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The Mathematics of Poker– Implied Pot Odds

Strategy: No-Limit. The Mathematics of Poker– Implied Pot Odds. What are implied pot odds?. Implied pot odds Modified pot odds that speculate on another bet from your opponent if you hit your hand. Example: “the “Call20” rule from the SHC

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The Mathematics of Poker– Implied Pot Odds

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  1. Strategy: No-Limit The Mathematics of Poker– Implied Pot Odds

  2. What are implied pot odds? • Implied pot odds • Modified pot odds that speculate on another bet from your opponent if you hit your hand. • Example: “the “Call20” rule from the SHC • If calling before the flop is unprofitable through pot odds alone, it can still be profitable through implied pot odds. • In No Limit Hold’em, you usually deal with implied pot odds, because the bets can be very high. • Implied pot odds: • Ratio between the “current pot + suspected future bets from your opponent” : “the amount you have to pay”.

  3. What are implied pot odds? – example #1 Flop: Actual Pot Odds: 3:1 Required Pot Odds: 4:1 Hero (BB) $25 MP3 $25 CO $25 SB $25 Implied Pot Odds (Flop): For the required pot odds of 4:1, $0.50 are missing in the pot. This must be invested on the turn by an opponent if you hit. The probability of this is high –> call. Preflop: 5 folds, MP3 calls $0.25, CO calls $0.25, 1 fold, SB calls $0.15, Hero checks. Turn: Actual Pot Odds: 2.1:1 Required Pot Odds: 4:1 Flop: ($ 1.00) SB bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50, 2 folds. Implied Pot Odds (Turn): For the required pot odds of 4:1, $3.25 are missing in the pot. Since your play suggests a draw, it is improbable that your opponent will pay on the river if your flush comes–> Fold. Turn: ($ 2.00) SB bets $1.75, Hero folds.

  4. What influences your implied pot odds? • How loose is your opponent? • If your opponent is very loose post-flop, your implied pot odds increase. • If your opponent is very loose pre-flop, your implied pot odds decrease. • Exception: Maniacs! • How much strength is your opponent showing? • The stronger your opponent’s hand, the more difficult it will be for him to give it up. • How obvious is your hand? • The more obvious your hand, the less your implied pot odds.

  5. What influences your implied pot odds? • Do you have position on your opponent? • Your implied odds are better in position than out of position. • Are you on the flop or turn? • You usually have more implied pot odds on the flop, because there are still two betting rounds after this. • How big are the stacks involved in the hand? • The more money that is there, the more you can win.

  6. What are implied pot odds? – Example #2 Flop: Actual Pot Odds: 2.7:1 Required Pot Odds: 4:1 Hero (CO) $25 UTG2 $25 Implied Pot Odds (Flop): For the required pot odds of 4:1, $5.5 is missing in the pot. Since a check raise shows a lot of strength, it can be assumed that your opponent will still invest money –> Call. Preflop: 1 fold, UTG2 calls $0.25, 4 folds, Hero raises $1.25, 3 folds, UTG2 calls $1. Turn: Actual Pot Odds: 2.8:1 Required Pot Odds: between 4:1 & 5:1 Flop: ($ 2.85) UTG2 checks, Hero bets $2, UTG2 raises $6, Hero calls $4. Implied Pot Odds (Turn): The pot on the river with a call from you Is $30.85 and you can win an additional $10. Your implied pot odds on the turn are thus At 4.1:1 –> Fold. Turn: ($ 14.85) UTG2 bets $8, Hero folds.

  7. Summary • Your implied pot odds increase… • …if your opponent is showing strength. • …if your hand is less obvious. • …if it is harder for your opponent to fold a hand. • Implied pot odds are… • …higher on the flop than on the turn. • …higher if you are playing in position. • Implied pot odds are important, but be careful when judging how much money your opponent is prepared to pay.

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