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Voting

Voting. 11/9/2011. Clearly Communicated Learning Objectives in Written Form. Upon completion of this course, students will be able to: discuss and critically analyze political events in the United States government assess the 2010 and 2012 elections without resorting to partisan bickering. .

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Voting

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  1. Voting 11/9/2011

  2. Clearly Communicated Learning Objectives in Written Form • Upon completion of this course, students will be able to: • discuss and critically analyze political events in the United States government • assess the 2010 and 2012 elections without resorting to partisan bickering.

  3. Office Hours and Readings • Chapter 5 • Chapter 4 (110-129) • Office Hours • Thursday 8-11:00 • Monday 8-10:30

  4. We Know Why We Vote

  5. But Who Do we Vote for?

  6. Very Simple

  7. The Long Term Factor Party Identification

  8. Party ID • Psychological attachment to one of the parties • Long Term Factor • Best Predictor of Voting • Influences other short-term factors

  9. Party ID Rocks

  10. Cleveland Rocks

  11. 2008 Vote by Party ID

  12. The Durability Of Partisanship in 2008 • Democrats voted for Obama, and Republicans voted for McCain • There are more Democrats in the electorate • Obama wins

  13. This is hard Issue voting

  14. Issue Voting is Hard • We are clueless • Too many issues • We don’t trust or understand policy

  15. Easy/Single Issue Voting

  16. Most Important Issues in 2008

  17. Retrospective Analysis • Looking back at the economy • Easier to do if there is an incumbent

  18. The Economy • The events of 9/14- Voters disagreed with McCain on the Economy

  19. Economics

  20. Economics

  21. We Vote for Who We Like Candidate Appraisals

  22. Party Image • Impacts our views of the candidate • Very important for prospective voting • McCain has a terrible party image in 2008

  23. The Republican Brand

  24. The Third Term

  25. Retrospective voting on Bush • Bush is Unpopular

  26. McCain Vs. Bush • In the best position of any Republican to run against Bush • In reality no way to distance himself from Bush

  27. Candidate Image • Try to create your own • Use issues to your advantage • Don’t Let the Media create one for you

  28. Hope and Change • A message that worked • It meant everything and nothing at the same time

  29. Change • Randy Marsh on  • Change • Change

  30. Hope as a message

  31. Change

  32. Bad Images

  33. The Election of 2010

  34. The Results

  35. The Nationalized Election • National factors trumped local factors for the third time • This time around, these factors favored the GOP • This Hurts Incumbents

  36. Party ID Rules the Day

  37. People do not like Congress

  38. Issues and 2010

  39. The Issues of 2010

  40. The Primary Issue The economy

  41. A Referendum on the Economy

  42. Unemployment

  43. Who is to Blame?

  44. Health Care Opinion Remained Divided

  45. A Referendum on Obama

  46. The X factor in 2010 The Tea Party

  47. The Tea Party Movement • Unique in that they do not want anything from government • Very Motivated

  48. The Tea Party was unified in its Anger at Government

  49. The Tea Party Tapped into Angry Voters

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