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Prospects for Renewable Power

Prospects for Renewable Power. TJ Glauthier President and CEO Electricity Innovation Institute an affiliate of EPRI. R & D. Demo. Deployment. Infrastructure, Regulatory Policy, Incentive. Economics Practicality. Technical. Contributions to California Greenhouse Gas Emissions.

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Prospects for Renewable Power

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  1. Prospects for Renewable Power TJ Glauthier President and CEO Electricity Innovation Institute an affiliate of EPRI

  2. R & D Demo Deployment Infrastructure, Regulatory Policy, Incentive Economics Practicality Technical

  3. Contributions to California Greenhouse Gas Emissions Electricity Generation contributes about 16% to Ca. greenhouse gas emissions Source: CEC 1998

  4. Current Renewables Contribution--California Electricity Capacity Source: CEC 2002

  5. EIA Growth Estimates

  6. 2020 ScenariosGeneration By Fuel Type Billions of Kwh 5 Labs Scenarios

  7. ComputerCorporation Tomorrow’s Dynamic Grid Digital FeederMonitor (Monitor Advanced Distribution) Central Plant Step-Up Transformer Dynamic Voltage(Custom Power) Distribution Substation Receiving Station Distribution Substation GasTurbine Reciprocating Engine Micro-Turbine Distribution Substation Commercial FuelCell SMES Photovoltaics Batteries Flywheel Fuel Cells Gas Turbine Fuel CellCars Residential Power QualityIndustrial Park Industrial Commercial

  8. Future Grid? H and KWh School Home H Supermarket Family Car 2 Fleets Renewables Generating plant H2 DNA-to-order.com MgB2

  9. Technical Economics & Practicality Infrastructure, Regulatory Policy & Incentives Additional Effort Needed

  10. Technical • Testing & analysis of grid effects • Communications & control technologies & algorithms • Day-ahead forecasting • Storage technologies • Management systems for intermittency • …and fuel cell R&D -- including reformers, hydrogen storage, & transportation

  11. Economics • Cost has come down… • but remains high for most renewables • Wind, geothermal and biomass all can be competitive • Solar PV continues to improve • Efficiency improvements and cost reductions still very important

  12. Infrastructure, Policy & Incentives For distributed renewables………. • Standardize interconnection, permitting and other requirements & processes..(predictability, time, $) • Incentivize utilities…identify benefits in power quality, reliability & security for dispatchable DR • Encourage & support full service providers …avoid the hassle of being an ‘energy provider’ • Expand installer & inspector corps and training • Incentive programs help…buy-downs, taxes

  13. Infrastructure, Policy & Incentives For large, central renewable systems…. • Limited market • no new contracts • no new direct access customers • Utilities have no incentive to buy renewable power

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