Forecasting

1. 7E F U N D A M E N T A L S O F Forecasting MANAGERIALECONOMICS M A R KH I R S C H E Y Chapter 6 PowerPointPresentation by Charlie Cook © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning

2. Time-Series Characteristics: Secular Trend and Cyclical Variation in Women’s Clothing Sales Figure 6.1a Fundamentals of Managerial Economics 7e

3. Time-Series Characteristics: Seasonal Pattern and Random Fluctuations Figure 6.1b Fundamentals of Managerial Economics 7e

4. Microsoft Corp. Sales Revenue, 1984–2001 Figure 6.2 Fundamentals of Managerial Economics 7e

5. Gross Domestic Product, 1959–Present Figure 6.3 Fundamentals of Managerial Economics 7e

6. Composite Indexes of 10 Leading, Four Coincident, and Seven Lagging Indicators (1987 + 100) Figure 6.4 Source: The Conference Board Web site at http://www.conference-board.org Fundamentals of Managerial Economics 7e

7. The National Bureau of Economic ResearchWeb Site Is a Treasure Trove of Forecast Information Figure 6.5 Fundamentals of Managerial Economics 7e

8. Resources for Economists on the Internet Is a Valuable Forecasting Resource Figure 6.6 Fundamentals of Managerial Economics 7e

9. Barron’s Publishes Timely Information on Economic Indicators Figure 6.7 Fundamentals of Managerial Economics 7e

10. Nine Common Trends in Economic Time Series Can Be Forecast by Using Exponen-tial Smoothing Methods Figure 6.8 Fundamentals of Managerial Economics 7e

11. The Appropriate Forecast Technique Tends to Vary over the Life Cycle of a Product Figure 6.9 Fundamentals of Managerial Economics 7e

12. Gross Domestic Product 1966–2000 Figure ST6.1 Fundamentals of Managerial Economics 7e

13. Multiple Regression Figure ST6.2 Fundamentals of Managerial Economics 7e