Engaging New Lenses and Amplifiers

1. Frequency 3.0Adaptive enterprises Engaging New Lenses and Amplifiers  Seeing the world beyond Text  Preparing for Intuitive Interfaces  Environments of Appliances v.s. Desktop Computers  Emotive Computing / Affective Systems Collaboration Tables Computers that recognize and respond to our emotions

2. Sustainability 5

3. Frequency 7.0Sustainability Expectations for Technology • 2005 -Inconvenient Truth • 2007 - Stern Report • Carbon neutral companies • - Walmart ‘Sustainability 360’ • - US-China clean coal agreement • - China’s first national plan on climate change • - US Eastern regional pact • - California green house admission policy • - RFS standards • 2050 - warming of 3 or 4 degrees • (200 million displaced) • Glaciers gone • 1 billion people in Asia with water shortages • - Low-carbon technology market • worth $500 billion (Stern Report) • - UK cutting carbon emission by 50% • 2020: • China double energy consumption • - World’s cereal demand doubles • - 50% increase in water demand in developing countries • Rate of sea ice loss increased 40 times since 1979 • 1990s - hottest decade for 150 years • 1998 hotter than any individual year since 1850 • Sea level rise (1993 - 2003) - 2.3 mm • Tsunami, Katrina, Rita • (2004 $- 105 billion in economic losses • 2030 • Doubling of global agricultural output compared to 2000 • Climate related disease risks double (WHO) • Biofuels or GTL replacing 20% of Japanese oil demands • - Europe reducing carbon emissions by 20% • - 20% usage of biofuels in Europe • - 50% of household waste recycled in UK • 25% global energy reduction • Enhanced nature - global • Enzyme technology • 1997 - Kyoto Protocol (came in to force 2005) • 2020:Marine habitats (Japan, China) • Initial elimination of potential pandemics - cloning and genetic engineering • - Human cell engineering • Nanobots overcoming cancer / immunity • Self-assembly Technology Development Hype Curve • 2015: Energy zero homes in US • Nanotech and nano-bio info convergence 40% of food industry • Emotionally intelligent computing/Cognitive interfaces • Fuel cells - bricks 2045: The Singularity (non-biological intelligence Will be 1 billion times more powerful than all human intelligence today 1990’s 2005-2009 2010-2020 2030-50 Tech Trigger Peak of Inflated Expectations Trough of Disillusionment Slope of Enlightenment Plateau of Productivity

4. Examples in Sustainable Agriculture - Beijing Xiedao Natural Resort

5. Climate Change, Energy, The Environment and Sustainability are Rising up the Boardroom Agenda • “Companies that are not adequately managing the consequences of climate change on their business will not be welcomed as our customers in the future” Rick Murray Chief Claims Strategist Swiss Re Image sources www.mondolithic.com, www.metoffice.com

6. Carbon Conscience A USA medical supplies company offers customers a choice of local or Asian made products which are 40% cheaper. Only 23% choose the Asian made products. Holidays abroad sold in the UK as "responsible" or "sustainable" will increase by 500% says Mintel by 2010

7. Frequency 1.0Changing Global Society

8. Sonderborg - entirely CO2 neutral by 2030 as the first sustainable CO2 neutral growth area in Europe A global role model for: • Design R&D and implementation of new technologies to promote a sustainable world • New interdisciplinary models for cooperation between research institutions and business, locally and globally • New teaching models at all levels of the educational chain to promote understanding of and commitment to a sustainable way of life • Citizen engagement, to empower the vision all the way to the individual level • Innovative thinking, to help promote and elevate the overall vision of intelligent energy management and a sustainable way of life. Exploratorium for the free use of all interested companies, researchers and engineers, who will generate capital by creating a sustainable world.

9. New Songdo City • New Songdo City is a $31 billion development 60 kilometres south of Seoul on 600 hectares of reclaimed land and is being named the ultimate digital city. • New Songdo is due to be completed in 2010. • It will be one of the world's first cities in which all information systems - residential, medical, business - are linked. • A resident's smartcard house key could be used to get on the subway, pay a parking metre, see a movie or borrow a free public bicycle," says Stanley Gale, chairman and managing partner of Gale International, New Songdo's primary developer. • There will be 10,000 electric 'smart' car cars circulating in the city. • There will be fixed-line fibre optics to the home and high-speed wireless access everywhere • The government-enabled IT infrastructure will tie in seamlessly with home networks so that residents will have access to their data from anywhere in the city. All content - photos, music, files - will be unbound from home systems [and accessible through] portable devices via wireless broadband or from a city kiosk or public screen http://admin.realcomm.com/filecabinet/Image/000000/Gale_NewSongdo.jpg http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2007/06/16/1181414598292.html?page=4

10. Fibercity Tokyo 2050 • Scenarios for the development of Tokyo by Prof. Ohno Hidetosh at the University of Tokyo with the goal of creating a new planning paradigm that will address Tokyo’s environmental problems and demographic changes. • The 'Fibercity' concept extends into four urban design strategies, Green Finger, Green Web, Green Partition and Urban Wrinkes, each of which project an attempt to change Tokyo by manipulating spatial fibres. http://teamhelsinki.blogspot.com/2007/04/tokyp-fibercity-2050.html

