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Work Programme and where next for welfare to work?

Work Programme and where next for welfare to work?. Kris Krasnowski Director for London, Inclusion Kris.Krasnowski@cesi.org.uk. Rich source of information and data on London labour market @ City, Sub-regional and borough level.

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Work Programme and where next for welfare to work?

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  1. Work Programme and where next for welfare to work? Kris Krasnowski Director for London, Inclusion Kris.Krasnowski@cesi.org.uk

  2. Rich source of information and data on London labour market @ City, Sub-regional and borough level. • Quarterly summary of trends and Annual London Story (due on 10 December) • Visit us @ http://lseo.org.uk/

  3. Work Programme in London What to expect on 27th November...

  4. Diminishing GDP forecasts... Source: Office for Budget Responsibility

  5. ...and job outcomes that follow GDP... Source: Inclusion. Analysis of DWP and ONS data

  6. Should lead to lower performance...Stupid! • Expectation that economic malaise will impact on Work Programme job outcomes • Suggests greater agility required in modelling to compensate for impact of changing GDP on performance

  7. Will Work Programme step up to the challenge of vLTU or inactive?

  8. Debatable... • Tougher labour market pushes most disadvantaged further back... • Bread and butter for primes has always been JSA – are existing models capable? • WCA potentially undermining interventions? • Still issues with voluntary referrals via random assignment

  9. Where next for welfare to work? • Competition on performance or price? • Local vs. Nationally designed programmes? • UC and in-work conditionality is a game changer... • ...We are advocating an extension of mutual obligations to low paid/in-work claimants • Conditions for a better jobs programme?

  10. Join the LSEO for a Work Programme debate December 2012 Date and venue TBC Visit: http://lseo.org.uk/

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