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Explore the 2011 U.S. budget case study, lessons learned, and Moody's rating approach for budget planning and monitoring in government. Learn about mandatory vs. discretionary spending, IRR/Payback approach, performance ratios, and more.
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Lecture Series #4 Budget Planning, Implementation and MonitoringLast Step: Budget Implementation and Monitoring – Government Approach Chris Droussiotis September 2011
Table of Contents • Distinguish Mandatory Spending Vs Discretionary • Discipline on Discretionary – The IRR/Payback approach • Implement and Revaluate – Set up Performance Ratios • Moody’s Rating Approach These slides could be obtain via the Instructor’s Web page at www.celeritymoment.com
Spending Drives Revenues Can the U.S. outgrow the problem?
The 2011 U.S Budget – Case Study - Lessons Learned • 2011 Budget of the United States federal government • Submitted February 1, 2010 by Barack Obama to the Congress • Congress PassedPublic Law 112-10 • Total revenue $2.17 trillion (estimated) • Total expenditures $3.82 trillion (estimated) • Deficit$1.65 trillion (estimated)
The 2011 U.S Budget – Case Study - Lessons Learned • President Barack Obama proposed his 2011 budget during February 2010. • He has indicated that jobs, health care, clean energy, education, and infrastructure will be priorities.
The 2011 U.S Budget – Case Study - Lessons Learned • It was widely anticipated that a government shutdown on April 8, 2011 was possible if a budget resolution or a seventh continuing resolution was not passed by the expiration of the sixth continuing resolution on April 8, 2011, which would have caused the furlough of 800,000 out of 2 million civilian federal employees. • However, a deal was reached with just hours remaining before the deadline, averting the shutdown. • The deal included $38.5 billion in cuts from what had been budgeted for 2010, in addition to another $10 billion in cuts that had been imposed in some of the continuing resolution. • However, the April 13 Congressional Budget Office estimate showed that, compared with then-current spending rates, the spending bill would cut federal outlays from non-war accounts by just $352 million through Sept. 30. About $8 billion in immediate cuts to domestic programs and foreign aid were offset by nearly equal increases in defense spending
The Moody’s Rating Approach • Moody’s general obligation bond ratings are forward-looking assessments of an entity’s relative credit strength, and reflect our analysis of four rating factors – Economic Condition and Outlook, Financial Position and Performance, Debt Profile, and Management – as measured against a combination of qualitative and quantitative criteria. • The rating outcome reflects a weighting of these assessments according to the following weighting system: • Economic Strength 40% • Financial Strength 30% • Management and Governance 20% • Debt Profile 10%