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ISO New England Environmental Advisory Group (EAG) Teleconference Final Draft Slides 12-02-09. December 4, 2009 9:30 – 11:30 AM. Agenda. Introductions and Administrative. Jim Platts. 2010 EAG Teleconferences/Meetings. Proposed Dates Feb 12 Apr 16 Jun 11 Jul 9 or Aug 13 Oct 8 Dec 17
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ISO New England Environmental Advisory Group (EAG) TeleconferenceFinalDraft Slides 12-02-09 December 4, 2009 9:30 – 11:30 AM
Introductions and Administrative Jim Platts
2010 EAG Teleconferences/Meetings • Proposed Dates • Feb 12 • Apr 16 • Jun 11 • Jul 9 or Aug 13 • Oct 8 • Dec 17 • Please register for each meeting through ISO TEN • Meetings will be on the ISO-NE calendar with the registration link to ISO TEN: https://isone.cyberu.com/client/isone/default.aspx
RSP10 PAC Meetings • The following PAC meetings are planned: • December 16, 2009 – Inter-Area Planning, Draft Economic RSP09 Study Results, Vermont Needs and Solution Studies, Transmission Updates, and CMP Transmission Owner PAC Meetings • January 21, 2010 – Transmission System Needs, NEWIS, Short-Run Load Forecast, Interface and LMP Duration Curves, Western MA Project Cost Estimates and Controls • February 24, 2010 – RSP10 Scope of Work, State and Long-Run Load Forecast, Transmission Update, Stakeholder Process for Submitting Economic Study Requests • Watch for additional items that may be added to the PAC agendas
Interregional Planning Stakeholder Advisory Committee (IPSAC) Meeting • December 18, 2009 • Sheration Hotel, Bradley Airport, Windsor Locks, CT • Preliminary Agenda: • 10:00 Administrative • 10:15 Vermont-New York New Interconnection • 10:45 Environmental Issues • 11:15 Northeast Natural Gas System Update • 11:45 Common Economic Database and Analysis • 12:00 Lunch • 1:00 NYISO/PJM Market Efficiency Analysis • 1:30 NYISO/PJM Reliability Analysis • 2:00 NYISO/ISO-NE Production Cost Analysis • 2:30 NCSP Report and Other Interregional Planning Activities • 3:15 Summary and Next Steps • 3:30 Adjourn • Register at: http://www.iso-ne.com/calendar/detail.action?eventId=101179&link=yes&filter=off
Review of Ozone Exceedance Days in New England with Data Provided from EPA and CT DEP Jim Platts
Ozone Exceedance Days in New England Source: 2008 Annual Report on Air Quality in New England, U.S. EPA Region 1
Connecticut Ozone 8-Hour Data Source: 2008 Annual Report on Air Quality in New England, U.S. EPA Region 1
Maine Ozone 8-Hour Data Source: 2008 Annual Report on Air Quality in New England, U.S. EPA Region 1
Massachusetts Ozone 8-Hour Data Source: 2008 Annual Report on Air Quality in New England, U.S. EPA Region 1
New Hampshire Ozone 8-Hour Data Source: 2008 Annual Report on Air Quality in New England, U.S. EPA Region 1
Rhode Island Ozone 8-Hour Data Source: 2008 Annual Report on Air Quality in New England, U.S. EPA Region 1
Vermont Ozone 8-Hour Data Source: 2008 Annual Report on Air Quality in New England, U.S. EPA Region 1
Exceedance Days = 38 Source: John Moskal, EPA Region 1
Exceedance Days = 30 Source: John Moskal, EPA Region 1
Exceedance Days = 37 Source: John Moskal, EPA Region 1
Exceedance Days = 24 Source: John Moskal, EPA Region 1
Connecticut Peak Ozone Violations* onNew England Peak Load Days *Source: CT DEP. New EPA standard is 75 parts per billon (ppb) established March 2008
ISO-NE Peak Day NOx Emissions Analysis (Continued from prior EAG meetings)
Review of Purpose and Chronology • Purpose • Examine NOx emissions on ISO-NE’s historic peak load days to provide a better basis for estimating future NOx emission reductions from energy efficiency during peak load periods • Chronology • June 12th EAG meeting: ISO-NE proposed to analyze the five highest peak load days for the years 2005, 2006, 2007 and 2008 • August 14th EAG meeting: Presented some preliminary results based on ISO proprietary generator NOx rates • October 16th EAG meeting: Presented preliminary results for all 20 days based on EPA data and ISO data, for generators not in EPA database
Today Presenting Preliminary Final Results • Using EPA plus ISO NOx data • Variations in NOx hourly rates for all 20 peak load days • Calculation of peak hour and daily NOx emission rates for NE generation system • Using all ISO NOx data • Results of calculating peak hourly NOx rates for a theoretical 500 MW generation decrement for all 20 peak days • Top 500 MW in bid stack • Top 500 MW adjusted for conventional hydro • Top 500 MW adjusted for conventional hydro and transmission constrained resources • Two questions for the EAG: • How to package these preliminary results • How will they be used?
