1 / 28

Professor Ernest Burgess, University of Chicago

Professor Ernest Burgess, University of Chicago. Ernest Burgess: Concentric Zones. Psychiatric Personality Type in Relation to Parole Violations Violation Rate by Institutions Personality Type Pontiac Menard Joliet

frisco
Download Presentation

Professor Ernest Burgess, University of Chicago

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Professor Ernest Burgess, University of Chicago

  2. Ernest Burgess: Concentric Zones

  3. Psychiatric Personality Type in Relation to Parole Violations Violation Rate by Institutions Personality Type Pontiac Menard Joliet All persons......................... 22.1% 26.5% 28.4% Egocentric.......................... 24.3 25.5 38.0 Socially Inadequate............ 20.0 24.7 22.6 Emotionally Unstable........ 8.9 * 16.6 * Number of cases insufficient for calculating percentage.

  4. Social Type in Relation to Parole Violation Violation Rate by Institutions Social Type. Pontiac Menard Joliet All persons......................... 22.1% 26.5% 28.4% Hobos................................. 14.3 46.8 70.5 Ne’er-do-well..................... 32.8 25.6 63.0 Mean Citizen...................... ____ 30.0 9.5 Drunkard............................ 37.5 38.9 22.7 Gangster............................. 22.7 23.2 24.1 Recent Immigrant.............. 36.8 16.7 4.0 Farm Boy........................... 11.0 10.2 16.7 Drug Addict...................... 4.3 66.7 83.3

  5. Rapid Risk Assessment for Sexual Offender Recidivism (RASOR) 1. Prior Sex Offenses (not including index offense) Score None 0 1 conviction or 1-2 charges 1 2-3 convictions or 3-5 charges 2 4+ convictions or 6+ charges 3 2. Age at Release (current age) more than 25 0 less than 25 1 3. Victim Gender only females 0 any males 1 4. Relationship to Victim only related 0 any non-related 1

  6. TIME 1: ORIGINAL ASSUMPTIONS

  7. TIME 2: ASSUMPTIONS

  8. Profiling in Terrorism Context?

  9. Racial Profiling as DCTM “Just smart law enforcement” or “just crazy”? Proponents are right that it will immediately increase likelihood of detection (though low base-rate event) Opponents are right that it will likely produce substitution effects over time

  10. Studies of DCTM Landes 1978: metal detectors reduce airplane hijacking Cauley and Im 1988: metal detectors increase other types of terrorist attacks Enders and Sandler 1993: metal detectors increase assassinations and hostage-taking events; retaliatory strikes like Libya 1986 cause intertemporal substitition; fortification of embassies produces substitution toward assassinations. Dugan, LAFree and Piquero 2005: not looking at substitution, but finds RAT; contagion; but no effect on terrorism-related hijacking attempts.

  11. Key Issue: Substitution Effects • Substitution of non-profiled offenders for profiled offenders This raises issue of comparative elasticities. • Substitution of type of attacks toward those that are less susceptible to RP detection

More Related