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Valuation, Financing, Cap Tables. So Far…. Recognizing and assessing opportunity Pocd Business models E’ship – A process view Financing The Venture Managing uncertainty. If You Can Grow w/out External Financing….
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So Far… • Recognizing and assessing opportunity • Pocd • Business models • E’ship – A process view • Financing The Venture • Managing uncertainty
If You Can Grow w/out External Financing… • You are much better off…no dilution, no outside investors to manage, no gun to your head on an “exit” • Requires: A business w/ low equity capital requirements • Highly capital efficient • Significant debt availability
If You Do Raise Outside Equity… • The higher the “inherent rate of return” on equity… • The higher the proportion of equity the entrepreneur(s) will be able to hold on to
Investors Generally Back Into A Valuation, Don’t Start There • What is my best guess about terminal value and exit time • What is my best guess about future funding requirements and resultant dilution • What is the most I can afford to pay now i.e., what is the smallest % ownership I can walk away w/ and still get my required return
Valuation • Implied or Implicit or Imputed Valuation is Different than “Calculated (NPV) Valuation” • Have you ever bought a share of stock? • Did you calculate the NPV of the firm’s cash flows? • I can still do the math: $/% = Implicit Valuation
Valuation (2) • We have generally done AFTER the fact as a way of calibrating progress, or lack thereof • Our simple model is admittedly flawed – doesn’t account for much but simple “common %” i.e., by dividing by % ownership we are ignoring any preference in return
Pre And Post Money Valuations • The amount of money invested and the % bought determine a “Post Money” valuation e.g., the business is worth $__ after I put my money in • Example: If I buy 20% for $1 million the 100% must be worth $5 million • So, “before my money went in” it must have been worth $4 mil ($5 -$1)
The Simple Math • Post-money – new money in = Pre-money • Pre-money + new money in = Post-money
The MOST You Will Pay Is Not What You Hope To Pay • The resulting valuation is a function of negotiation influenced by • competition for the deal / entrepreneur’s alternatives • Investors’ appetites, experiences, specific knowledge
Cap Tables • Show the ownership stakes over time • Across multiple “rounds” of financing • Allow computation of implied valuation of the company and implied valuation of each owner’s shares over time
Goood decisions come fromhaving good alternatives from among which to choose The Lesson: