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Portfolio Review & Market Outlook// Greg Matthews, CEO Independent Asset Management Manager for All Star IAM Australian Share Fund July 2013. Disclaimer.
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Portfolio Review & Market Outlook// Greg Matthews, CEO Independent Asset Management Manager for All Star IAM Australian Share Fund July 2013
Disclaimer The material shown in this presentation has been prepared and issued by Ventura Investment Management Limited, ABN 49 092 375 258, AFSL 253045 (Ventura). Equity Trustees Limited ABN 46 004 031 298, AFSL 240975 (EQT) is the responsible entity of the Ventura and All Star series of funds. Information contained in this document is of a general nature only. It is not intended as advice, as it does not take into account your individual objectives, financial situation or needs. Investment can only be made on an application form attached to the Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) or through an IDPS operator . Copies of the PDS are available from Ventura or your financial planner.
Contents • Portfolio Review • Market Review and Outlook • Current Portfolio Positioning • Summary • Appendix
Performance Review After 10 year s at No.1, a flat 18 months (unit price, ex-distributions)
Performance Review Relative Performance Distribution Chart Jan2002 to 30 June 2013 (net of fees since Jul 2007) • IAM Outperformance statistics: • 68% outperform in up months (59/87) • 39% outperform in down months (20/51) • Market statistics: • Jan02 to Jun13 = 138 months • 87 (63%) up months • 51 (37%) down months
Portfolio Review Recent stock additions/removals/increases/decreases • BSL Bluescope -1.1% due to outperformance • Rio +0.5%, BHP +0.4%, maintain resource weight, reduce tracking error • WOR Worley +0.6%, switch from LEI Leighton -0.6% • MSB Mesoblast +0.5%, buy below placement price; commitment from Teva • IST I-Select +0.5% first mover, 20-30% growth, internet deals for consumer • AIO Asciano -1.1% reduce tracking error, still 1.6% overweight, ports, coal slow 12 month stock attribution (Jun13) 7
ASX300 cheap 13.3x due to resource shares P/E can support rise to 6000
Steel making profitability China HRC Steel Price less Iron Ore and Coal Price
Current Portfolio Positioning Sector positions: X-axis labels show actual positions held, y-axis shows relative to index 30 June 2013 29
Current Portfolio Positioning Top ten active positions(Jun13) Sector allocations (Jun13) Top ten positions (Jun13) 30
Outlook • IAM performed very strongly after GFC • Portfolio positions similar now to post GFC period • Same factors driving markets now • Shares still undervalued relative to bonds and cash • quantitative easing and rising commodity prices • very low ownership of shares and “risk assets” • bubble in “safe havens” • Expect strong rise in very undervalued market led by resources • IAM positioned for move 6000 by March 2014 31
Thank you 32