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Return to Home Page. Continuation: Climate Change, Kyoto and Russian Carbon Credits. GEOG 433, November 26, 2013, part 2. Climate Change in the Russian North. Projected future changes in Northern Asia permafrost boundary. Background & Some Questions being explored.

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  1. Return to Home Page Continuation: Climate Change, Kyoto and Russian Carbon Credits GEOG 433, November 26, 2013, part 2

  2. Climate Change in the Russian North Projected future changes in Northern Asia permafrost boundary

  3. Background & Some Questions being explored • Basic UNFCCC & Kyoto Protocol • What are the GHG trends and sources? • What is happening with regard to temperature trends? • What has been Russia’s history regarding Kyoto? • Who are Russia’s Kyoto stakeholder players? • Why was Russia’s ratification important to the Kyoto Protocol? • Why did Russia ratify the Kyoto Protocol? • How can the Kyoto Protocol affect Russia’s economy? • How does Russia affect the EU Emission Trading Scheme? • How will Russia’s “Hot Air” affect the price of GHG credits? • What is the rationale for Russian compliance with Kyoto? • What are the elements for Russian institutional compliance? • What are the Russian compliance problems? • Bigger questions: carbon trading & social justice, Clean Development Mechanism vs Clean Development Fund, international “Hot Air” trading, role of U.S. as Kyoto opponent, role of World Bank

  4. Basic UNFCCC & Kyoto Protocol information • UNFCCC - United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change • Kyoto Protocol is amendment of UNFCCC • Signed December 11, 1997 at Kyoto, Japan • Opened for signature on March 16, 1998 • Need 55 countries representing 55% of 1990 CO2 emissions to ratify for entry-into-force • GHG reduction targets for 2008-2012 • 6 GHGs include CO2, CH4, N20, CFC-12,CFC-10 • 2001 Bush says U.S. will not ratify • 44.2% of 1990 global GHC emissions without US, Russia, Australia • Russia 17.4% of 1990 CO2 emissions • US and Australia ~40% of GHG emissions • Talks stall in Hague post-2000 election • 2001 Bonn COP revisions - allows CO2 sink

  5. Geographical Pattern of Kyoto Acceptance A Ruff Rescue

  6. Global Fossil Carbon Emissions (1800-2000)

  7. USSR & E.European collapse Oil shock & recession Trends in Atmospheric Concentrations and Anthropogenic Emissions of Carbon Dioxide

  8. Source: IPCC, 1995

  9. What is happening with temperature trends? ------Annual Mean Temp., ------5-year Mean

  10. CO2 & Temperature trends

  11. http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/english/special_report/sci/tech/global_warminghttp://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/english/special_report/sci/tech/global_warming

  12. World Carbon Dioxide Emissions by Region, 2001-2025 (Million Metric Tons of Carbon Equivalent)

  13. Regional trends in Carbon emissions (MMT of C/year)

  14. Russian government wants to sell part of Russia’s greenhouse gas emission quotas - AAUs (Assigned Amount Units) / Image from ublib.buffalo.edu

  15. CO2 emissions from Russia.

  16. Per capita CO2 emission estimates for Russia.

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