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1. Corporate Valuation and Financing M&As H. Pirotte
2. Some history Great M&A wave in the 80’s
3’336 M&As (1986) in US
Colder in the first mid 90’s
Hot again in second mid 90’s to 2000
9’566 M&As (2000) in US with 1’097 valued at > $100 mns
Typology
Majority: negotiated acquisitions
Minority: tender-offers
Even less: hostile takeovers
T. Boone Pickens,
Ron Perelman,
Jimmy Goldsmith,
Carl Icahn,…
H. Pirotte 2
3. Some numbers H. Pirotte 3
4. Alternative Ownership Strategies Growth strategies
Mergers – one unit from two (or more) previous units
Tender offers – method of making takeover via direct offer to target firm shareholders
Pooling of interest – combination of fin’l statements of two (or more) firms
Joint ventures – combination of subsets of assets for a specific purpose and duration
Other forms
Supplier networks
Alliances
Investments – stake, but not control in another organisation
Franchising
Shrinkage strategies
Divestitures – sale of a segment to 3rd party for cash or securities
Equity carveouts – parent firm offers some of a subsidiary’s common stock to the general public, to bring in a cash infusion without loss of control
Spin-offs – creation of new public cy out of subsidiary with share distribution on pro-rata
Splitoffs – some shareholders receive subs.’shares in exchange of the interest in parent firm
Splitups – spinoff of all subsidiaries and no more parent firm
Tracking stock – a separate class of common stock of a company that tracks the perf of a particular segment or division H. Pirotte 4
5. Changes in Ownership Structure Exchange offers
Right or option to exchange one class of security for another
Share repurchases
A public corporation buys its own shares (a) by tender offer, (b) on the open market, or (c) in negotiated buybacks
Leveraged buyouts (LBOs,MBOs)
The purchase of the company by a small group of investors, financed largely by debt
Leveraged recapitalizations
A large increase in the leverage ratio to finance the return of cash to shareholders
Employee stock ownership plans (ESOPs)
A defined contribution pension plan designed to invest primarily in the stock of the employer firm
Dual-class recapitalization
Creation of two classes of common stock, with the superior-vote stock concentrated in the hands of management
Reverse Takeovers (RTOs) H. Pirotte 5
6. Governance – Corporate control Compensation arrangements
Payment forms to align interests of managers, owners and employees
Proxy contest
An attempt by a dissident group of shareholders to gain representation on a firm’s board of directors
Premium buy-backs (greenmail)
The repurchase of specified shares, usually from a party seeking to take over a firm
Takeover defenses
Methods employed by targets to prevent success of bidder’s efforts
Stakeholder relationships
Ethics and reputation H. Pirotte 6
7. Motivation H. Pirotte 7
8. Motivation H. Pirotte 8
9. M&As basic forms Mergers
Absorption of a firm by another, combination of assets and liabilities
Acquired firm cease to exist
Specificity: consolidation (an entirely new firm is created)
Acquisitions
Of Stock
Purchase of voting stock in exchange for cash, shares, or other securities
May start as a private offer but then is offered to all selling shareholders (tender offer by public announcement)
Differences with mergers?
No shareholder’s meeting, nor vote is required
Target’s firm management and board can be bypassed
Often unfriendly
A minority of shareholder may hold out and target cannot be completely absorbed
Complete absorption required a merger. Many acquisitions end up with formal merger
Of Assets
Formal vote is necessary
Avoid potential problem of having minority shareholders
Legal process of transferring assets can be costly H. Pirotte 9
10. M&As basic forms (2) Classification
Horizontal acquisition
Vertical acquisition
Conglomerate acquisition
Note on takeovers
general and imprecise term referring to the transfer of control of a firm from one group of shareholders to another.
Bidder: firm that has decided to take over another firm
Payment: cash or stock
The right to control the operating activities of the target firm is transferred to a newly elected board of directors of the acquiring firm. This is a takeover by acquisition.
Going private
all the equity shares of a public firm are purchased by a small group of investors. The group usually includes members of incumbent management and some outside investors. The shares of the firm are delisted from stock exchanges and can no longer be purchased in the open market.
