Update to Advisory Committee February 5 th , 2009

1. Update to Advisory Committee February 5th, 2009

2. Background • Mandate, Goals/Objectives, Activities, Members, Resources, can be found on our Website: www.nbhub.org • Established January 2001 • Multistakeholder Advisory Committee • Offices at New Brunswick Lung Association, Victoria Health Center, 65 Brunswick St., Fredericton, NB • Part of a National network of Hubs • Funded by NB Environmental Trust Fund • Recipient of sponsorship / awards, e.g. Enbridge Gas NB Green Awards.

3. 2008-2009 at a glance • Climate Change Hub Advisory Committee, October 1st, Keynotes: Minister Jack Keir and Mayor Ivan Court, Panels: Energy Security, Reaching for Net Zero, Greening of Government / Industry, and Leadership by Example. • Two Fleet Fuel Efficiency workshops, 9 comprehensive fuel efficiency reports (based on available data), 103 letters and 25 Municipal resource kits distributed • Quarterly Municipal Forum Teleconferences with invited experts and speakers • Council Presentations – e.g. Riverview, Hampton, Quispamsis, St-Andrews, Woodstock, etc • MAWIW and First Nation community engagement – Elsipogtog and Burnt Church • Website and Resource Distribution (Municipal Starter Kits, Publications, Articles) • Weekly News-Monitoring service with 200 subscribers, consolidating international, national, and local articles related toclimate science, energy, natural resources, public policy • Published Maps for Fleet Program, Energy Smart Municipalities, Vehicle Scrappage, Simple, Sea Level, etc. • Facilitated dialogue among industry, 3-levels of government, NGOs, and fund providers • Partnered with New Brunswick Lung Association, NB Department of Environment, Efficiency NB, Cities of NB Association, and Eight City Mayors on the coordination of the Mayor’s EcoChallenge (launch, Feb. 26, 2009) • Partnered with New Brunswick Lung Association on the development of a Compendium of Climate Change Public Education Best Practices & Resources (spring 2009)

4. 2009-2010 At a Glance • Two Hub Advisory Committee meetings (with possible themes such as Cap/Trade, Credits, Municipal Infrastructure, Energy, Transportation, Eco. Stimulus) • Five Municipal Teleconferences (sharing Best Practices) • Facilitate dialogue with Municipal, Industry, NGO leaders, and fund providers • Weekly News-monitoring and Clearinghouse services • Website Update (e.g. addition of cap and trade, going carbon neutral, community profiles, adaptation measures) • 2-3 Meetings with First Nation communities • Outreach to small and municipalfleets on fuel efficiency • Outreach to communities on sustainable transportation tools • Outreach at various Events / Workshops • Assist NB Department of Environment, Energy Efficiency NB, and the Cities of NB Association for the Mayors EcoChallenge 2009 and 2010 • Provide Map Services in support of environmental-health research and education. • Develop a collaborative framework for public education to meet the emerging ‘green’ shift – New Brunswick as a ‘Hub’ for Energy in the Continental North East

5. Environmental Scan • Recent Evidence of Environmental Change • Economic Recovery and Job Stimulus • Inauguration of President Obama and subsequent Orders to EPA and revision to tailpipe emissions and air quality standards + anticipated climate change policy • North American Cap and Trade System • National Infrastructure Projects / Municipal Cost-Sharing

6. 2004 Net Primary Resource Consumption, ~ 100 Quads http://eed.llnl.gov/flow

7. Oil extraction in Fort McMurray, Canada Vast reserves of low quality oil underlie the Boreal Forest surrounding Fort McMurray By early 2006 the mining operation covered an areas roughly 30 km by 20 km

8. Energy consumption depicted through night lights On 14 August 2003, parts of northeastern United States and southeastern Canada experienced widespread power blackouts

9. Concentration of CO2 and Temperature Change ? Tipping points – e.g. - melting ice / sea level rise; - permafrost melt / methane release / accelerated warming; - ocean acidification;- global ecosystem degradation (e.g. forests, farm land, wetlands, coastal…) ! There is more than enough exploitable carbon resources left in the world, to raise atmospheric concentration to 750 ppm, Stern Report CO2 eq. ppm Global Policy vs Action vs Demand Technological progress and adoption Population growth, quality of life, and wellbeing / exposure to impacts i.e. extreme weather, droughts, floods, disease, air pollution, affects on forestry, agriculture, fisheries, etc Global Health and increased Vulnerable Population Exposures Adaptation – timeliness, degree, appropriateness, cost-avoidance

10. Coping with Uncertainty? global climate circulation models, regional and local downscale modeling, identifying tipping points and feedback mechanisms, extrapolation of risk to society and adaptation measures, monitoring ecosystem indicators, vulnerability assessments, benchmarking against historical record, and simulating future trends

11. It’s not like Mother Nature takes revenge… or is it? The sports and luxury automobile – signs of affluence, mobility, and independence / autonomy. Maybe you are not the person who woke up to this… but you are familiar with our changing environment…

14. The Health Connection • More frequent and intense heat waves are expected to increase mortality and morbidity.1 • Changes in the magnitude and frequency of extreme weather events will likely cause physical and mental illness, injury, death, economic losses, property damage and population displacement.1 • Increased temperatures and changing precipitation patterns will have negative effects on food production and the availability and quality of fresh water, increasing the risks of infectious disease epidemics.1 • An increase in air pollution in certain regions, especially downwind of emission sources.  • An increase in forest fires in some regions, as a result of drier conditions.  • An increase in mould growth, and possibly a change in the types of moulds in regions affected by elevated levels of precipitation.  • An increase in certain types of plants and their pollen. • Changes in the distribution of deer mice infected with hantavirus. 

16. Health Costs of Air Pollution in Canada -Air pollution directly affects our lungs, heart, arteries, and our blood system. The Canadian Medical Association is warning that the number of deaths related to air pollution is set to soar, with a cumulative death toll of 800, 000 Canadians by 2031. Currently, 21,000 Canadians are dying each year from the acute and chronic effects of air pollution. Economic damages, including lost productivity and health−care costs are projected to top $150 million this year and run into the billions of dollars over the next two decades.

17. http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2008/03/cline.htm

18. Drought in western United States Lake Mead 2000 2004 PhotoView 18 meters Hoover Dam and Lake Mead

19. Landscape changes in Lake MeadUnited States New Golf Courses since 2001

20. Logging in Gaspe Peninsula, Canada The changes in the forest due to logging between 1993 and 2000

21. AdminUser FireWall • NBLA FireWall OracleServer GeoServer WebServer PublicUser RegisteredUser CarisServer Architecture WFSgeometries WPSstatistical processes Website Portal WMSSFE enginehandles WMS map requests DBresp. healthenvironmentinfrastructure ESRI Provincial Web-Map Services Distributed Data, Services, Applications

22. Discussion Furthering Collaboration to Promote Awareness of Climate Change Impacts, Mitigation and Adaptation in New Brunswick • What are the Key Messages from presentations today? • Who needs to know this information and why? • How does it affect your organization? Or, What will you do (different)? • How can the Hub facilitate awareness, build support, and motivate action on these issues? • Are there other issues / concerns? • Any emerging issues you would like to discuss at the next Advisory Committee meeting?