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Health Care Facility Risk Assessment. Daniel Kollek Executive Director Centre for excellence in Emergency Preparedness For Brian Schwartz & Bonnie Henry. Risk = Probability x Impact. Probability? Highly likely? Likely? Possible? Unlikely?. Impact? Marginal Serious Critical
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Health Care FacilityRisk Assessment Daniel Kollek Executive Director Centre for excellence in Emergency Preparedness For Brian Schwartz & Bonnie Henry
Risk = Probability x Impact Disaster Preparedness Conference 2006
Probability? Highly likely? Likely? Possible? Unlikely? Impact? Marginal Serious Critical Catastrophic Components of Risk Disaster Preparedness Conference 2006
Probability Disaster Preparedness Conference 2006
Components of Impact Type • Human • Physical / infrastucture • Business Severity Marginal Serious Critical Catastrophic Disaster Preparedness Conference 2006
Impact - Human • unlikely to cause injury, illness or death in community members/providers • low probability of injury, illness or death • high probability of injury or illness; low probability of death • high probability of death Disaster Preparedness Conference 2006
Impact – Physical Infrastructure • unlikely to cause physical infrastructure damage causing service disruption with resultant costs/recovery challenges • minor physical infrastructure damage • moderate physical infrastructure damage • extensive physical infrastructure damage with substantial service disruptions, high costs and extended recovery time Disaster Preparedness Conference 2006
Impact - Business • unlikely to cause public/private sector service interruptions • minor or limited or short term service interruptions • significant/widespread or long term service interruptions • Numerous public/private sector entities unable to provide services Disaster Preparedness Conference 2006
Overall Impact Rating Disaster Preparedness Conference 2006
Risk Assessment examples Disaster Preparedness Conference 2006
Risk Rating Impact Rating Disaster Preparedness Conference 2006
Priorities • Pandemic ‘flu • Tornado • Dirty bomb Disaster Preparedness Conference 2006
Priorities Perform this exercise for all: • Naturally occurring events • Technological and infrastructure events • Human related events Disaster Preparedness Conference 2006
Summary • Assessment of risks is first step in planning • Helps focus efforts and ensures no possibilities are missed • Helps prioritize efforts in preparedness Disaster Preparedness Conference 2006