New England 20 Peak Days’ Cumulative Daily NOx Emissions Peak Days: Yr/Mo/Day
New England Hourly NOx Emissions vs. System Generation August 2, 2006 – Highest Peak July 18, 2008 – Lowest Peak
Preliminary Observations – New England Peak-Load Day NOx Emissions: 2005 to 2008 • Peak hour NOx emissions ranged from 6 to 13 tons over the 20 highest peak-load days • For the all-time peak load day (8/2/06), at the peak hour, operating emergency generators added approximately 3 tons, or 12 total tons the day • Cumulative daily NOx emissions over the 20 peak days ranged from 122 to 228 tons, including emergency generators that operated on the all time peak day • Daily NOx emissions show a similar pattern to daily system generation, i.e. increasing and decreasing as the load builds and declines throughout the day
Graphs for 20 Peak Days: System Peak NOx vs. System Generation and Hourly NOx Rates
ISO-NE Peak NOx Analysis – 7/19/2005 Hourly System NOx vs. Generation Hourly Incremental NOx Rate* *Hourly change in NOx emissions (lbs) divided by hourly change in system generation (MWh)
ISO-NE Peak NOx Analysis – 7/26/2005 Hourly System NOx vs. Generation Hourly Incremental NOx Rate
ISO-NE Peak NOx Analysis – 7/27/2005 Hourly System NOx vs. Generation Hourly Incremental NOx Rate
ISO-NE Peak NOx Analysis – 8/05/2005 Hourly System NOx vs. Generation Hourly Incremental NOx Rate
ISO-NE Peak NOx Analysis – 8/11/2005 Hourly System NOx vs. Generation Hourly Incremental NOx Rate
ISO-NE Peak NOx Analysis – 7/17/2006 Hourly System NOx vs. Generation Hourly Incremental NOx Rate
ISO-NE Peak NOx Analysis – 7/18/2006 Hourly System NOx vs. Generation Hourly Incremental NOx Rate
ISO-NE Peak NOx Analysis – 8/01/2006 Hourly System NOx vs. Generation Hourly Incremental NOx Rate
ISO-NE Peak NOx Analysis – 8/02/2006 Hourly System NOx vs. Generation Hourly Incremental NOx Rate
ISO-NE Peak NOx Analysis – 8/03/2006 Hourly System NOx vs. Generation Hourly Incremental NOx Rate
ISO-NE Peak NOx Analysis – 7/26/2007 Hourly System NOx vs. Generation Hourly Incremental NOx Rate
ISO-NE Peak NOx Analysis – 7/27/2007 Hourly System NOx vs. Generation Hourly Incremental NOx Rate
ISO-NE Peak NOx Analysis – 8/02/2007 Hourly System NOx vs. Generation Hourly Incremental NOx Rate
ISO-NE Peak NOx Analysis – 8/03/2007 Hourly System NOx vs. Generation Hourly Incremental NOx Rate
ISO-NE Peak NOx Analysis – 8/07/2007 Hourly System NOx vs. Generation Hourly Incremental NOx Rate
ISO-NE Peak NOx Analysis – 6/09/2008 Hourly System NOx vs. Generation Hourly Incremental NOx Rate
ISO-NE Peak NOx Analysis – 6/10/2008 Hourly System NOx vs. Generation Hourly Incremental NOx Rate
ISO-NE Peak NOx Analysis – 7/08/2008 Hourly System NOx vs. Generation Hourly Incremental NOx Rate
ISO-NE Peak NOx Analysis – 7/09/2008 Hourly System NOx vs. Generation Hourly Incremental NOx Rate
ISO-NE Peak NOx Analysis – 7/18/2008 Hourly System NOx vs. Generation Hourly Incremental NOx Rate
Variables Possibly Affecting NOx Rates • Sudden load changes • System topology • Unit commitment • Forced outages • Transmission out-of-service • Economic dispatch • Dispatch of energy limited hydro • RMR units – 2nd contingency protection • Imports/Exports