Outline: Motivation Mission and Approach Description of Current Projects

1. A US National Climate Predictions and Projections (NCPP) Platform Outline: Motivation Mission and Approach Description of Current Projects Representative of Approach Summary and Questions Prepared by the NCPP CORE TEAM March 5, 2012

2. Typical Practitioner "Climate scientists have already established that the world needs to be prepared for sea level rise, more extreme environmental conditions, and more rapid environmental change. Decision makers are already factoring this into their processes. Given this:  Where can climate science add demonstrable additional value?" 2 2

3. What’s Missing? • “Better” climate information is rarely sufficient; this is not simply a problem of handing off data and information. Repeated studies have shown that usable climate information follows from the generation or production of problem solving strategies by teams containing both scientists and non-scientist practitioners. (e.g. Lemos and Morehouse, 2005) • This co-generation or co-production of solution strategies is at the foundation of the National Climate Predictions and Projections Platform. We work at the interfaces between climate science and decision making. 3 3

4. NCPP Mission and Strategy Mission: Supports state-of-the-art approaches to develop and deliver comprehensive regional climate information and facilitate its use in decision making and adaptation planning. Strategy: A participatory community enterprise where climate information users, infrastructure developers, and scientists come together in a collaborative problem solving environment. 4 4

5. NCPP is an emerging Participatory Community • Focused on the synthesis of existing climate assets spread across federal agencies, regional and local governments, universities, professional societies, nonprofits, and commercial activities 5 5

6. NCPP Problem Approach • Work through pilot projects and use cases that support • Provision of guidance and advisory narratives • Provision of quality-assessed, digital climate data • Development of IT infrastructure • Pilot projects support extension to growing capacity • Study “How is the Problem Addressed?” • Develop templates that facilitate similar problems • Evaluation of effectiveness of provided information and services 6 6

7. NCPP Current Pilot Projects Pilots Missouri Basin La Nina Downscaling -Evaluation -2013 Workshop Use Cases Climate Indices (technical framework) PROJECTS NCPP Core Team NCPP Core Team NCPP Core Team Translational Information & Guidance / Infrastructure / Data Access (Templates and Tools to Facilitate Community Problem Solving) FUNCTIONS NCPP Core Team NCPP Core Team NCPP Core Team Existing Resources / Open Source Tools / Community Activities RESOURCES 7 7

8. NCPP and open communities NSF (CDI) Commodity Governance List of related projects 8 8 Link to NCPP @ COG Link to NCPP-Admin @ COG

9. Downscaling - 2013 • NCPP Goals • Evaluation Standards • Guidance Documents • Translation for users and development of metadata / common language • Climate Science Applications Team • K. Dixon (GFDL), K. Hayhoe (Texas Tech), R. Horton (Columbia Univ.), K. Kunkel (NCDC; NC State), X.-Z. Liang (Maryland), L. Mearns (NCAR), J. Winkler (MSU), A. Wood (NWS/CBRFC) • Plan White Paper for Publication in Summer 2012 9 9 Link to NCPP @ COG

10. Missouri River Basin / La Nina 2012 Extremes (NCPP Goals) • Real-world example of regional problem • Evaluation of provided information • Engagement of network of users for use-driven problems • Translation of global to regional / seasonal to long-term • Template for problem solving (link to design doc ) • Potential capacity building regional problems • Technique – how to provide usable information • Footprint of usable resources / Gap identification • Engagement of users in capacity building • Development of COG as aggregation center for class of problems 10 10 Link to NCPP @ COG

11. Climate Indices Pilot &North Central – Climate Science Center (NC - CSCs) • Climate Indices for Impacts Assessment: technical project to spur development of framework for translational information and shared services: NCPP, USGS Derivatives Portal, and data collections at Earth System Grid Federation (ESGF) • NC- CSC: deliberate, ongoing interaction to prototype how NCPP will work with CSCs (Department of Interior) to develop and deliver needed climate information products. 11 11 Link to NCPP @ COG

12. Examples of Potential Resource Re-use • OpenClimateGIS: geospatial web service that provides access to climate model forecasts in geospatial formats • GLISAClimate.org: Use-driven Problem Solving Environment 12 Link to NCPP @ COG

13. Summary • NCPP is focused on the synthesis of existing capabilities to build a sustained capability. Relies on last decade’s development of pieces of a potential integrated capacity: • Investments in understanding user needs and use of climate information • Investments in information technology infrastructure • Emergence of successful approaches to govern distributed communities • Status • Set of pilot projects where we participate in the project with the goal on understanding “how” the problem is approached – then structuring that information into new capacity and extending to new problems and communities • Developing a model of project governance to formalize multi-agency, multi-sponsored ownership of NCPP 13 13

14. NCPP CORE TEAM Program/Platform manager – Don Anderson Chief Scientist: Richard Rood Executive Board (in progress) Integration and Design: Core Team Translational Information & Guidance Caspar Ammann GaliaGuentchev Joseph Barsugli Infrastructure and Data Cecelia DeLuca AllynTreshansky Luca Cinquini Application Pilots Community Interfaces Andrea Ray Wayne Higgins Doug Kluck Administration GaliaGuentchev, AllynTreshansky, Richard Rood, Cecelia DeLuca 14 14