11. Fibercity Tokyo 2050 “Fiber City 2050 focuses on the use of urban fibers to develop an alternative model of the metropolis in an era of shrinking cities. These strategies are not only aimed towards a single purpose but rather address several interrelated objectives, including reactivation of the city, reorganization of residential areas, disaster mitigation, amendment of transportation policy and the enrichment of green space. The fiber city takes the shrinking city as an a priori condition, and assumes that there will not be an abundance of public funds to invest in the problem.” http://www.fibercity2050.net/jpn/fibercityPDF.pdf

12. Green Finger http://www.fibercity2050.net/jpn/fibercityPDF.pdf

13. Green Web http://www.fibercity2050.net/jpn/fibercityPDF.pdf

14. The Green Partition “ “ http://www.fibercity2050.net/jpn/fibercityPDF.pdf

15. Urban Wrinkle http://www.fibercity2050.net/jpn/fibercityPDF.pdf

16. DONGTAN • Asia generally lags the U.S. and Europe as far as the green-buildings movement goes. But there are signs that green architecture is starting to move more into the mainstream. • "The movement toward green design (in Asia) has been advancing a lot faster in the past five years, probably because of the influence of foreign architects," says Kenneth Yeang, a Malaysian architect who has been practicing green design for three decades. • Outside Shanghai, municipal authorities are planning an entire eco-city, called Dongtan, or "Eastern Beach" in Mandarin, which promises to rely almost solely on renewable energy and produce minimal waste. Transportation will include solar-powered boats and buses with hydrogen fuel cells. If all goes as planned, Dongtan, which is being built by Arup Group, the British engineering firm, will be home to as many as half a million people. • Dongtan is to be built on an island that is just a ferry ride away from central Shanghai. The government expects that by the time of the World Expo in 2010 this new enclave will be a showcase city of 8000 and that it will have half a million residents by 2050. • Dongtan will ban all polluting cars, even the most advanced hybrids. • The city will recycle as much as possible, including all its wastewater; grow food on its own environmentally sensitive farms; and create all its own energy in non-polluting ways—wind, solar, and the burning of human and animal wastes. • It will encourage, and in some cases require, the use of local labour and novel building materials, such as a concrete like substance that can be made from ash and used cooking oil.

17. DONGTAN • Roughly 40% of Chongming Island will be urbanized, while 60% will remain agricultural. Sophisticated organic-farming techniques linked to the waste-recycling system will create a sustainable cycle of local food production to supply businesses such as restaurants and hotels. • Rather than importing building supplies from around the world, structures such as the sports stadium will be built with local materials. • Dongtan will have no petroleum- driven transportation. Cars, trams, and boats will use electrical power or hydrogen fuel cells, also reducing noise pollution. • Unlike most cities designed around roads, Dongtan will teem with pathways, cycling routes, and canals. • The dome-shaped Energy Centre will supply the entire city with power from renewable sources. It will also serve as a tourist attraction, science exhibition, environmental education center, and park. • In a reinterpretation of traditional Chinese housing, low-rise buildings will allow natural light to spill onto the streets; the local brick will be a natural insulator and protect against severe wind conditions. • Green rooftops will collect, filter, and store water; solar panels will heat it. • Wind turbines will line the city's western edges, meeting about 20% of its energy needs without infringing on the natural bird habitat to the east. Visitors arriving from the west will see the environmental wall around the city.

18. Model city or drop in the ocean? • The reaction to Dongtan has been mixed. Mayor of London Ken Livingstone has praised the project as pioneering work leading to a more sustainable future, while others are concerned that it will not have a big impact on reforming existing cities, which will still house the majority of the Chinese population. • Afterall, China is expecting to build about 400 cities the size of Bristol in the next 20 years. • 300 000 000 people moving from countryside to city over next 20 years. • Dongtan will be developed on 630 hectares of land, about three quarters the size of Manhattan.

19. Living Glass and River Glow • Through their company ‘Living’ -architects David Benjamin and Soo-in Yang create what they describe as "open source, incremental, small-scale architecture that engages the city…defining responsive kinetic architecture to involve input, processing and output." • Utilize responsive technologies as a means of revealing the presence of CO2 and water pollutants • Living Glass involves a reactive, transparent surface with an infrared sensor and gills that open and shut as they detect the presence of humans and control air quality in a room. • River Glow uses pH sensors, LEDs and think film photovoltaics in a device that hangs in a canal or other public body of water and senses the quality of the water, indicating the results with colored lights.

20. The Future City “The Future City is a new project initiated by the British Council and developed with the help of UK partners and partners here in Norway.  The main component of the project is a type of board game. • The idea of the game is to focus on issues that will effect our cities and communities in the future whilst at the same time encourage leadership skills, citizenship and working with democratic processes. • It can be used to focus on specific urban spaces or to be used to focus on issues that might be challenging local communities like the lack of involvement in the electoral process. • The game is constructed so as to be played over 2.5 days (we are however developing a 1 day version). The first day is a visioning day where 4 groups of 4-5 players discuss their city as it is today, look at their hopes for the future and learn through a facilitator some of the issues that they might not have considered. They will learn how global issues have real impact on their local environment. The game will be played over the next year in areas across Groruddalen so as to draw on the expertise of local people when it comes to the development of their own area. • Over the next few years the game is to be played in countries across the world so creating a global view of how people experience their local environment and to chart their aspirations for the future of their cities.  Through the web it is hoped that players will be able to share good ideas directly with other players across the planet, a discussion that will hopefully lead to new and innovative solutions locally.”

21. ConclusionWe are the future “Your thoughts create your future.”- Stephen Knapp