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Restructuring HE System for 50 Million Enrolments in China in 2020

Restructuring HE System for 50 Million Enrolments in China in 2020. Wu Xiaofeng Chen Xin Wen Dongmao The IFE 2020 leadership Institute 06/0302009 . Our Focus: the Challenges from HE Quantity. the Gross Enrollment Rate in 2007: 23% Total HE Enrolment in 2002 27 million In 2020

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Restructuring HE System for 50 Million Enrolments in China in 2020

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  1. Restructuring HE System for 50 Million Enrolments in China in 2020 Wu Xiaofeng Chen Xin Wen Dongmao The IFE 2020 leadership Institute 06/0302009

  2. Our Focus: the Challenges from HE Quantity • the Gross Enrollment Rate in 2007: • 23% • Total HE Enrolment in 2002 • 27 million • In 2020 • 50 million or more

  3. Total Enrollments of Regular HEIsIn 2020 (in million)

  4. Outline • Background • Shifting from dominant paradigm to emerging paradigm • Access • Capacity • Quality • Policy Implications

  5. Part 1 Background • Demands for HE • Demographic change • Expectations to HE • Environment for HE • Economic Development • Disparity/Inequality • Globalization • Technology Development • HE Structures and Capacity with Dominant Paradigm

  6. Background(1):Demographic Change 1.32 billion (2008) 1.39 billion (2020) One Child Policy

  7. Population at various age groups from 2004 to 2020 Primary(6-11)Junior middle(12-14) Senior middle(15-17) Tertiary(18-22)

  8. Expectations for HE FamilyChildren’s future GovernmentTransform population stress to human resources advantageKnowledge society/economy

  9. Background(2):HE Environments • Economic Development • Disparity/Inequality • Globalization • Technology Development

  10. The GDP per capita Growth

  11. Central Area 3 64% of Land 4% of Population East Area 2 36% of Land 96% of Population 1 West Area Hu HuanYong Line （黑河——腾冲）

  12. Income difference between rural area and urban area 1.86 3.23

  13. Gini Coefficient

  14. Globalization • China and globalization • The most fundamental challenge confronting HE in its history • Competition locally and internationally

  15. Technology development IT development (PPT, Video, direct discussion via Internet); Transportation development;

  16. Technology development Providing more possibilities for people to get HE. IT development -we don’t need go to Institutions to have education; Transportation development -we can go to institutions easily to have education;

  17. Background(3): HE Structures and Capacity with Dominant Paradigm

  18. Expanding without structural change? • Campus? • Land • Building • Facilities • Human Resources ? • Another 1million have PHD? • Another 1 million Staff? • Funding? • Function?

  19. Equity Access & Equity Graduate (job) Study Access

  20. Access challenges Largest HE in the world; HE chances for those who need (except 18-22 ages); National exam based to ?

  21. Access Equity Income difference Urban-rural Ethnic minorities Gender Age

  22. Access Equity

  23. Access Equity Globalization Multi-culture Diversity

  24. Access Equity Having more foreign students Sending more Chinese students studying overseas Support international institutions

  25. Part 2 Restructuring(2): Capacity • Resource sharing • Department/grogram level • Institution level • System level • Public-private Partnership • Formal-informal Partnership • HEIs - Community partnership • Global Partnership

  26. Department level

  27. Institutional level

  28. System level

  29. Country level

  30. Public/Private Partnership for Chinese HE in 2020

  31. Capacity • Campus • Land • Building • Facilities • Human Resources • Funding • Function

  32. Part 2 Restructuring(3): Quality • Current policy and practice • Quality assurance of undergraduate EducationHigher Education Evaluation Center (2002)592 HEIs evaluated (2003-07)

  33. Positive Impact Physical capacity Financial capacity Human resources capacity Managerial capacity

  34. Problems Results not convincing Single standard and uniform indicators Burden for HEIs Falsification

  35. Restructuring of QA Integration of government and associations Diversified standards and indicators Different stakeholders’ involvement Students focused

  36. Part 3: Policy Implications • Public funding for Private HEIs/Informal HEIs • Need based Loan/Grant • Legislation for Resource sharing • Awards/ Penalty • Credits transfer for students mobility • Flexible Salary for Faculty mobility

  37. One World One Dream • http://you.video.sina.com.cn/b/10803872-1270281574.html

  38. One World One Center EWC, Hawaii

  39. Thanks

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