H. Pirotte 10
11. Valuation As for any other investment project: DCF analysis
But difficulties…
Synergies,
Legal effects,
Tax impacts,
Accounting impacts,
Agency costs,…
Problems
Allocation of the NPV (?V=?D + ?E)
Value impacts of using takeover defenses
Advices
Do not ignore market values
Estimate only incremental cash flows
Use the correct discount rate
Do not ignore transaction costs H. Pirotte 11
12. Valuation H. Pirotte 12
13. Valuation H. Pirotte 13
14. Debate Big debate on costs and benefits of takeovers
Pros
Cons
The classical explanation: synergies H. Pirotte 14
15. Example (case 1) A buys B and pays in cash
VA = 1000, VB = 200
A has 20 shares, value of 50
B has 10 shares, value of 20
Synergy = 200
VAB = 1400
A pays 300 to buy back B
Gain for A shareholders:
= VA ap. fusion – VA av. fusion
= 1100 – 1000 = 100
B shareholders receive 300 for their firm that has a value of 200
VAN = Synergy – Premium
The merger’s synergy can be expressed through : VAB – (VA + VB)
Synergie = 1400 – 1200 = 200
Premium = 300 – 200 = 100
VAN = 200 – 100 = 100 H. Pirotte 15
16. Example (case 1) How are share values modified ?
For A shareholders :
PA before the merger = 1000/20 = 50
PA after the merger = 1100/20 = 55
For B shareholders :
Before the merger : 200/10 = 20
After the merger : 300/10 = 30 H. Pirotte 16
17. Example (case 2) A pays B with shares : exchange ratio of 0.6 ?
6 A shares mean 6 ? 50 = 300
Value of AB share: PAB = 1400/ 26 = 53.85
B shareholders have: 1400 ? 6/26 = 323.08
The calculation is not correct because it is based on prices before the merger.
B shareholders will own ? in AB
? must correspond to the proportion of new shares issued
Shares to issue = 5.46 H. Pirotte 17
18. Example (case 2) Total number = 20 + 5.46 = 25.46
Exchange ratio = 0.546
PAB = 1400/25.46 = 55
Price paid by B shareholders : 5.46 ? 55 = 300
H. Pirotte 18
19. Sources of Synergies Revenue enhancement
Marketing gains
Strategic benefits
Market or Monopoly Power
Cost reduction
Economies of scale
Economies of vertical integration
Complementary resources
Elimination of inefficient management
Tax gains
Net operating losses
Unused debt capacity
Surplus funds
The Cost of Capital
Why????
H. Pirotte 19
20. Tobin’s Q Tobin’s Q = Market value / Book value
Indicator of under- or over-valuation
A buys back B
Tobin’s Q of B = 0.6
Premium of 50%
B is under-valued
Tobin’s Q ? main information engine H. Pirotte 20
21. Introduction - List Total value increased
Efficiency increases
Operating synergy
Financial synergy
Strategic realignements
The q-ratio
Information
Signaling
Hubris: acquirer overpays for target
Agency: managers make value-decreasing mergers to increase size of firm
Redistribution
Taxes – redistribution from government
Market power – redistribution from customers
Redistribution from bondholders
Labor – wage renegotiation
Pension reversions
Conglomerate mergers H. Pirotte 21
22. Information theories Upward revaluation of shares of target firm(Bradley [1980], Dodd & Ruback [1977])
Upon announcement? Yes, but also permanent ? new information has been gen!
Even if offer turns out to be unsuccessful
Two hypothesis
“Sitting on a gold mine” (Bradley, Desai & Kim [1983])
Tender offer disseminates information that firm is undervalued only
“Kick in the pants”
Tender offer inspires target firm management to implement a more efficient business H. Pirotte 22
23. Hubris and winner’s curse Winner’s curse
The successful bidder is the one paying too high a price
Capen, Clapp & Campbell [1971] : analysis of sealed-bid competitive lease sales
Ratio of high estimate to true value as a function of uncertainty and the number of bidders
Hubris (Roll[1986])
If EMH verified, then target market price should reflect true value.
Higher valuation of bidders results from hubris.
Potential cause of winner’s curse: even if synergies, competition of other bidders could cause the winning one to pay too much. H. Pirotte 23
24. Agency problems Theories following the paper of Jensen & Meckling [1976]
Partial ownership may cause managers to work less vigorously.
In large corporations with dispersed shareholdings, not enough incentive to monitor managers.
Agency problems arise because contracts between managers and owners cannot be enforced at no cost.
Ideas
Changes in ownership & control as a solution to agency problems
Managerialism (e.g. for conglomerates (Mueller[1969]))
The free cash flow hypothesis H. Pirotte 24
25. Gains to target firm’s shareholders H. Pirotte 25
26. Takeover defenses Types
Poison pills (ex: in the incorporation status)
Merger approval with 90% of votes
Golden parachutes
Voting rights and proxy fights
Assets sale (ex: vente de la division recherchée)
« burned land » policy
...
Is it good for the shareholder?
Entrenchment versus firm protection H. Pirotte 26
27. H. Pirotte |27 References Copeland, Weston & Shastri (2003), Financial Theory and Corporate Policy, 4e, Addison Wesley.
Ross, Westerfield and Jaffe (2005), Corporate Finance, 7e, McGraw-Hill.