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Challenges in Implementing IRM

Integrated Risk architecture: Implementation Issues FICCI - IBA conference on “Global Banking – paradigm shift” on October 5 th 2005. What is Integrated Risk Management. 1. Components for implementing IRM. 2. Challenges in Implementing IRM. 3. Growth. Capital Adequacy. Profitability.

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Challenges in Implementing IRM

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  1. Integrated Risk architecture:Implementation IssuesFICCI - IBA conference on “Global Banking – paradigm shift” on October 5th 2005

  2. What is Integrated Risk Management 1 Components for implementing IRM 2 Challenges in Implementing IRM 3

  3. Growth Capital Adequacy Profitability Three key imperatives for Bank’s Management • Differing requirements from various stakeholders • Employees • Borrowers • Regulators • Credit Rating agencies • Counterparty banks • Depositors • Investors IRM can assist in managing the three objectives proactively

  4. Maintenance of Regulatory/ Economic Capital is crucial to business continuity • Economic Capital is the financial cushion that a bank uses to absorb unexpected losses. The purpose of economic capital is to provide confidence to claim holders such as depositors, creditors and other stakeholders. • The development of of sophisticated risk measurement tools offers banks the capability to calculate economic capital. • The proposed New Basel Capital Accord is a major move towards aligning regulatory capital to economic capital.

  5. Profitability Analysis – Bank ABC • Investments offer the highest contribution p.c.age on assets • Which segment leads to high interest earnings? • The credit function has the largest contribution towards fixed expenses • Which credit segment contributes the highest? • What is the position after allocating costs? • Am I properly pricing for expected Losses? • What is the capital required for different business lines? • What is the return provided by different business lines on capital invested? • What is the expected impact of NPAs/ revaluation? Where should we grow? • Are we generating enough internal capital to support growth?

  6. Liquidity Risk Credit Risk Market Risk Risk Exposures – Bank ABC The bank runs asset liability mismatches due differing maturity profiles and lending and borrowing rates for credit, investments, deposits and subordinated debentures. Borrowing/ Lending/ Investing in Foreign Currency gives rise to foreign exchange risk

  7. How does this affect us? • Credit Risk: Simple credit products (loans normally backed by collateral, few products) • Market Risk: Simple market risk products (dealing in g-sec/ limited corporate bond market/ limited FX market) • Operational Risk: Not a major concern Increasing Complexity & Size Current Environment Future Environment • Credit Risk: • Credit Derivatives • Project Finance • Market Risk: • Multiple currencies • Investments in securities across countries • Investments in corporate bonds • Swaps/ Options other derivatives • Operational Risk: • Increasingly important with complex systems and processes, operations across time zones and markets

  8. Income 6.10 % Risk-adjusted income 5.60 % Expected Loss 0.50 % Risk-adjusted Net income 2.20% Costs 3.40 % Risk-adjusted After tax income 1.75% Net Tax 0.45% Risk-adjusted Net income 1750 Average Lending assets 100,000 RAROC 22% Total capital 8000 Credit Risk Capital 4.40 % Total capital 8.0 % Market Risk Capital 1.60 % Operational Risk Capital 2.00 % RAROC - Base for Integrated Risk Management • RAROC allows a bank to take a comprehensive risk view and forms the base for IRM • RAROC could be carried out for the bank as a whole or a business segment.

  9. Integrated Risk Management in a Bank • What is Integrated Risk Management? • Measure, monitor and manageall the risksacross the bank. • Bank wideintegrated risk management infrastructurein terms of people, policies and systems • Common and consistent risk measurement and quantificationmethodologiesacross all risk categories • Aggregation of risks andestimation of economic capitalto assist in risk/ return decision making Organisation Structure Policies Systems & Processes Integrated Risk Management People Culture Methodologies Compliance

  10. Perceived advantages of IRM • Facilitates strategic value creation • Key to regulatory compliance • Mechanism for efficient allocation of economic capital • Enables bank to maximise returns • Lower capital costs • Better decision making due to scenario analysis • Risk adjusted pricing • Loss reduction due to understanding of correlations • Elimination of unwanted exposures

  11. What is Integrated Risk Management 1 Components for implementing IRM 2 Challenges in Implementing IRM 3

  12. Policy Risk Models Performance Measurment Aggregation Controls on Risk takers Centralised risk function (analytics and management) Risk-adjusted performance measurement Risk Policy Risk reporting Quantification New product assessment IRM Implementation – Important Facets MIS IT Infrastructure Risk Communication and Control

  13. What is Integrated Risk Management 1 Components for implementing IRM 2 Challenges in Implementing IRM 3

  14. Information Technology Systems • Risk Analytics Basel II • Organisation Structure Credit Risk Market Risk • Risk Management Policies Operational Risk • Management Information Systems • Top Management Oversight Beyond Basel II ALM Business Risk Reputation Risk • Processes and Systems IRM Challenges – identification of gaps in existing risk management practices Reviewing and improving existing

  15. IRM Challenges - measurement of risks • Credit Risk • Probability of Default • Loss Given Default • Exposure at Default • Market Risk • Trading Book (VaR) • Interest Rate Risk on Banking Book • Operational Risk (evolving) Requires collection of data over time, development of measurement models, back testing of models

  16. Foreign Exchange Risk Interest Rate Risk Commodity Risk Business Line 1 Business Line 2 Equity Risk Corporate II Retail Pool Corporate I RISK CATEGORY Correlations across Businesses Correlations across Asset classes Correlations Across Companies MARKET RISK CAPITAL OPERATIONAL RISK RISK SILO CREDIT RISK IRM Challenges – Risk Aggregation Correlations among risk silos OVERALL ECONOMIC CAPITAL

  17. IRM Challenges - modelling of correlations across risk categories & risk silos • Modelling correlations requires data and is not easy • Fat tails in credit risk create problems

  18. IRM Challenges - Improving IT systems • Internal risk scoring models for credit • Portfolio Management Models • Models for estimating VaR for Market risk • Operational Risk databases • Asset Liability Management System • Data warehouse having interfaces for • Analytical • Modelling • Reporting • Options for developing Risk Management Systems • In-house • Off-the-shelf Sizeable investments in IT infrastructure required for implementing Basel II

  19. Thank you • CRISIL Investment & Risk Management Services • CRISIL Limited • dravishankar@crisil.com • Ph.no: 91 22 56537371

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