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Is Venture Capital Dead ?. Victor V Vurpillat Ph.D. Global Software II. Thanks to Donald R. Dixon Managing Director Trident Capital. The US Venture Industry Has Grown. Source: 2000 NVCA Yearbook. VC Funds Raised. Corporate VCs in ¼ of All Deals. Return to Normal.
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Is Venture Capital Dead ? Victor V Vurpillat Ph.D. Global Software II
The US Venture Industry Has Grown Source: 2000 NVCA Yearbook
After Setting Records In 1999 and 2000, IPO Markets Are Quiet Now
Is There Sufficient Capital For Follow-on Financing? • Investable dollars (“overhang”) estimated at $45B as of 9/30/2001
Where Do U.S. VCs Invest? • Information Technology • Internet Specific • Communications and Media • Computer Software & Services • Semiconductors & Other Electronics • Computer Hardware • Life Sciences • Medical Devices/Healthcare Services • Biotechnology • Other • Consumer-related • Industrial/Energy • Other Products
U.S. Venture Capital Investments into European Companies – By Stage
U.S. Venture Capital Investments into European Companies – By Industry Group
Venture Capital Investments into European Companies By U.S. Firms
Venture Capital Investments into European Companies By U.S. Firms
Company Life Cycle $ Markets Management Products/Services Customers Revenue Profits Liquidity (IPOs, Acqs)
How Do U.S. Venture Capitalists Decide Which Deals To Fund? • How large is the company’s market? • Focus on large markets, but markets where there is the potential to dominate at least one segment. • What is the capital intensity of the proposed venture? • Venture capital funds usually invest multiple millions of dollars in each deal. • What is the quality of the company’s management team? • Probably single most important factor for long term success.
How Do U.S. Venture Capitalists Decide Which Deals To Fund? • What is proprietary or unique about the company? How does it differ from competitors? • Proprietary content often effects valuation. • How large and profitable can the company get? • Generally looking for large opportunities…$100+ million profitable company in 5-7 years. Looking for a compelling idea not just marginal improvement over the status quo. • Other factors include deal structure and terms, co-investors, etc.
What Are the Characteristics of a Typical U.S. Venture Capital Transaction? • An equity (convertible preferred stock) investment in a private earlier stage or emerging growth company typically seven figures • Long-term relationship (3 - 8 years) • Board seat • Staged financing • Syndication with other VC firms
IPO 2nd Round Valuation Gap IPO 1st Round 2nd Round 1st Round Mezz IPO Seed Traditional Cycle Seed 1st Round Recent Cycle Seed Current Cycle Valuation Parameters Proven Consumer Acceptance Product Launch Profitability Valuation $50M@ 250M $10M@ 50M Declining Risk $5M@ 25M $1M@ 5M Source: Morgan Stanley, Trident
What Type of Help and Guidance Do U.S. Venture Capitalists Typically Provide Their Portfolio Companies? • Initial and ongoing source of cash - as a direct provider and as a facilitator in raising funds from others • Give credibility to company - especially in establishing corporate partnerships and customer relationships. • Help recruit key executives, individual contributors, and board members
Typical Issues To Resolve • Location of R&D Team • Location of Sales & Marketing Organization • Location of Headquarters • Founder to CEO transition
You may not end up doing what you started out to do