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Service Quality Regulation in Electricity Distribution. Necmiddin BAĞDADİOĞLU Orçun SENYÜCEL. Objectives. Incorporate service quality measure into electricity regulation. New in literature : Growitsch et al (2008), Coelli et al (2008-Draft)
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Service Quality Regulation in Electricity Distribution Necmiddin BAĞDADİOĞLU Orçun SENYÜCEL
Objectives • Incorporate service quality measure into electricity regulation. New in literature : Growitsch et al (2008), Coelli et al (2008-Draft) Determine technical efficiency of Turkish electricity distribution utilities • Focus on exogeneous determinants of inefficiency • Analyze effects of electricity losses and illegal usage on TE.
Turkish Electricity Reform • Electricity Sector Reform and Privatization Strategy Paper (2004): TEDAS 2012 • Transitory period: 20 utilites through mergers of 79 distribution utilities. • ESRPSP: mergers determined by operational problems, technical & financial features. • Turkey accession country. EU Energy Acquis • EMRA has not announced regulatory framework
Briefly SFA v DEA Average Cost (all noise)Syrjanen, M., P. Bogetoft, P. Agrell (2006)
Briefly SFA v DEA Deterministic frontier (all ineff u)Syrjanen, M., P. Bogetoft, P. Agrell (2006)
Briefly SFA v DEA Stochastic frontier (both noise v and ineff u) Syrjanen, M., P. Bogetoft, P. Agrell (2006)
Briefly SFA • Two component error terms, first captures statistical noise • Second captures effects of TE. • Half normal, exponential, truncated dist.
Distance Functions • DF: Distance of the prod to PPB • Two different types: input & output DF • Input DF: How much input vector can be contracted (output constant) • Output: Vice versa.
y y0 xo x/λ x L(y) Distance Functions Kumbhakar & Lovell (2003)
Distance Functions • Deviations from 1 is technical inefficiency • h(.) represents deviation exp (-u) • exp (-u) one of the component error terms.
Distance Functions • Adding random error term, imposing homogeneity rest. • We preffered translog input DF.
Methodology • Following Coelli, (M outputs K inputs)
Methodology • Following Coelli and Battese, • Two environmental variables
Models • Model I: Input: TOTEX+L&IEU (TOTEXL) • Model II: Input: + Interruption Time (ITC) • Output: Energy supplied (ENG) and number of customers (CUST) • Environmental factors: • Village Cust Density (VCD) • Geographic Conditions (GEO)
Model I Note: ***, ** and * denotes significance at the 1, 5 and 10 % levels.
Model I RTS=0.93=
Model II Note: ***, ** and * denotes significance at the 1, 5 and 10 % levels.
Model II RTS=1.06
Average efficiency scores QoS has significant effect: TE decreased by 16.5% LLR test also states QoS important
Conclusion • QoS impact on TE. GEO & VCD are crucial environmental variables. • Excl. losses and illegal electricity usage overestimates TE. • Privatization: Eight utilitiesare established far from the optimal size and have low average efficiency scores (0.43). TPA may merge other six utilities.