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Prof Christopher Maher cmaher@george.org.au Director, Musculoskeletal Division Professor, Faculty of Medicine, University of Sydney. Latest research Red/yellow flags Simple well delivered treatments Current practice may not always be best practice: why?. Musculoskeletal best practice.
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Prof Christopher Maher cmaher@george.org.au Director, Musculoskeletal Division Professor, Faculty of Medicine, University of Sydney
Latest research Red/yellow flags Simple well delivered treatments Current practice may not always be best practice: why? Musculoskeletal best practice
Diagnosis/Prognosis Most LBP is benign Do not routinely order imaging Red flags to exclude serious pathology Screen for yellow flags Treatment-acute First line care Advice & Paracetamol Second line care NSAIDs Muscle relaxants or opioids Physical therapies Persistent pain exercise Acute LBPGuideline endorsed Management
How prevalent is serious disease? • Inception cohort study of 1,172 consecutive patients with acute LBP • First consultation to primary care for this episode • 25 red flag screening questions • Follow up for 12 months Henschke et al. (under review)
Initial episode of care Follow-up over one year Randomly selected for review at 12/12 +ve or ? +ve or ? Rheumatological review • Serious pathology • Cancer • Fracture • Infection • Inflammatory disorder • Cauda Equina Syndrome • Other • Not serious pathology
Serious pathology in Sydney primary care • Only 11 confirmed cases serious pathology (< 1%) • 8 fracture • 1 cauda equina syndrome • 2 inflammatory arthritis • 0 infection • 0 cancer Henschke et al. (under review)
Detection of vertebral fracture Presumed pre-test probability 1.0% Four red flags: a) female gender b) age > 70 years, c) significant trauma (major in young, minor in elderly) d) prolonged use of corticosteroids. Henschke et al. (under review)
Prognosis of Acute LBP • ‘Majority recover within 3 months… however milder symptoms often persist’ • (Aust Guideline) • ‘90% of patients will recover spontaneously within 4 weeks’ • (US Guideline)
Sydney primary care • Inception cohort study of 973 patients presenting to primary care with LBP < 2 weeks duration • Follow up at 6 weeks, 3 months, and 12 months (< 3% dropout) • Sampled three dimensions of recovery: return to work, interference with function due to pain, and pain status Henschke et al. BMJ (2008)
Three pictures of recovery from LBP No disability Normal work status Pain-free
Yellow flags(adverse prognostic factors) • Older age • More intense pain • Longer duration of low back pain • More days of reduced activity • Patient reports feeling depressed • Patient believes pain is likely to persist • Compensable low back pain Henschke et al. (2008)
Is advice and paracetamol sufficient?Should I consider spinal manipulation &/or NSAIDs?
Is advice and paracetamol sufficient?Should I consider spinal manipulation &/or NSAIDs? • Baseline care • Advice & paracetamol Hancock et al. Lancet (2007)
Persistent low back painExerciseor advice? Pengel et al. Annals Intern Med (2007)
Research Plan • Placebo controlled RCT • Exercise and advice • Exercise (and advice placebo) • Advice (and exercise placebo) • Double placebo Pengel et al. Annals Intern Med (2007)
Results at 6 weeks: Pain (0 to 10) Pengel et al. Annals Intern Med (2007)
Desirable characteristics for chronic LBP exs program Hayden et al Ann Intern Med 2005
Exercise for chronic LBP% reduction in pain (group mean) • Supervised exs in gym vs gym pass(Reilly et al 1989) • exp: 58% • control: 3%
Current practice Management of new cases of LBP in Australian primary care
The graduate of 1980…. ~4% of today’s evidence (441 trials)
The graduate of 2000…. ~48% of today’s evidence (5,301 trials)
Value of reviews & guidelinesCumulative no of LBP exs trials Deyo 1983 Koes 1991 Van Tulder 2000 Hayden 2005 Source PEDro 12/08/08
Musculoskeletal best practice • Musculoskeletal best practice • Simple may be best • Well delivered treatments • Current practice may not always be best practice • Growth in evidence • Challenges & opportunities