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Credentials. Bruce Melton, P.E. Texas A&M 1983 Diversified experience: Environmental, land development and hydrology Haynie & Kallman 1984: Land Development, Staff Engineer Jones & Neuse 1986: Land Development, Staff Engineer
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Credentials Bruce Melton, P.E. Texas A&M 1983 Diversified experience: Environmental, land development and hydrology Haynie & Kallman 1984: Land Development, Staff Engineer Jones & Neuse 1986: Land Development, Staff Engineer Lower Colorado River Authority Environmental Program 1990: Staff Engineer, Environmental Coordinator; Principal Investigator, Permit Writer Bury Partners 1996: Project Manager Loomis Austin 1998: Senior Project Manager Melton Engineering Services Austin 2001: Owner
Planning What is really in the middle of the road?
Major Concerns 1. TxDOT Traffic Counts show that, about the turn of the Century, on average, regional traffic stopped growing. 2. Is projecting past growth patterns into the future appropriate planning?
Source: CAMPO Needs Assessment, February 2009 Campo Needs Inset
Why Has Traffic Growth Ceased While Population Continues to Grow? • Two bread winner family phenomena has maxed out • Aging population / birth rate trends • Economic concerns over the last decade of reduced earnings power
Long Term Economics • Purchasing power has diminished • Wages are not keeping up • Inflation continues • Not related to the current economic distress • TxDOT traffic data ended before the recession
CAMPO 2030 is significantly disconnected from actual traffic counts.Because traffic growth patterns have changed fundamentally. Traffic will never grow like this again.
South and Southwest Austin“Business as Usual” is No Longer Valid
Brodie Projections 2015 Traffic on Brodie would be worse when SH45 opens than it is today. (TxDOT Traffic Counts and CAMPO 2030 Plan)
Brodie route takes more time compared to IH35 route without the flyover
Peak Hour Traffic Management • Reduce Peak Hour traffic • Telecommute • Flexible working hours • Demographic shift • New bus routes • More park and ride • Commuter rail
The final paragraph of the conclusions for the methodology section
The final paragraph of the conclusions for the methodology section
The previously reported assumption of uplands recharge by Woodruff, 1984 was 1%
Groundwater flow in the Northern Edwards AquiferNote the locations of Barton, Slaughter, Onion and Bear Creeks and the intersection of the existing SH45 and MOPAC