not is defined by the product covered by the payment • For the U.S., a five percent rule is applied for de minimis • For commodity-specific support, payments are compared to 5% of the value of production for the commodity • For non-commodity-specific support, payments are compared to 5% of the total value of U.S. agricultural production
Why Classification Matters • The classification of the new countercyclical program in the non-commodity-specific amber box helps the U.S. in meeting the domestic support limits • Expenditures from programs in the non-commodity-specific category are compared against the value of all agricultural production in the country (as opposed to crop value for commodity-specific programs) • Given U.S. agricultural production values of $200 billion, the non-commodity-specific amber box can hold up to $10 billion in support before reaching the de minimis mark and counting against the domestic support limit
Where We Are in Doha Round? • Most recent Ministerial in Cancun – failed • Open rift when developed and developing countries • Meetings came to abrupt end on Sept. 14th when four African countries submitted a proposal to eliminate the U.S. cotton program • G-21 (group of 21 countries) unwilling to open their markets in return • Peace clause expires end of 2003 • Can’t challenge other members export and domestic subsidies on agriculture