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DISASTER PREPAREDNESS A Time-Dependent and Policy-Driven Process to Underpin Disaster Resilience. Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, University of North Carolina, USA. THE STATE OF THE WORLD: UNPREPARED.
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DISASTER PREPAREDNESS A Time-Dependent and Policy-Driven Process to Underpin Disaster Resilience Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, University of North Carolina, USA
THE STATE OF THE WORLD: UNPREPARED REALITY: 200 Nations and 7 Billion People are Investing Over 6 Trillion Dollars Each Year in Urban Development and Billions in Education. REALITY:Each Year, approximately 700-900 Events Cause Economic losses in the $ Billions With Large Tolls in Mortality and Morbidity and a Loss Potential That is Increasing Exponentially With Time.
DISASTERS OCCUR WHEN---A COMMUNITY’S PUBLIC POLICIES ALLOW IT TO BE … UN—PREPARED
FOUR PILLARS OF RESILIENCE • NATURAL HAZARDS • INVENTORY • VULNERABILITY • LOCATION • PREPAREDNESS • PROTECTION • EMERGENCY RESPONSE • RECOVERY IENCE RISK ASSESSMENT ACCEPTABLE RISK RISK UNACCEPTABLE RISK GOAL: DISASTER RESILIENCE DATA BASES AND INFORMATION COMMUNITY HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS
GOAL:FROM UN—PREPARED TO A STATE OF PREPAREDNESS FOR ALL NATURAL HAZARDS
The Goal:Making Cities Disaster Resilient Concentrating all Available Resources on The Urgent Goal ISDR Introduced to the World on October 13th, 2010
A PART OF THE UNITED NATIONS’ WORLD DISASTER REDUCTION CAMPAIGNCoordinated by the United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction (ISDR)
THE WAY FORWARD DISASTER RESILIENCE IN EVERY CITY IN EVERY REGION OF THE WORLD AS QUICKLY AS POSSIBLE
THE AMERICAS CARIBBEAN BASIN ISLAND NATIONS EUROPE ASIA MEDITERRANEAN SUB-SAHARA AFRICA TOWARDS DISASTER RESILIENCE IN EVERY CITY THROUGHOUT WORLD ADOPTION AND IMPLEMENTATION OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION POLICIES & /PROGRAMS
ELEMENT 1 OF DISASTER PREPAREDNESS • HAZARD, VULNERABILITY, AND RISK ASSESSMENTS
ELEMENT 2 OF DISASTER PREPAREDNESS • PREDICTIONS, FORECASTS AND WARNING SYSTEMS
ELEMENT 3 OF DISASTER PREPAREDNESS • DISASTER PLANNING SCENARIOS
ELEMENT 4 OF DISASTER PREPAREDNESS • INSURANCE
ELEMENT 4 OF DISASTER PREPAREDNESS • TOWARDS THE “INTELLIGENT COMMUNITY “
HAZARDS EXPOSURE VULNERABILITY LOCATION ELEMENTS OF RISK RISK
HAZARD, VULNERABILITY, AND RISK ASSESSMENTS • WHERE WILL THE NAT. HAZARD OCCUR? • WHEN? • PHYSICAL EFFECTS? • HOW BIG OR SEVERE? • WHAT IS AT RISK? • THE VULNERABILITIES? • EXPECTED DAMAGE? • EXPECTED SOCIO-ECONOMIC IMPACTS?
GOAL: The implementation of policies by local governments that will move their cities towards disaster resilience.
An Unique Opportunity: This is an opportunity for the world’s more than 1 million cities to adopt the ISDR’S urgent goal of becoming disaster resilient as quickly as possible, and to find ways to make it happen.
