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” Cotton Sector in Central Asia: economic policy and development challenges ”

Recombining socio-technical networks in the Uzbekistani agrarian system RAPHAEL JOZAN; ROMAIN FLORENT; SAMUEL MARTIN; OLIVIER MUNOS; MARIE PANARIN. ” Cotton Sector in Central Asia: economic policy and development challenges ”

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” Cotton Sector in Central Asia: economic policy and development challenges ”

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  1. Recombining socio-technical networks in the Uzbekistani agrarian systemRAPHAEL JOZAN; ROMAIN FLORENT; SAMUEL MARTIN; OLIVIER MUNOS; MARIE PANARIN ”Cotton Sector in Central Asia: economic policy and development challenges” the School of Oriental and African Studies, University of London, November 3-4, 2005

  2. THE BIMODAL UZBEKISTANI AGRARIAN ECONOMY Main causality line 1 CONTEXT Orientation : cotton, wheat, silk, some fruits productions Administrated agriculture : (1) State plan; (2) output and input managed by the state or by quasi-State organizations; (3) administered prices; (4) intervention by the state in production processes Motorized and mechanized agriculture Wage-earning labor force 1. Social system in favor of stable and strong political power Domination of public property Public ownership of land and water resources State-directed crops on the large part of irrigated land resources Effects: soft budget constraints; weak responsiveness to prices; plan bargaining; quantity-driven economy; chronic shortages in the economy; unemployment … Stable centralized presidential political system Bureaucratic coordination 2. Uzbekistan, a new sovereign state in quest of international legitimacy and independence. Cotton insures around 30% of state’s revenue; wheat insures food self sufficiency. Centralized and administrated agrarian sub-system Political regime Property regime Coordination mode Modes of production Effects 3. The Soviet legacy of an overspecialized economy oriented towards the export of cotton fiber produced by large collective and state farms Decentralized agrarian sub-system Land and water used for private interests (more or less informally) Private property increases with demographic growth Market coordination (even if market distortions are high, due to the centralized and administrated agrarian sub-system ) Orientation : self-consumption, sales a local markets, micro agro-industry, exports. Non-administered agriculture Manually-driven agriculture Familial labor force Political subsidiarity at local and regional levels Effects: Hard budget constraints; High responsiveness to prices; … 4. Critical demographic pressure in rural areas Main causality line 2 Recombining socio-technical networks in the Uzbekistani agrarian system RAPHAEL JOZAN; ROMAIN FLORENT; SAMUEL MARTIN; OLIVIER MUNOS; MARIE PANARIN

  3. Juridical categories (based on formal land tenure) VS Production Systems Collective Farm Individual Farm Administered sub-system GC1-1;2;3 GC2 - 1;1’;2 Non-administered sub-system NA 3-1;2 NA 1-1;3 NA 1-1;2;4 NA 2 Small- Holding Recombining socio-technical networks in the Uzbekistani agrarian system RAPHAEL JOZAN; ROMAIN FLORENT; SAMUEL MARTIN; OLIVIER MUNOS; MARIE PANARIN

  4. Recombining socio-technical networks in the Uzbekistani agrarian system RAPHAEL JOZAN; ROMAIN FLORENT; SAMUEL MARTIN; OLIVIER MUNOS; MARIE PANARIN

  5. IF-->CF Cotton surplus; remuneration of CF specialists; specific equipment CF-->IF Cotton Surplus to IF located in non-appropriate land for cotton production; equipment; consulting and technical knowledge; water resources IF-->SH Employment (if registered) ; Wage; inputs; water (pumped); after-wheat production. IF-->IF Cotton, specific equipment,water SH- ->IF Inexpensive and abundant labor force; sale of organic material. CF-->SH Employment (if registered); Wage; inputs; crop residues; water; after wheat production. SH-->CF Inexpensive labor force Recombining socio-technical networks in the Uzbekistani agrarian system RAPHAEL JOZAN; ROMAIN FLORENT; SAMUEL MARTIN; OLIVIER MUNOS; MARIE PANARIN

  6. Streams between administered and non-administered agrarian sub-systems (a) information (data, law, rules…); (b) technical items (water, equipment, fertilizers…);(c) financial goods (credit, cash…); (d) people (competences, labor forces…) State and public organizations Water, inputs, mechanization, right to use public land resources, plan Productions planned Right to use land Resources Right to use the land Resources Organics, cash-flow Inputs (fertilizers…), water, mechanization Recombining socio-technical networks in the Uzbekistani agrarian system RAPHAEL JOZAN; ROMAIN FLORENT; SAMUEL MARTIN; OLIVIER MUNOS; MARIE PANARIN

  7. Recombining socio-technical networks in the Uzbekistani agrarian system RAPHAEL JOZAN; ROMAIN FLORENT; SAMUEL MARTIN; OLIVIER MUNOS; MARIE PANARIN

  8. Administered ? 1990 2005 1998 2000-2002 Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 Time Non-Administered Recombining socio-technical networks in the Uzbekistani agrarian system RAPHAEL JOZAN; ROMAIN FLORENT; SAMUEL MARTIN; OLIVIER MUNOS; MARIE PANARIN

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