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PRESCRIBED SUBJECT Route 2: Prescribed Subject 3: Communism in Crisis The Fall of Communism: The USSR and Eastern Europe Area # 2 Gorbachev and His Impact on Eastern Europe. Revolutions of 1989. Gorbachev’s Policies do have major impact, however… Long history of oppostion in E. Europe
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PRESCRIBED SUBJECT Route 2: • Prescribed Subject 3: Communism in Crisis • The Fall of Communism: The USSR and Eastern Europe • Area # 2 • Gorbachev and His Impact on Eastern Europe
Revolutions of 1989 • Gorbachev’s Policies do have major impact, however… • Long history of oppostion in E. Europe • E. Berlin revolt 1953, Hungary 1956, Czech 1968 • Causes • Economic backwardness in E. Eur. • Lag behind West do to lack of innovation • Becomes worse as high tech explosion emerges 1970’s- ‘80s • East bloc gov’ts are Soviet puppets imposed on the states they govern by the USSR • No legitimacy • No elections • Several Soviet invasions • Repressive gov’ts • Secret Police systems in all E. Bloc states • E. Ger. STASI has files on 1/3 of population (smell jars for blood hounds) • Polish Army crackdowns 1970, ‘76, ‘81, Martial Law 1981-83
Revolutions of 1989 • Why the collapse in 1989 • Economies worsen in 1980’s • Huge debts in Poland (40 bi.), Czech (4 bi.), DDR (7.6 bi.) • Ruling Communists split over reforms • Some try to be more inclusive but fail to get cooperation • Gorbachev reforms encourage mimicry and opposition groups • Gorbachev says socialism can vary state to state • Gorbachev won’t intervene in E. Eur. Militarily • Gorbachev spokesman says Brezhnev Doctrine no longer in place • Initially Gorbachev is not believed (Khrushchev example) • East Bloc is too costly to maintain • Doesn’t want to damage links to the West • Gorbachev doesn’t realize it will be so fast or complete • Assumes reforms will occur but not overthrow of regimes • Media Impact (can’t keep events secret anymore) • TV, Radio create multiplier effect (Jamming ends with Détente
Revolutions of 1989 POLAND • Why won’t Gorbachev Intervene? • Buffer zones useless with Nuclear weapons so East Bloc no longer justified • East Bloc is huge financial drain (Warsaw Pact, Stationing Troops, aid to debtors like Poles) • Fears he will look like a fool if he cracks down in East Bloc while reforms at home • POLAND • Solidarity Role is key • 1980-81 huge strikes • Martial law declared 1981 and Solidarity Union is Banned • Gov’t trie to reform when Martial law ends 1983 • Hopes to split opposition with moderate reforms • Need to raise prices due to debt, but fear riots (1970, 1976, 1980-81 due to price increases) • Negotiate with Catholic Church • Fails due to Murder of Father Popieluszko a reformer • Pope JP II visits and supports Solidarity
Revolutions of 1989 POLAND • 1983 Solidarity is weakened • One leader Michnik wants 30% of Assembly seats freely elected • Gov’t negotiates but can’t wait on reform of prices • Other Solidarity leaders oppose Michnik • No progree til 1986 and debt increase 35% • 1986 demand amnesty for arrested Solidarity (SD) members • Jaruzelski can’t wait and holds referendum on econ. and political reforms 1987 “Referendum on Reform” • Backfires, SD boycotts vote and can’t get 50% to pass it • Jaruzelski goes ahead anyway raises prices 40-50% • More increase to follow • Strikes in May and August and SD steps in, negotiates end to strikes and shows its power with workers • Analysts “The Group of Three” offer new reforms in 1988 and Jaruzelski accepts their report • Proposal is an elected Senate and Parliament in which 40% of the seats would be freely elected • Takes five months to open negotiations
Revolutions of 1989 POLAND • “The Group of Three” (con’t) • Delay caused by threat of Communist hardliner coup and Solidarity demans that union be made legal • Jaruzelski has to threaten to resign to get hardliners to accept talks • “Round Table” Talks finally approved Jan. 1989 • Communist goal is reform w/o loss of Party control • SD represented by T. Mazowiecki, B. Geremek, W. Trzeciakowski • April Accords are the result • Free Senate Elections • 35% of Parliament freely elected • Office of President to be elected by Senate and Parliament • The June Elections • Gov’t overestimates its support in free elections • First round SD gaets 92 of 100 open senate seats and 160 of 161 Parliament open seats • Second round they get 99 senate and all parliament seats
