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GLOBAL WARMING AND ITS IMPLICATION TOWARD URBAN SPACE IN INDONESIA. Amiluhur Soeroso Researcher at PUSTRAL Gadjah Mada University amisoeroso@gmail.com. Workshop Mapping Causal Complexity in Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Melbourne, Australia. Structure of Presentation. Introduction
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GLOBAL WARMING AND ITS IMPLICATION TOWARD URBAN SPACE IN INDONESIA Amiluhur Soeroso Researcher at PUSTRAL Gadjah Mada University amisoeroso@gmail.com Workshop Mapping Causal Complexity in Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Melbourne, Australia
Structure of Presentation • Introduction • Current condition of Indonesia • Adaptation Plan Related to Urban Infrastructure • Infrastructure Adaptation Strategy • Closing Remarks
Introduction • Indonesian geographical position one of the most vulnerable nations towards climate change impact • cities more vulnerable to flood • rural areas will have fresh water shortages. • The warming mountain areas widen the habitat for disease vectors. • high sea level and tidal wave cause abrasion and threaten coastal settlements.
Current Condition in Indonesia (1) • Spatial planning is aimed at sustainable development for environmental prosperity • 70 percent of infrastructures development in Indonesia is centered in Java, Sumatera and Bali Islands • Infrastructures dispersion is not well-arranged, that it caused spatial structuring failure • The contribution of urban activities to Green House Effect (GHE) is about 60 percent • Related to the context of climate change, this factor worsens the problems of fresh water provided for urban areas
Current Condition in Indonesia (2) • Illegal logging in highland and thus have increased erosion, properties and settlements built in river banks areas causes stream area in critical condition • 35 thousand hectares of primary and secondary forestland has conversed to plantation and settlements every year • Mangrove forest in Indonesia only remains 50 percent or 3.5 million hectares. • The increase of flood intensity caused by global warming is predicted to be nine times greater in the next decades
Current Condition in Indonesia (3) • Increasing sea level and flood will threat many areas : • Airports – Polonia (Medan), Soekarno-Hatta (Jakarta), Juanda (Surabaya), Ngurah Rai (Denpasar), Hassanudin (Makassar) and Ahmad Yani (Semarang). • Harbours – Belawan (Medan), Tanjung Priok (Jakarta), Tanjung Mas (Semarang), Tanjung Perak (Surabaya), Pontianak and Makassar. • Road along of eastern Sumatera, northern Java (Jakarta-Surabaya) and central Sulawesi (Pare-pare-Bulukumba via Makassar). • Irrigation network at food area centre of northern Java, eastern Sumatera and southern Sulawesi.
Adaptation Plan Related to Urban Infrastructure • Holistic (ecological) planning is required in adaptation plan (Keraf, 2002) • facts cannot be separated from values • the use of synergy systemic relation • in making policy, comprehensive consideration to the aspects of value, culture, economic benefit, etc. is taken into account • The characteristics of holistic paradigm are (Howitt, 2001). • the balance proportion between the central and local authorities • multidimensional views • Cooperation • attention to varieties and integration • comprehensive development.
Closing Remarks (1) • In changing the context of the future spatial planning in Indonesia, the growth measurement should be shifted to holistic development • Sustainable economic development can be achieved when the balance in ecological functions is maintained • Involve local community • Appropriate spatial planning needs to be conducted by referring to Bali agenda road map
Closing Remarks (2) • The adaptation efforts to climate change require: • international cooperation to support the actions • risk management and risk reduction strategy • diversification in the economic sector to build resilience. • Challenges in the implementation of spatial governance: • the needs of improvement in all related sectors • the technical and methodological aspects • the capacity and interests of the stakeholders • the most crucial one, funding.