SOME OF THE KINDS OF DISASTERS THAT HAPPENED DURING 2010-2011 DEMONSTRATE THE URGENT NEED FOR RESILIENCE
EARTHQUAKES: 2010 HAITI CHILE TURKEY INDONESIA CHINA TAIWAN
EARTHQUAKES: 2011 JAPAN CHILE NEW ZEALAND TURKEY
LANDSLIDES: 2010 MACHU PICCHU SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA MADEIRA (PORTUGAL) BRAZIL (RIO DE JANEIRO) TAIWAN SANTA MARIA TLAHUITOLTAPEC
SEVERE WINDSTORMS: 2010XynthiaTropical Storms and Hurricanes: Atlantic BasinTropical Storms and Hurricanes: Pacific BasinTyphoonsCyclones
SEVERE WINDSTORMS: 2011Tornadoes in USAHurricane IreneTropical Storm Lee Typhoons
FLOODS: 2010 BRAZIL (RIO DE JANEIRO) EUROPE PAKISTAN
FLOODS: 2011 QUEENSLAND, AUSTRALIA MISSISSIPPI RIVER AREA, USA BANGKOK, THAILAND
VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS:2010 ICELAND INDONESIA
VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS:2011 ICELAND
WILDFIRES: 2010 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA RUSSIA ISRAEL
WILDFIRES: 2011 ARIZONA TEXAS
DROUGHT CONTINUES IN THE CARIBBEAN CONTINUES IN WESTERN CHINA
OIL SPILLS AND LEAKS: 2010 GULF OF MEXICO CHINA
THE RESILIENT CITIES CAMPAIGN THE CAMPAIGN WILL SUCCEED WHEN CITIES ARE PREPARED FOR ALL NATURAL HAZARDS, AND ARE REDUCING DISASTER RISKS TOWARDS ZERO
EVERY REGION HAS CITIES WITH “CHAMPIONS” TO PROVIDE LEADERSHIP SUB-SAHARA AFRICA CARIBBEAN BASIN EUROPE 200 NATIONS AND 7 BILLION PEOPLE NORTH AMERICA MEDITER- RANEAN SOUTH AMERICA ISLAND NATIONS ASIA
THE GOAL OF EVERY CITY • LESS RISK! • PREPARED FOR ALL NATURAL HAZARDS (E.G., FLOODS, SEVERE WINDSTORMS, EARTHQUAKES)
FACTS OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY! COMMUNITY AND REGIONAL ALLIANCES! CHANGE IN THINKING! EFFORTS THAT BUILD LOCAL CAPACITY FOR PREPAREDNESS F A C EIS THE KEY
USE GLOBAL KNOWLEDGE AND EXPERIENCES AS A BASIS FOR LOCAL PUBLIC POLICIES SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY RESILIENT TRANSPORTATION CONSTRUCTION TECHNIQUES SEED BED FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE CAMPAIGHS THAT MEET COMMUNITY NEEDS RESILIENT DEVELOPMENT ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION NATURAL & TECH. HAZARDS POLICY IMPLEMENTATION RESILIENT ENTERPRISE
CITY PLANS FOR DISASTER RISK REDUCTION - Perspectives On Science, Policy, And EDUC.
CAPACITY FOR DISASTER RISK REDUCTION DISASTER RISK REDUCTION DISASTER RESILIENCE HOW TO FAIL GOALS: FACT: NO CITY CAN REDUCE ITS DISASTER RISKS WITHOUT A LONG-TERM STRATEGIC EFFORT.
PHYSICAL SCIENCES SOCIAL SCIENCE ENGINEERING SCIENCES HOW TO SUCCEED STRATEGIC GOAL: WORKING TOGETHER TO INCREASE CAPACITY IN EVERY SECTOR OF THE CITY SUCCESS: A STATE OF PREPAREDNESS IN EVERY CITY
TOWARDS DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES GOAL: Focus on Solutions For Reducing Disaster RISK ISLAND NATIONS FOCUS ON PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS AND INNO-VATIVE IMPLEMENTATION BUILD ON CULTURAL DIVERSITY OF NATIONS IN THE REGION BUILD TECHNICAL AND POLITICAL CAPACITY FOR INCREASED COMMITMENT DEVELOP FINANCIAL RESOURCES IMPROVE COMMUNICATIONS INCREASE RESILIENCE OF COMMUNITIES BY REDUCING VULMERABILITIES INCREASE AND IMPROVE PARTNERSHIPS IMPROVE PUBLIC EDUCATION AND AWARENESS
TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES GOAL: Focus on Solutions For Reducing Disasters SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA ENHANCE PUBLIC HEALTH INCREASE PUBLIC AWARENESS REDUCE PHYSICAL, SOCIAL, AND ENTERPRISE VULNERABILITIES IIPROVE CAPACITY FOR PERFORMING LOSS ESTIMATIONS ACCELERATE EDUCATION (WITH FOCUS ON RISK REDUCTION TECHNIQUES ESTABLISH AN AFRICAN CENTER OF EXCELLENCE ON SUSTAINABILE DEVELOPMENT INCREASE CAPACITY TO MITIGATE DAMAGE/LOSS OF ECOLOGICAL SYSTEMS ESTABLISH SUB-REGIONAL CENTERS OF EXCELLENCE ON SUSTAINABILE DEVELOPMENT
TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES GOAL: Focus on Solutions For Reducing Disasters CARIBBEAN BASIN NATIONS ASSESS AND REDUCE VULNERABILITIES ON NATIONAL SCALES INCREASE PUBLIC AWARENESS OF SOCIAL AND PHYSICAL RISKS INCREASE UNDERSTANDING OF RISKS IN EVERY NATION ASSESS AND REDUCE VULNERABILITIES ON REGIONAL SCALE ASSESS AND REDUCE VULNERABILITIES ON ISLAND-SPECIFIC SCALES CONTINUE BUILDING BASIN-WIDE PARTNERSHOPS ASSESS AND REDUCE VULNERABILITIES ON COMMUNITY SCALES
TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES GOAL: Focus on Solutions For Reducing Disasters EUROPE ADVANCE SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNOLOGICAL PROGRAMS IMPROVE EARLY WARNING AND EARLY RESPONSE IMPROVE EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT EMPOWER POLLITICAL WILL TO CHANGE POLICIES AND PRACTICES REDUCE VULNERABILITIES TO NATURAL AND TECHNOLOGICAL HAZARDS TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE SOCIETAL DEVELOPMENT INCREASE PROTECTION OF PEOPLE AND CULTURAL HERITAGE CREATE A FORUM ON DISAS-TER RISK MANAGEMENT
TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES GOAL: Focus on Solutions For Reducing Disasters MEDITERRANEAN REGION ADVANCE SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNOLOGICAL PROGRAMS INCREASE PUBLIC AWARENESS IN EVERY NATION IMPROVE EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT EMPOWER POLITICAL WILL TO CHANGE POLICIES AND PRACTICES REDUCE VULNERABILITIES TO NATURAL AND TECHNOLOGICAL HAZARDS TOWARDs SUSTAINABLE SOCIETAL DEVELOPMENT INCREASE PROTECTION OF PEOPLE AND CULTURAL HERITAGE CONTINUE IMPROVING PARTNERSHIPS FOR DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES IN EACH REGION GOAL: Focus on Solutions For Reducing Disasters ASIA FORMATION OF CENTERS OF EXCELLENCE IMPROVE PUBLIC AWARENESS IMPROVE EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REDUCE ALL URBAN VULNERABILITIES IMPROVE ALL ASPECTS OF DATA MANAGEMENT
TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES GOAL: Focus on Solutions For Reducing Disasters THE AMERICAS IMPROVE PUBLIC AWARENESS AND EDUCATION IMPROVE CAPABILITY TO AVOID DISASTERS AS PART OF LAND-USE PLANNING IMPROVE CAPABILITY TO MATCH STRUCTURAL DESIGN WITH HAZARD DEMAND IMPROVE HAZARD CHARACTERIZATION MODELS AND MAPS IMPROVE EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS, RESPONE, AND RECOVERY DEVELOP COMMUNITY REDUCE ALL URBAN VULNERABILITIES IMPROVE DISASTER SCENARIOS IMPROVE ENVIRONMENTAL VULNERABILITY AND RISK ASSESSMENTS
TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES GOAL: Focus on Solutions For Reducing Disasters THE AMERICAS(CONTINUED) IMPROVE DATA COLLECTION AND MANAGEMENT IMPROVE MITIGATION AND PREPAREDNESS MODELS TO MANAGE RISK IMPROVE THE NEXT GENERATION OF BUILDING CODES AND STANDARDS IMPROVE PROCESS FOR SHARING KNOWLEDGE AND EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES IMPROVE UNDERSTANDING OF INTERACTION OF HAZARD AND BUILT ENVIRONMENTS ENHANCING MULTIPLE EFFORTS IN CAPACITY BUILDING INCREASED COLLECTION AND SHARING OF KNOWLEDGE CLOSE “IMPLEMENTATION GAP “
TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES GOAL: Focus on Success; FAILURE IS A LOSS FOR EVERYONE! INNOVATIVE IMPLEMENTATION IS THE KEY COORDINATED GOVERNMENT POLICES, PRACTICES, AND LEGISLATION OUTREACH BY KNOWLEDGE PRODUCING ORGANIZATIONS COUNTER-DISASTER TRAINING OF RESPONSIBLE PERSONS IMPROVED TRANS-BORDER LINKAGES BETWEEN COUNTRIES PUBLIC AWARENESS TO GAIN SUPPORT FOR SUSTAINED IMPLEMENTATION IMPROVED LEVERAGING OF EXISTING INTERNATIONAL AGREEMENTS COORDINATED BUSINESS POLICIES AND PRACTICES COMMINICATION!
DISASTER RISK REDUCTION IS A “24/7” EFFORT • PREVENTION (CONTROL THE SOURCE) • PROTECTION (BUILD TO WITHSTAND) • LAND-USE CONTROL (AVOIDANCE)