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Leaving Careers in IT: Differences in Retention by Gender and Minority Status. Paula Stephan & Sharon Levin January 2005. Acknowledgements. Supported by National Science Foundation: ELA 0089995; SEWP-NBER Uses data from Sciences Resources Statistics, National Science Foundation. Focus.
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Leaving Careers in IT: Differences in Retention by Gender and Minority Status Paula Stephan & Sharon Levin January 2005
Acknowledgements • Supported by National Science Foundation: ELA 0089995; SEWP-NBER • Uses data from Sciences Resources Statistics, National Science Foundation
Focus • Considerable interest in recent years concerning low prevalence of women and underrepresented minorities in the IT workforce. • Initial focus motivated by concerns regarding equity • Interest augmented in 1990s because of key role IT sector played in economic expansion and concern that shortage of IT workers existed.
Size of IT Workforce Depends onPipeline In • Much discussion in 1990s concerned how pipeline could be expanded, making careers in IT more attractive and possible for women and minorities. • Case in point: Carnegie Mellon initiative, “unlocking the clubhouse door” which focused on recruiting and attracting women and minorities into IT programs at CM.
Size of IT Workforce Also Depends onPipeline Out • IT workforce is diminished when trained individuals leave either for • Careers outside of IT or • Leave the labor force • IT workforce is diminished when “recruited” individuals leave. • Focus of this research is whether retention varies by gender and minority status. • Interest is on retention subsequent to working in occupation; not retention while in a degree program.
If those working in IT in ’93 had been retained in ’99 . . . • IT workforce would have had 40% more women • 50% more underrepresented minorities • 25% more men • Conclude: • IT workforce would have been bigger • More balanced by gender and underrepresented minority status
Plan for Today’s Presentation • Overview of data used • What we mean by IT trained • What we mean by IT occupations • Descriptive Data • Logit Analysis
Data • Drawn from SESTAT (college degree or higher, focus in S&E) • Integrated database built on three different NSF surveys • Years: 1993, 1995, 1997, 1999 • National Survey of College Graduates • National Survey Recent College Graduates • Survey of Doctorate Recipients
NSCG • Sampling frame is college educated (BA or higher) 1990 Census • Surveyed in 1993 to determine if degree held in 1990 is in S&E or whether working in an S&E occupation in 1990 • S&E identified sample followed in 1995, 1997, 1999
NSRCG • Sampling frame is individuals who earn bachelors or masters S&E degrees during the decade of 1990s • Refreshes NSCG but only adds those educated in U.S.
SDR • Sampling frame is individuals who earn Ph.D. degree in U.S. and indicate plan to stay in U.S. • Note: excludes individuals who earn Ph.D.s outside U.S.
Shortcomings of Data • Excludes scientists and engineers trained outside U.S. after 1990 • Excludes college-trained individuals working in S&E after 1993 but not trained in S&E • Excludes associate degree holders • Does not consider programming to be a field of training in S&E or an occupation in S&E
Definition of IT Trained; IT Work • Follow lead of IT Data Project concerning definition of IT trained • Follow lead of IT Data Project and IT Workforce report for definition of IT work • Available on our web page: http://www.gsu.edu/~ecopes/itworkforce/index.htm
Definition of IT Trained: One or More Degree in… • Computer/information sciences • Computer science • Computer system analysts • Information service and systems • Other computer and information sciences • Computer and systems engineers • Electrical, electronics and communications engineering if recipient also minored or did second major in area of computer or information sciences.
Definition of IT Occupations • Computer analyst • Computer scientists except system analysts • Information system scientists and analysts • Other computer and information science occupations • Other computer and information sciences • Computer engineers; software engineers • Computer engineers—hardware • Computer programmers (Note:only programmers picked up in SESTAT are those trained in an S&E field who work as a programmer or individuals not trained in S&E but working in an S&E occupation in 1993.)
Big Picture • Find about 1 million individuals (weighted data) working in IT in 1993 were in SESTAT in 1999. • 30% women; • 84% white • 9% Asian • 4% African American • 3% Hispanic & “Other”
Big Picture Continued • About 70% of those working in IT in 1993 were retained in 1999. • Retention rate higher for those trained: (80% vs 65%) • Retention rate higher for men than women (73% vs. 66%) • Retention rate higher for whites than African Americans (70% vs. 66%) • Retention rate higher for Asians (70%) than whites (70%)
Table II. Weighted means for individuals employed in IT occupations in 1993 and in SESTAT in 1999.
Compared to Engineering • Retention in IT is higher (71% vs. 66%) • Higher for women (66% vs. 52%) • Higher for African Americans (66% vs. 54%) • Conclude—as does Preston—that retention is a major issue
Table III. Weighted means for individuals employed in engineering occupations in 1993 and in SESTAT in 1999.
What Do the IT trained do when they leave IT? • Top and mid-level managers (32.4%) • Electrical and Electronic Engineering (9.2%) • Accountants (7.2%) • Other Management (6.4%) • Other Administrative (4.0%) • They also leave the labor force…especially true of women (8% for women vs. 3% for men)
Retention Analysis • Look at those in IT occupation in 1993 (trained and untrained) • Determine IT workforce status in 1999 • In IT • In another occupation • Not working (unemployed or out of labor force) • Estimate a multinomial logit model
Right hand side variables • Training variables • Family status variables • Change in family status variables • Citizenship status and change in citizenship status • Age • Self employment • Race/ethnicity • Gender
Findings: Staying in IT vs. Moving to non-IT occupation • Positively related to whether IT is latest degree; • Negatively related to whether self-employed; had taken additional training in a non-IT field and African American. • Note: “female” is not significant
Findings: Working in IT vs. Not Working • Negatively related to being self employed and being female and, for women, whether one began parenting a child under six during the interval.
Findings: Working Not in IT vs. Not Working • Positively related to being African American • Negatively related to being female and, for women, beginning to parent a child under six during the interval.
Summarize • African Americans leave IT occupations for other occupations; do not leave the labor force or become unemployed. • Women leave IT occupations to leave the labor force or become unemployed, not to move into another occupation • Results consistent with Xie & Shauman: No evidence that marriage per se affects the retention of women IT workers; but the arrival of young children makes women less likely to remain in the labor force.
Do African American Women Respond the Same as White Women and/or African American Men? • Interact variable female and African American • Find: African American women are significantly more likely to remain in the labor force than are white females. • Cannot reject hypothesis that African American women are any more or less likely to leave IT for another job than African American men
Re-estimate, splitting the sample by training • Find that change in visa status is related to leaving IT for another occupation for the “non-trained.” • Suggests that IT occupations are used as an entrée to getting an H-1B visa. • Change in visa status does not affect probability of retention for those trained in IT.
Gender Effects • In both trained and un-trained samples, the “female” result holds • The “female-get children” result only holds for those without formal training. • African American results become more fragile—related to “thinness” of sample
Policy Implications • Policies directed towards retention will have differential outcomes depending upon group in question • Women would be likely to respond to initiatives that provide on-site child care. • African Americans more likely to respond to initiatives that make IT occupations more attractive relative to non-IT jobs.
Usual Caveats • Data “thin” for URM; especially when split by gender. • Data does not include certain groups working in IT. • Results may be clouded by strong labor market for IT workers in late 1990s. • Labor force patterns are fluid; some of those who have left will return