Revolutions of 1989 POLAND • Jaruzelski elected President • cautious SD members fear a Soviet invasion or Hard liner coup if he is ousted • Aug. to Sept. 1989 • More aggressive SD like Michnik now demand an SD Prime Minister (“Your President our PM” formula) • Jaruzelski offers cabinet posts only but caves in a month • Mazowiecki (SD) made PM • Reason is communist allies United Peasants and Democrats shift to SD side • Lech Walesa the founder of SD brokers the deal with the other parties • Doesn’t fear a coup as communists are weak • Walesa elected resident Dec. 1990 and replaces Jaruzlski • Economic problems remain but European Union gives aid to new democracy
Revolutions of 1989 Hungary • Hungarian revolution bloodlesslike Poland • Had actually begun reforms before Poles • Private Enterprise like NEP permitted in early 1980’s • Also have Multi-candidate elections since 1985 (candidate does have to be approved by the gov’t) • Revolution begins due to Communist Party infighting • Janos Kadar (Pres.) appoints Karoly Grosz as PM • Grosz is aided by reformer Imre Posgay and ousts Kadar • Grosz and Posgay argue • Posgay wants to end Party’s lead role and acknowledge 1956 Soviet invasion as a crime • Eventually rehabilitate Imre Nagy who was arrested and executed by Soviets in 1956 • National Round Table talks modeled on Poland • Multi-party elections Mach 1990 communists get only 10% • Democratic Forum and Alliance of Free Democrats win • No open borders which helps bring on East German collapse • E. Ger. Can enter Hungary, cross to Austria the enter West Germany
Revolutions of 1989: East Germany (GDR/DDR) • East Germany (DDR/GDR) is most prosperous East Bloc state • Debt however is 27 bi. in 1989 • Party Leader Eric Honecker is tough and willing to use force • Problem is USSR reforms and Poland and Hungary revolutions undermine DDR • TV and Radio from West Germany (FRG) can be seen in DDR • 1989 500,000 flee through Hungary • Protests in Berlin and Leipzeig causes Honecker to close DDR borders • SED (Communists) feel reforms are their only hope • Gorbachev now visits • Won’t support violence • Implies Honecker ought to be fired and he is forced out • Egon Krenz new leader
Revolutions of 1989: East Germany (GDR/DDR) • Krenz wants Gorbachev style reforms • Promises free travel ‘in the future” • Spokesman incorrectly gives impression free travel begins immediately • 100’s of 1000’s arrive at Berlin Wall and outnumbered border guards stand aside • Start to knock it down (catalyst for rapid change) • Mar. 1990 censorship ends • SED now investigated for corruption and news coverage forces whole Politburo to resign Dec. 1990 • Gysi the new leader negotiates multiparty elections March 1990 • Collapse is rapid 200,000 leave in two months • Reunification (NOT ON EXAM) • FRG PM Kohl offers currency union and visits 6 times • March Elections Center-Right (favor immediate unification wins) 48% SPD 25% SED only 16%
Revolutions of 1989: East Germany (GDR/DDR) • Reunification (NOT ON EXAM) (con’t) • Gorbachev stunned as 300,000 Soviet troops in DDR • Proposes neutral reunified Germany (leave NATO) • Backs off and agrees to Ger. In NATO in no troops in Eastern Germany • 4 Powers give up authority in Germany • May 1990 currency unified • Sept. 4 Powers approve unity • Oct. Reunification • Dec Kohl wins 1st united Germany elections
Revolutions of 1989: Czechoslovakia The Velvet Revolution • Czech Communist Leader Gustav Husak placed in charge by USSR 1968 • Replaced by Milos Jakes 1977 • Charter 77 a dissident group forms 1977 • Vlacav Havel playwright is leader • Demand Helsinki Accords rights • Catalogue Husak’s abuses • Many members key figures in 1989 revolt • Domino effect is in play • Party united seems secure • TV, Radio coverage destabilizes regime as other East Bloc states fall • Protests begin Nov. 1989 • Secret Police respond violently equals more protests • Civic Forum (CF) created with Havel as leader • Coordinates protests and persuades others to support the Party • General strike Nov. 27 and other groups like VPN join • Nov. 24 Dubcek released
Revolutions of 1989: Czechoslovakia The Velvet Revolution • New PM Adamec trys to negotiate short strike • Shouted down • Strike forces gov’t to introduce concession • Propose 15 Communists 5 non-communists in the cabinet • Protests follow Adamec resigns • “Oblong Table” talks • Dubcek a communist Chairs Assembly • Havel is President • Elections June 1990 • Multi-party • Non-communists win • Gorbachev takes troops out 1991 • Slovakia leaves Jan 1993 ½ the size of Czech population