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Incorporating Climate Change in USAID Projects. Joel B. Smith Stratus Consulting Inc. 1-303-381-8218 jsmith@stratusconsulting.com Dr. Kenneth Strzepek University of Colorado Ruhiza Jean Boroto Source Strategic Focus (Pty) Ltd.
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Incorporating Climate Change in USAID Projects Joel B. Smith Stratus Consulting Inc. 1-303-381-8218 jsmith@stratusconsulting.com Dr. Kenneth Strzepek University of Colorado Ruhiza Jean Boroto Source Strategic Focus (Pty) Ltd.
USAID Considering Ways of Incorporating Climate Change into Project Planning, Design, and Management • Stratus Consulting is working with USAID on: • Developing guidance for AID on methods for incorporating climate change • Testing methods in three pilot studies • Will revise guidance based on lessons learned
Pilot Studies • Examine incorporation of climate change in planned or ongoing USAID projects • Work with stakeholders to define objectives, identify adaptations, and review results • Use in-country analysts to conduct research • Will develop implementation plans • Pilots: • Polokwane, South Africa: Water supplies • La Ceiba, Honduras: Flooding and coastal erosion • Mali: Agriculture (specific project TBD) • I’ll briefly discuss Polokwane and La Ceiba
Polokwane, South Africa • Concern is with long-term water supplies
Polokwane, South Africa • Water is transferred to the city • Polokwane is growing • Planning has not considered climate change • Climate models indicate potential for reduced runoff and soil moisture
Polokwane Study • Use a broad suite of climate change scenarios to capture possible changes in climate • Estimate changes in water demand from population and economic growth • Examine climate change effects on runoff and demand • DWAF will examine implications and adaptations using their planning model • Will meet with stakeholders to examine results and adaptation • Will develop implementation plan with AID Mission and stakeholders
La Ceiba Scope • Concerns about flooding, poor drainage, coastal erosion • Already serious issues • We are working with municipal planners, business community, and NGOs in La Ceiba
La Ceiba Project • We’ll develop scenarios of • Sea level rise • Intense hurricanes • Intense rains • Based on increases in temperature, not model output • Working with stakeholders and regional researchers on analyzing adaptations • Will develop implementation plan