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Explore the potentials of geothermal energy to address the increasing energy demands sustainably. Learn about the geological aspects, energy mix strategies, and utilization schemes in Hungary for a secure energy future.
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Energy from the deep subsurface, potentials of geothermal for a sustainable supply of increasing energy demands Annamária Nádor Geological and Geophysical Institute of Hungary 3rd European Energy Conference, October 27-30, 2013, Budapest
Currentenergyconsumption is unsustainable - actionsareurgentlyneeded! • growingenergydemand • restrictedand unevendistribution of fossilfuels → supplysecurity • climatechangedebate: enhanceduse of fossilfuels → increasedatmospheric CO2concentration → globalwarming, extremeevents • Kyoto Protocol • 20/20/20by 2020 COM(2006)848 • cutenergyconsumption (fossilfuels) and CO2emisssions • increaseenergyefficiency • increaserenewableenergysources (RES) • increase of renewablesintheenergy mix: integratedeconomicdevelopment • innovative and competitivetechnologies • structuralchangesintheindustry and agriculture • newworkingplaces • decentralized → ruraldevelopment
New EnergyStrategy of Hungary 2011-2030 National characters Russian import 20 billion m3/y • Import dependency: ~ 83% of hydrocarbons • Security supply, focus on own resources European market 4,5 billion m3/y Total consumption: 12 billion m3/y Main aim: ensurethelongtermsustainability, security, and economiccompetitiveness of energysupplyin Hungary Own production: 1,8-2,0 billion m3/y 4,5 bn m3/yr 6,5 bn m3/yr 4,1 bn m3/yr Increasing the share of renewables RES Directive (2009/28/EC): 13% RES for Hungary Hungary: not an obligation but aPOSSIBILITYfor economic growth: 14,65% RES by 2020 (120,57 PJ)
2010 2020 Distribution of RES in the Electricity and Heating-Cooling sectors
Geothermalenergy: definition and basicconcepts Geothermalenergy is energystoredintheform of heatbelowthesurfaceofthesolidearth (shallow – storedsolarand deep) Origin of heat:decayofradioactiveisotopes: U238, U235, Th232, K40 Heatcontent of theEarth: 12,6∙1024 MJ Takes over 109 years to exhaust via global terrestrial heat flow 1000°C 4300°C 3700°C
high enthalpy (el. power) high temp. basins (el. power, district heating) medium temp. basins (district heating) everywhere shallow geothermal Main geothermalprovinces of Europe EGEC
EnhancedGeothermal Systems Hydrogeothermal (convectional) systems heating→ thermalexpansion of storedgroundwater→ lowerdensity, rise and replacedbycoldermeteoricwater of highdensitycomingfromthemargins of thesystem artificiallyenlargedfracturesas „heatexchangers” indeeplying hot rock bodies
Lindal diagram Cascadeutilization of geothermalenergy >150°C: highenthalpy - electricitygeneration < 150°C: low-mediumenthalpy - heating-cooling + manyothers
1904: theworld’s firstgeothermalpowerstationwith a 10kW generatorattheLarderellodrysteamfield, Italy, Tuscany Thermalbath of Caracalla, ThermaeAntoninianae
Geothermalpotential of Hungary FavorableconditionsduetoMiocenebasinformation (10-12 Myago) Averageterrestrialheat-flow: 100 mW/m2 Geothermalgradient: 45 °C/km Thickness of thelithosphere
Subsurfacetemperaturedistributions (°C) -1500 m -2500 m Zilahi Sebess et al. 2012
Pannonian basin - hot sedimentaryaquifer (convectional flow system): utilization of geothermalenergy ≈ thermalgroundwater / fluid abstraction • high heat flux • thermal „insolation” of basin fill sediments • regional groundwater flows driven by hydraulic potential between recharge and discharge areas 1
Currentutilizationschemesin Hungary 595 thermalwells (outflow T > 30 °C) Annualproduction: 68,44 million m3 (2011) Nádor et al.2013
Currentutilizationschemes Nádor et al.2013
Renewability vs. sustainability Renewability – attribute of theenergysource The energyextractedfrom a renewableenergysource is alwaysreplacedin a naturalwayby an additionalamount of energy and thereplacementtakesplaceon a similartimescaleasthat of theextraction” (Axelsson et al., 2001) Geothermalenergy: replacement of heat and fluid Sustainability – howweuseit? „... foreachgeothermalsystem and foreachmode of productionthere is a certainlevel of maximum energyproduction, belowwhichitwill be possibletomaintain a constantenergyproductionforaverylongtime (100 - 300 years)” (Axelsson et al., 2004)
Balancedheat-fluidproduction Balanced fluid/heat production(not producing more than the natural recharge re-supplies)is fully sustainable. These rates are limited and often not economical for use High production rates exceeding long-term rate of recharge can lead to depletion of thereservoir, whichcan be avoidedbyreinjection of usedfluids.
Hydrogeologicalmodels: differentscanarios TRANSENERGY project: transboundaryhydrogeothermalsystems only SK only HU csak SK SK, HU, SLO present SK, HU, SLO 5X Tóth, 2012
TRANSENERGY project, Danubebasin pilot area (SK-HU) Hydraulic heads field in Upper Pannonian geothermal aquifer, doublets scenario Hydraulic heads field in Upper Pannonian geothermal aquifer, pumpig wells scenario Svasta, 2013
Concluding remarks • Geothermalenergy is an important RES and has hugepotentialsforgrowth • Geothermal energy is renewable on time-scales of technological/societal systems, though it is an exhaustible energy source • Production should be limited to sustainable levels whichsecures the longevity of the resource (notexceedingnaturalre-charge and/orre-injection) • Duetothefavorablegeologicalsetting, thegeothermalpotential of Hungary is verygood • Inthecurrentutilizationbalneology is overwhlemming, directuseinagricultureissignificant, butmuchbeyondthepotentialsindistrictheating • Ambitious NREAP numbersforecast a 3,5 timesgrowthindirectheat and establishment of powerproductionby2020
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Thank you for your attention! nador.annamaria@mfgi.hu tel: +36-30-924-6823