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What Energy Society do we Aim at by 2050? And how Getting Started?

What Energy Society do we Aim at by 2050? And how Getting Started?. William D’haeseleer K.U.Leuven Energy Institute. How to get to 2050?. And the answer is…. Solutions must rely on technology Clever combination of existing technologies New , perhaps revolutionary technologies.

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What Energy Society do we Aim at by 2050? And how Getting Started?

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  1. What Energy Society do we Aim at by 2050? And how Getting Started? William D’haeseleer K.U.Leuven Energy Institute

  2. How to get to 2050?

  3. And the answer is… • Solutions must rely on technology • Clever combination of existing technologies • New, perhaps revolutionary technologies

  4. Ample Possibilities but often Expensive Ref: IEA ETP 2008

  5. All Means Will be Necessary Ref: IEA ETP 2010

  6. All Sectors Must Participate Ref: IEA ETP 2010

  7. All Regions Must Participate Ref: IEA ETP 2010

  8. Long Term Energy Studies • Simplistic approaches misleading and lead to loss of credibility • Must think in terms of energy fluxes (“power flows”) not energy “packages” Get energy at right place at right time • Storability of energy fundamentally important • Must optimize full integrated system with full dynamic characteristics

  9. Solutions ? Need paradigm shiftfor energy provision Completely different system by 2050-…: Maybe H2 as partly energy carrier (?) Maybe 2-nd & 3-rd gen biofuels successful (?) Maybe new synthetic liquid fuels from CO2 capture by means of solar light (?) But likely much more electrified!

  10. Need fertile ground for energy revolution EU Strategic Energy Technology plan 2020 targets How get to 2050?

  11. EU 20-20-20 targetsby 2020 100% -20% -20% +20% 8,5% Reduction of greenhouse gases Energy consumption, Efficiency increase Share of renewable energy

  12. Need fertile ground for energy revolution EU Strategic Energy Technology plan 2020 targets 2050 vision  based on R&D R&D part to be done right! How get to 2050?

  13. Importance of R & D • Classical R & D ideas • Wind • PV solar • CCS • Nuclear Gen iv • Smart grids • … versus

  14. Near -Term Complications… • Shale gas seems way to go… but…

  15. Near -Term Complications… • Battle for future grids… which grids???

  16. Path is straightforward…in principle Envisioned CO2 reductions possible if: - all options are considered / ‘correct’ studies - ambitious but doable transition paths to be designed - drastic increase energy R&D efforts Actual roadmaps… subject of FORUM

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