40 likes | 257 Views
Leveraging. Bad news – negative shocks – have a larger impact on volatility than good news or positive shocks. This asymmetry is incorporated in a GARCH framework by the inclusion of a “leverage” effect. Egarch.
E N D
Leveraging • Bad news – negative shocks – have a larger impact on volatility than good news or positive shocks. • This asymmetry is incorporated in a GARCH framework by the inclusion of a “leverage” effect. K. Ensor, STAT 421
Egarch The exponential GARCH formulation models the log of the conditional variance as an ARMA structure with asymmetric innovations. An advantage of modeling the “log” of the process – variances are guaranteed to be positive. K. Ensor, STAT 421
Egarch – the model (compare parameterization that of Splus) K. Ensor, STAT 421
Other variants – Splus documentation (Zivot) • Power GARCH – return to modeling the conditional variance. • Consider other behaviors the “squared GARCH behavior”. • Threshold GARCH – set a threshold for different models to kick in (leveraging is automatic). K. Ensor, STAT 421